Prediction 22
Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
---|---|
Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2211001 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2211001 como input
Mostrar Tabela
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2022-01-02 | 27.43 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 266.28 | - |
2022-01-09 | 43.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 248.63 | - |
2022-01-16 | 33.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 283.30 | - |
2022-01-23 | 37.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 299.68 | - |
2022-01-30 | 25.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 306.88 | - |
2022-02-06 | 53.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 418.65 | - |
2022-02-13 | 80.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 447.39 | - |
2022-02-20 | 100.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 361.22 | - |
2022-02-27 | 81.38 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 210.74 | - |
2022-03-06 | 190.15 | - | 12.34 | - | - | - | - | 367.96 | - |
2022-03-13 | 226.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 474.84 | - |
2022-03-20 | 313.35 | - | 73.96 | - | - | - | - | 552.74 | - |
2022-03-27 | 379.33 | - | 196.99 | - | - | - | - | 561.67 | - |
2022-04-03 | 206.67 | - | 25.20 | - | - | - | - | 388.14 | - |
2022-04-10 | 303.69 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 802.48 | - |
2022-04-17 | 347.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1171.49 | - |
2022-04-24 | 415.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1580.63 | - |
2022-05-01 | 372.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1604.55 | - |
2022-05-08 | 326.64 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1558.67 | - |
2022-05-15 | 335.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1567.60 | - |
2022-05-22 | 338.16 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1570.19 | - |
2022-05-29 | 302.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1534.45 | - |
2022-06-05 | 228.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1461.01 | - |
2022-06-12 | 207.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1439.63 | - |
2022-06-19 | 199.10 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1431.13 | - |
2022-06-26 | 178.91 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1313.06 | - |
2022-07-03 | 128.87 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1302.79 | - |
2022-07-10 | 214.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1244.12 | - |
2022-07-17 | 153.92 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1128.94 | - |
2022-07-24 | 145.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1040.67 | - |
2022-07-31 | 160.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 816.35 | - |
2022-08-07 | 214.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 814.65 | - |
2022-08-14 | 213.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 683.10 | - |
2022-08-21 | 72.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 452.69 | - |
2022-08-28 | 46.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 375.79 | - |
2022-09-04 | 49.70 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 253.25 | - |
2022-09-11 | 34.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 255.08 | - |
2022-09-18 | 22.05 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 295.08 | - |
2022-09-25 | 18.13 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 308.42 | - |
2022-10-02 | 14.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 308.33 | - |
2022-10-09 | 13.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 297.61 | - |
2022-10-16 | 11.65 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 230.75 | - |
2022-10-23 | 9.42 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 280.92 | - |
2022-10-30 | 12.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 258.63 | - |
2022-11-06 | 10.87 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 304.92 | - |
2022-11-13 | 14.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 359.62 | - |
2022-11-20 | 9.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 290.08 | - |
2022-11-27 | 11.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 244.90 | - |
2022-12-04 | 8.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 254.57 | - |
2022-12-11 | 18.87 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 364.45 | - |
2022-12-18 | 32.27 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 366.60 | - |
2022-12-25 | 26.36 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 196.02 | - |
2023-01-01 | 24.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 230.86 | - |
2023-01-08 | 22.60 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 319.05 | - |
2023-01-15 | 21.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 385.23 | - |
2023-01-22 | 38.20 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 387.10 | - |
2023-01-29 | 22.05 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 354.89 | - |
2023-02-05 | 93.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 354.27 | - |
2023-02-12 | 109.73 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 245.84 | - |
2023-02-19 | 116.76 | - | 24.10 | - | - | - | - | 209.42 | - |
2023-02-26 | 163.79 | - | 44.37 | - | - | - | - | 283.21 | - |
2023-03-05 | 160.83 | - | 86.64 | - | - | - | - | 235.02 | - |
2023-03-12 | 361.30 | - | 291.65 | - | - | - | - | 430.95 | - |
2023-03-19 | 376.59 | - | 320.31 | - | - | - | - | 432.87 | - |
2023-03-26 | 381.54 | - | 322.49 | - | - | - | - | 440.59 | - |
2023-04-02 | 419.64 | - | 316.77 | - | - | - | - | 522.51 | - |
2023-04-09 | 430.73 | - | 318.56 | - | - | - | - | 542.90 | - |
2023-04-16 | 439.07 | - | 307.22 | - | - | - | - | 570.92 | - |
2023-04-23 | 464.71 | - | 165.79 | - | - | - | - | 763.63 | - |
2023-04-30 | 402.29 | - | 47.82 | - | - | - | - | 756.76 | - |
2023-05-07 | 348.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 793.52 | - |
2023-05-14 | 406.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 933.13 | - |
2023-05-21 | 364.47 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 859.27 | - |
2023-05-28 | 363.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 825.90 | - |
2023-06-04 | 295.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 663.60 | - |
2023-06-11 | 181.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 473.58 | - |
2023-06-18 | 192.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 449.73 | - |
2023-06-25 | 294.61 | - | 41.82 | - | - | - | - | 547.40 | - |
2023-07-02 | 101.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 328.35 | - |