Prediction 22

Dengue Python Quantitative Weekly ADM 2

Modelo Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction
Autor Eduardo Correa Araujo

Descrição:

Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2211001 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2211001 como input


Mostrar Tabela
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-01-02 27.43 - 0.00 - - - - 266.28 -
2022-01-09 43.49 - 0.00 - - - - 248.63 -
2022-01-16 33.19 - 0.00 - - - - 283.30 -
2022-01-23 37.55 - 0.00 - - - - 299.68 -
2022-01-30 25.19 - 0.00 - - - - 306.88 -
2022-02-06 53.53 - 0.00 - - - - 418.65 -
2022-02-13 80.92 - 0.00 - - - - 447.39 -
2022-02-20 100.57 - 0.00 - - - - 361.22 -
2022-02-27 81.38 - 0.00 - - - - 210.74 -
2022-03-06 190.15 - 12.34 - - - - 367.96 -
2022-03-13 226.78 - 0.00 - - - - 474.84 -
2022-03-20 313.35 - 73.96 - - - - 552.74 -
2022-03-27 379.33 - 196.99 - - - - 561.67 -
2022-04-03 206.67 - 25.20 - - - - 388.14 -
2022-04-10 303.69 - 0.00 - - - - 802.48 -
2022-04-17 347.01 - 0.00 - - - - 1171.49 -
2022-04-24 415.92 - 0.00 - - - - 1580.63 -
2022-05-01 372.52 - 0.00 - - - - 1604.55 -
2022-05-08 326.64 - 0.00 - - - - 1558.67 -
2022-05-15 335.57 - 0.00 - - - - 1567.60 -
2022-05-22 338.16 - 0.00 - - - - 1570.19 -
2022-05-29 302.42 - 0.00 - - - - 1534.45 -
2022-06-05 228.98 - 0.00 - - - - 1461.01 -
2022-06-12 207.60 - 0.00 - - - - 1439.63 -
2022-06-19 199.10 - 0.00 - - - - 1431.13 -
2022-06-26 178.91 - 0.00 - - - - 1313.06 -
2022-07-03 128.87 - 0.00 - - - - 1302.79 -
2022-07-10 214.62 - 0.00 - - - - 1244.12 -
2022-07-17 153.92 - 0.00 - - - - 1128.94 -
2022-07-24 145.49 - 0.00 - - - - 1040.67 -
2022-07-31 160.28 - 0.00 - - - - 816.35 -
2022-08-07 214.86 - 0.00 - - - - 814.65 -
2022-08-14 213.66 - 0.00 - - - - 683.10 -
2022-08-21 72.36 - 0.00 - - - - 452.69 -
2022-08-28 46.44 - 0.00 - - - - 375.79 -
2022-09-04 49.70 - 0.00 - - - - 253.25 -
2022-09-11 34.27 - 0.00 - - - - 255.08 -
2022-09-18 22.05 - 0.00 - - - - 295.08 -
2022-09-25 18.13 - 0.00 - - - - 308.42 -
2022-10-02 14.25 - 0.00 - - - - 308.33 -
2022-10-09 13.63 - 0.00 - - - - 297.61 -
2022-10-16 11.65 - 0.00 - - - - 230.75 -
2022-10-23 9.42 - 0.00 - - - - 280.92 -
2022-10-30 12.84 - 0.00 - - - - 258.63 -
2022-11-06 10.87 - 0.00 - - - - 304.92 -
2022-11-13 14.19 - 0.00 - - - - 359.62 -
2022-11-20 9.62 - 0.00 - - - - 290.08 -
2022-11-27 11.28 - 0.00 - - - - 244.90 -
2022-12-04 8.28 - 0.00 - - - - 254.57 -
2022-12-11 18.87 - 0.00 - - - - 364.45 -
2022-12-18 32.27 - 0.00 - - - - 366.60 -
2022-12-25 26.36 - 0.00 - - - - 196.02 -
2023-01-01 24.66 - 0.00 - - - - 230.86 -
2023-01-08 22.60 - 0.00 - - - - 319.05 -
2023-01-15 21.21 - 0.00 - - - - 385.23 -
2023-01-22 38.20 - 0.00 - - - - 387.10 -
2023-01-29 22.05 - 0.00 - - - - 354.89 -
2023-02-05 93.86 - 0.00 - - - - 354.27 -
2023-02-12 109.73 - 0.00 - - - - 245.84 -
2023-02-19 116.76 - 24.10 - - - - 209.42 -
2023-02-26 163.79 - 44.37 - - - - 283.21 -
2023-03-05 160.83 - 86.64 - - - - 235.02 -
2023-03-12 361.30 - 291.65 - - - - 430.95 -
2023-03-19 376.59 - 320.31 - - - - 432.87 -
2023-03-26 381.54 - 322.49 - - - - 440.59 -
2023-04-02 419.64 - 316.77 - - - - 522.51 -
2023-04-09 430.73 - 318.56 - - - - 542.90 -
2023-04-16 439.07 - 307.22 - - - - 570.92 -
2023-04-23 464.71 - 165.79 - - - - 763.63 -
2023-04-30 402.29 - 47.82 - - - - 756.76 -
2023-05-07 348.83 - 0.00 - - - - 793.52 -
2023-05-14 406.55 - 0.00 - - - - 933.13 -
2023-05-21 364.47 - 0.00 - - - - 859.27 -
2023-05-28 363.77 - 0.00 - - - - 825.90 -
2023-06-04 295.86 - 0.00 - - - - 663.60 -
2023-06-11 181.62 - 0.00 - - - - 473.58 -
2023-06-18 192.75 - 0.00 - - - - 449.73 -
2023-06-25 294.61 - 41.82 - - - - 547.40 -
2023-07-02 101.26 - 0.00 - - - - 328.35 -