Prediction 2181
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Validation set 3 for DF using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 474.87 | 1842.61 | 2358.63 | 2616.64 |
| 2024-10-13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 399.67 | 2011.81 | 2623.84 | 2929.86 |
| 2024-10-20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 702.52 | 2650.68 | 3383.08 | 3749.28 |
| 2024-10-27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1340.82 | 3781.74 | 4704.67 | 5166.13 |
| 2024-11-03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1353.06 | 4497.33 | 5778.34 | 6418.85 |
| 2024-11-10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1801.97 | 5581.70 | 7120.43 | 7889.79 |
| 2024-11-17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2531.45 | 6828.00 | 8508.91 | 9349.37 |
| 2024-11-24 | 431.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3838.42 | 9260.68 | 11486.12 | 12598.85 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1157.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5259.38 | 11524.95 | 14071.99 | 15345.51 |
| 2024-12-08 | 2406.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 315.27 | 7354.29 | 14518.55 | 17451.29 | 18917.67 |
| 2024-12-15 | 4094.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.90 | 1379.65 | 9672.15 | 18405.38 | 22007.50 | 23808.55 |
| 2024-12-22 | 5987.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 394.90 | 2332.31 | 12710.11 | 22967.35 | 27097.50 | 29162.57 |
| 2024-12-29 | 7076.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 498.32 | 2635.01 | 14931.39 | 26471.05 | 31129.47 | 33458.68 |
| 2025-01-05 | 8156.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 621.39 | 3255.68 | 17023.26 | 29799.83 | 34896.56 | 37444.92 |
| 2025-01-12 | 11024.95 | 90.81 | 667.88 | 1822.01 | 5145.24 | 21012.29 | 34655.17 | 40045.57 | 42740.77 |
| 2025-01-19 | 12890.58 | 290.45 | 954.70 | 2283.20 | 6173.62 | 23738.01 | 38559.00 | 44403.62 | 47325.92 |
| 2025-01-26 | 12782.10 | 361.16 | 948.99 | 2124.63 | 5647.01 | 23964.65 | 39124.25 | 45143.65 | 48153.35 |
| 2025-02-02 | 14165.84 | 824.94 | 1414.12 | 2592.47 | 6201.64 | 26001.57 | 41673.28 | 47798.96 | 50861.79 |
| 2025-02-09 | 15950.32 | 2042.12 | 2655.95 | 3883.60 | 7716.33 | 28341.02 | 44146.44 | 50325.52 | 53415.06 |
| 2025-02-16 | 16958.88 | 2619.83 | 3267.11 | 4561.66 | 8595.13 | 29865.88 | 46333.50 | 52760.52 | 55974.03 |
| 2025-02-23 | 17491.35 | 2829.40 | 3502.17 | 4847.70 | 8904.92 | 30559.65 | 47333.45 | 53937.40 | 57239.37 |
| 2025-03-02 | 18904.78 | 3376.03 | 4120.31 | 5608.87 | 9908.16 | 32083.22 | 49038.97 | 55767.00 | 59131.01 |
| 2025-03-09 | 20794.80 | 4649.60 | 5408.49 | 6926.27 | 11333.26 | 34247.96 | 51136.36 | 57776.82 | 61097.05 |
| 2025-03-16 | 23442.80 | 5159.18 | 6062.89 | 7870.30 | 13219.51 | 36984.51 | 54065.73 | 60869.38 | 64271.20 |
| 2025-03-23 | 24220.25 | 5582.14 | 6497.81 | 8329.14 | 13655.34 | 38266.86 | 55394.10 | 62175.58 | 65566.32 |
| 2025-03-30 | 25372.41 | 6691.20 | 7537.43 | 9229.89 | 14438.10 | 39631.95 | 56821.46 | 63539.85 | 66899.04 |
