Prediction 2182

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1
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Model Chronos-Bolt
Author Davi Sales Barreira
ADM 1 Amapá

Description:

Validation set 3 for AP using Chronos-Bolt


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 54.32 12.55 14.36 17.97 28.18 116.60 192.32 221.41 235.95
2024-10-13 48.84 13.17 14.41 16.87 24.37 111.18 188.77 218.54 233.43
2024-10-20 49.62 13.69 14.82 17.09 24.71 114.25 191.32 220.62 235.28
2024-10-27 48.86 12.66 13.78 16.03 23.04 114.55 193.17 223.16 238.15
2024-11-03 43.78 7.32 8.54 10.97 18.71 107.80 186.76 216.96 232.06
2024-11-10 42.09 9.24 9.93 11.33 16.77 109.55 192.98 225.19 241.30
2024-11-17 39.76 10.12 10.70 11.86 16.62 110.95 199.54 233.27 250.14
2024-11-24 38.68 8.46 9.30 10.99 17.07 114.05 210.13 246.89 265.27
2024-12-01 44.48 8.06 9.29 11.75 18.89 126.97 229.05 267.60 286.87
2024-12-08 56.63 6.05 8.01 11.93 22.63 148.94 255.48 295.65 315.74
2024-12-15 63.86 5.38 6.99 10.21 21.47 162.38 276.94 320.35 342.05
2024-12-22 74.48 4.12 6.48 11.21 26.14 180.85 307.04 354.22 377.82
2024-12-29 87.26 1.41 4.66 11.16 32.03 202.15 340.42 392.61 418.70
2025-01-05 103.96 0.00 2.61 11.62 39.79 229.49 378.27 434.29 462.30
2025-01-12 126.89 1.42 7.04 18.28 52.57 263.58 420.81 479.47 508.80
2025-01-19 132.58 1.52 7.48 19.39 55.68 276.30 439.92 500.73 531.14
2025-01-26 151.03 2.59 9.43 23.11 65.29 296.42 460.76 522.71 553.68
2025-02-02 161.31 0.00 2.76 18.55 66.50 307.00 474.04 537.11 568.65
2025-02-09 149.71 0.00 0.00 9.30 54.81 299.61 466.51 529.56 561.09
2025-02-16 147.97 0.00 0.00 7.38 54.53 302.65 474.60 539.57 572.05
2025-02-23 158.39 0.00 0.00 13.00 63.22 312.23 483.13 548.16 580.68
2025-03-02 169.97 0.00 4.94 22.18 72.91 321.01 487.93 552.00 584.04
2025-03-09 153.06 0.00 4.93 19.77 64.07 298.05 456.96 517.71 548.08
2025-03-16 131.97 0.00 2.86 14.89 52.03 267.97 419.05 477.22 506.30
2025-03-23 127.26 0.00 2.56 15.05 51.97 256.26 397.22 451.78 479.06
2025-03-30 125.99 0.00 4.71 17.04 53.74 247.03 380.80 432.14 457.80
2025-04-06 116.65 0.00 3.12 14.94 50.20 230.72 357.51 406.14 430.45
2025-04-13 110.90 0.00 4.84 15.60 47.88 217.44 335.32 380.58 403.21
2025-04-20 97.77 0.00 3.82 13.52 41.91 200.84 315.88 360.37 382.62
2025-04-27 83.28 1.11 4.75 12.02 35.01 179.02 287.01 328.42 349.12
2025-05-04 75.58 3.79 6.97 13.33 33.19 164.10 266.99 306.26 325.89
2025-05-11 72.46 9.08 11.85 17.38 34.76 156.64 257.21 295.85 315.17
2025-05-18 66.11 6.14 9.03 14.79 31.65 145.29 242.10 279.61 298.37
2025-05-25 64.33 7.09 9.69 14.90 30.13 143.14 236.04 272.29 290.41
2025-06-01 56.51 5.98 8.02 12.10 24.84 135.92 226.66 261.65 279.14
2025-06-08 55.00 7.49 9.62 13.89 25.53 132.02 221.45 255.81 272.99
2025-06-15 52.74 8.82 10.65 14.32 25.79 125.17 212.85 247.00 264.08
2025-06-22 47.91 6.43 8.33 12.14 22.64 118.93 203.88 236.84 253.32
2025-06-29 45.48 5.36 7.08 10.53 20.39 113.28 195.82 228.10 244.25
2025-07-06 41.91 10.41 11.76 14.46 21.75 104.14 181.00 211.02 226.03
2025-07-13 36.84 8.82 10.19 12.93 19.80 90.44 159.97 187.26 200.90
2025-07-20 38.77 8.86 10.38 13.40 20.97 87.23 157.74 186.18 200.41
2025-07-27 41.20 9.88 11.46 14.63 22.94 89.83 154.40 179.76 192.44
2025-08-03 35.69 8.62 9.92 12.52 19.15 81.28 140.15 163.57 175.28
2025-08-10 33.28 8.56 9.77 12.20 18.44 75.80 133.26 155.70 166.92
2025-08-17 36.50 12.43 13.45 15.49 21.72 79.31 137.59 160.25 171.58
2025-08-24 33.29 7.82 9.03 11.46 18.08 75.53 128.10 148.07 158.05
2025-08-31 29.76 9.51 10.44 12.31 17.94 70.04 120.28 139.22 148.69
2025-09-07 25.28 6.93 7.87 9.76 14.73 63.44 114.81 135.08 145.21
2025-09-14 19.64 6.54 7.11 8.24 11.59 47.97 81.44 93.94 100.19
2025-09-21 19.56 6.20 6.78 7.93 11.39 42.77 72.55 84.07 89.83
2025-09-28 18.00 5.76 6.38 7.61 11.05 37.63 64.16 74.40 79.52
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