Prediction 2183
| Model | Chronos-Bolt |
|---|---|
| Author | Davi Sales Barreira |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Validation set 3 for MS using Chronos-Bolt
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 18.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.59 | 92.31 | 103.43 | 108.99 |
| 2024-10-13 | 6.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 40.54 | 70.87 | 81.05 | 86.14 |
| 2024-10-20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.90 | 57.96 | 67.80 | 72.72 |
| 2024-10-27 | 23.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 49.00 | 83.74 | 96.87 | 103.43 |
| 2024-11-03 | 55.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.06 | 59.56 | 81.69 | 92.40 | 97.76 |
| 2024-11-10 | 37.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.25 | 45.36 | 89.12 | 108.85 | 118.72 |
| 2024-11-17 | 24.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.93 | 90.75 | 115.82 | 128.35 |
| 2024-11-24 | 45.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.03 | 128.86 | 160.37 | 176.12 |
| 2024-12-01 | 63.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.73 | 92.88 | 177.70 | 213.92 | 232.02 |
| 2024-12-08 | 56.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.50 | 95.57 | 213.09 | 265.47 | 291.67 |
| 2024-12-15 | 74.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 42.40 | 124.53 | 288.96 | 361.54 | 397.84 |
| 2024-12-22 | 94.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 48.26 | 176.14 | 380.27 | 467.06 | 510.45 |
| 2024-12-29 | 112.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 51.33 | 234.79 | 485.08 | 588.91 | 640.83 |
| 2025-01-05 | 137.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.59 | 294.96 | 596.09 | 717.88 | 778.78 |
| 2025-01-12 | 181.08 | 0.00 | 4.35 | 26.78 | 88.53 | 390.07 | 737.16 | 875.31 | 944.38 |
| 2025-01-19 | 248.59 | 10.95 | 25.78 | 55.42 | 134.02 | 488.90 | 876.24 | 1028.53 | 1104.68 |
| 2025-01-26 | 339.96 | 49.62 | 66.00 | 98.77 | 189.97 | 629.30 | 1051.00 | 1216.52 | 1299.28 |
| 2025-02-02 | 454.28 | 84.76 | 104.27 | 143.29 | 256.31 | 796.45 | 1287.98 | 1480.45 | 1576.68 |
| 2025-02-09 | 546.66 | 142.92 | 162.26 | 200.96 | 318.79 | 931.21 | 1468.63 | 1678.29 | 1783.13 |
| 2025-02-16 | 653.93 | 192.35 | 215.78 | 262.65 | 404.48 | 1090.14 | 1663.31 | 1886.86 | 1998.63 |
| 2025-02-23 | 778.03 | 240.20 | 269.28 | 327.44 | 494.56 | 1248.42 | 1862.21 | 2099.56 | 2218.24 |
| 2025-03-02 | 885.27 | 266.89 | 301.26 | 369.98 | 561.30 | 1395.05 | 2058.03 | 2316.18 | 2445.25 |
| 2025-03-09 | 1017.31 | 313.55 | 351.88 | 428.55 | 645.15 | 1567.13 | 2266.21 | 2537.76 | 2673.53 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1202.29 | 345.26 | 392.85 | 488.04 | 764.89 | 1789.17 | 2530.93 | 2823.81 | 2970.25 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1363.90 | 375.58 | 433.10 | 548.12 | 873.94 | 2017.44 | 2808.23 | 3116.87 | 3271.20 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1516.29 | 393.74 | 458.86 | 589.09 | 963.80 | 2230.46 | 3069.92 | 3392.97 | 3554.50 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1583.05 | 371.87 | 446.25 | 595.01 | 1017.84 | 2326.39 | 3173.84 | 3498.04 | 3660.14 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1567.52 | 358.00 | 432.12 | 580.35 | 997.27 | 2281.56 | 3121.24 | 3444.62 | 3606.31 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1402.35 | 343.99 | 405.74 | 529.24 | 881.92 | 2105.40 | 2922.77 | 3236.68 | 3393.63 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1433.75 | 299.76 | 365.08 | 495.72 | 874.72 | 2149.88 | 2969.14 | 3279.88 | 3435.24 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1394.09 | 222.93 | 288.95 | 420.98 | 807.71 | 2119.45 | 2931.43 | 3236.28 | 3388.71 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1239.25 | 182.85 | 238.50 | 349.79 | 689.63 | 1933.42 | 2744.96 | 3055.44 | 3210.67 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1113.87 | 155.41 | 207.39 | 311.34 | 619.67 | 1762.94 | 2518.76 | 2809.04 | 2954.18 |
| 2025-05-25 | 911.07 | 126.47 | 167.22 | 248.74 | 489.43 | 1507.71 | 2212.29 | 2485.35 | 2621.88 |
| 2025-06-01 | 805.71 | 104.65 | 140.79 | 213.09 | 423.24 | 1362.63 | 2011.23 | 2261.05 | 2385.96 |
| 2025-06-08 | 692.55 | 61.07 | 92.38 | 155.02 | 343.13 | 1216.10 | 1827.86 | 2060.49 | 2176.80 |
| 2025-06-15 | 564.57 | 19.45 | 45.46 | 97.47 | 256.28 | 1058.01 | 1646.46 | 1873.62 | 1987.19 |
| 2025-06-22 | 471.24 | 0.00 | 16.99 | 63.56 | 203.29 | 928.42 | 1468.89 | 1675.83 | 1779.29 |
| 2025-06-29 | 411.88 | 0.66 | 20.16 | 59.17 | 175.52 | 824.87 | 1331.13 | 1525.30 | 1622.39 |
| 2025-07-06 | 349.31 | 0.00 | 7.74 | 42.09 | 146.00 | 734.95 | 1213.47 | 1397.65 | 1489.74 |
| 2025-07-13 | 307.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.61 | 124.56 | 662.44 | 1117.16 | 1292.34 | 1379.93 |
| 2025-07-20 | 280.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.85 | 103.82 | 629.46 | 1084.11 | 1259.93 | 1347.84 |
| 2025-07-27 | 263.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.98 | 97.94 | 602.50 | 1053.18 | 1227.60 | 1314.82 |
| 2025-08-03 | 272.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.90 | 104.83 | 606.11 | 1028.37 | 1188.00 | 1267.81 |
| 2025-08-10 | 266.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.65 | 99.41 | 586.93 | 996.84 | 1153.67 | 1232.08 |
| 2025-08-17 | 240.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.37 | 554.02 | 978.44 | 1143.39 | 1225.86 |
| 2025-08-24 | 241.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.07 | 550.00 | 964.56 | 1125.64 | 1206.18 |
| 2025-08-31 | 273.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 97.06 | 574.99 | 978.99 | 1135.36 | 1213.54 |
| 2025-09-07 | 297.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.14 | 119.64 | 592.48 | 1002.00 | 1163.61 | 1244.41 |
| 2025-09-14 | 294.96 | 0.00 | 11.48 | 37.60 | 122.62 | 571.72 | 876.71 | 991.22 | 1048.48 |
| 2025-09-21 | 330.83 | 16.57 | 31.67 | 61.86 | 155.47 | 563.29 | 897.81 | 1034.27 | 1102.50 |
| 2025-09-28 | 358.60 | 32.22 | 49.50 | 84.06 | 184.45 | 611.52 | 954.28 | 1091.96 | 1160.81 |
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