| 2025-04-06 | 26672.11 | 7195.53 | 8191.82 | 10184.41 | 16039.28 | 41100.56 | 57802.09 | 64320.51 | 67579.73 |
| 2025-04-13 | 28691.51 | 7900.47 | 9019.32 | 11257.04 | 17635.69 | 43133.19 | 59963.53 | 66490.02 | 69753.27 |
| 2025-04-20 | 28739.05 | 8920.70 | 9909.08 | 11885.84 | 17687.42 | 43307.14 | 59641.48 | 65941.92 | 69092.14 |
| 2025-04-27 | 27913.67 | 8522.32 | 9448.44 | 11300.68 | 16932.81 | 42218.79 | 58092.58 | 64134.45 | 67155.39 |
| 2025-05-04 | 26532.47 | 7423.91 | 8306.33 | 10071.17 | 15474.61 | 40623.06 | 55797.68 | 61550.33 | 64426.66 |
| 2025-05-11 | 25511.58 | 7555.22 | 8314.66 | 9833.55 | 14818.03 | 38927.27 | 53731.75 | 59382.05 | 62207.20 |
| 2025-05-18 | 23598.15 | 5864.55 | 6751.89 | 8526.57 | 13722.56 | 36187.30 | 49999.56 | 55328.83 | 57993.46 |
| 2025-05-25 | 20435.01 | 4145.29 | 4967.53 | 6612.01 | 11391.23 | 32113.44 | 44750.58 | 49671.97 | 52132.67 |
| 2025-06-01 | 16866.72 | 2990.00 | 3620.43 | 4881.28 | 8710.56 | 27728.38 | 39446.54 | 43963.72 | 46222.31 |
| 2025-06-08 | 14108.97 | 1888.74 | 2407.87 | 3446.11 | 6670.78 | 24471.04 | 35265.90 | 39349.82 | 41391.79 |
| 2025-06-15 | 11199.09 | 1069.66 | 1439.63 | 2179.58 | 4586.73 | 20613.37 | 30544.85 | 34350.04 | 36252.63 |
| 2025-06-22 | 8425.40 | 505.01 | 772.43 | 1307.26 | 3028.07 | 16846.78 | 25654.83 | 29043.28 | 30737.50 |
| 2025-06-29 | 6442.19 | 723.97 | 819.67 | 1011.08 | 1867.48 | 13550.38 | 21005.46 | 23866.85 | 25297.54 |
| 2025-07-06 | 5824.03 | 840.86 | 904.31 | 1031.22 | 1732.04 | 12040.37 | 18757.77 | 21375.76 | 22684.76 |
| 2025-07-13 | 3799.48 | 201.96 | 248.33 | 341.07 | 620.16 | 9141.19 | 14775.70 | 16971.54 | 18069.47 |
| 2025-07-20 | 3340.38 | 73.20 | 139.59 | 272.36 | 547.56 | 8201.65 | 13544.26 | 15655.45 | 16711.04 |
| 2025-07-27 | 3027.38 | 167.83 | 204.44 | 277.66 | 506.20 | 7398.08 | 12426.05 | 14395.33 | 15379.97 |
| 2025-08-03 | 2740.23 | 147.95 | 161.20 | 187.69 | 297.04 | 6907.82 | 11420.20 | 13146.87 | 14010.21 |
| 2025-08-10 | 2522.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 218.78 | 6352.93 | 10387.04 | 11978.33 | 12773.98 |
| 2025-08-17 | 2283.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.77 | 5993.94 | 9889.21 | 11366.37 | 12104.95 |
| 2025-08-24 | 2044.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5520.99 | 9173.40 | 10599.82 | 11313.03 |
| 2025-08-31 | 1929.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5288.33 | 9170.60 | 10750.48 | 11540.42 |
| 2025-09-07 | 2128.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5512.79 | 9781.55 | 11576.15 | 12473.45 |
| 2025-09-14 | 704.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2094.84 | 3773.42 | 4447.57 | 4784.65 |
| 2025-09-21 | 33.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1287.68 | 3049.10 | 3733.86 | 4076.24 |
| 2025-09-28 | 206.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1564.21 | 3521.31 | 4249.61 | 4613.75 |
Welcome to Mosqlimate Predictions Dashboard
Confidence Interval
To toggle the Prediction's Confidence Interval bounds of the in the chart, click in the Prediction's legend
or line
Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
