Prediction 23
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2800308 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2800308 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 10.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 23.08 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 17.28 | - | 13.97 | - | - | - | - | 20.59 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 10.87 | - | 2.51 | - | - | - | - | 19.23 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 6.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 32.38 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 8.02 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 48.94 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 5.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 29.24 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 12.48 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 43.45 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 11.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 44.32 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 7.06 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 36.90 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 9.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 49.85 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 8.56 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 47.71 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 35.04 | - | 2.28 | - | - | - | - | 67.80 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 14.53 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 46.86 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 41.53 | - | 16.12 | - | - | - | - | 66.94 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 15.95 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 46.51 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 20.56 | - | 0.64 | - | - | - | - | 40.48 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 40.55 | - | 8.41 | - | - | - | - | 72.69 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 49.16 | - | 13.88 | - | - | - | - | 84.44 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 67.19 | - | 26.11 | - | - | - | - | 108.27 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 64.29 | - | 5.76 | - | - | - | - | 122.82 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 121.30 | - | 31.65 | - | - | - | - | 210.95 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 96.27 | - | 4.76 | - | - | - | - | 187.78 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 109.26 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 220.68 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 136.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 291.81 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 125.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 270.49 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 119.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 309.16 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 110.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 329.73 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 107.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 369.64 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 89.71 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 351.91 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 96.00 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 358.20 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 89.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 351.00 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 99.31 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 361.51 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 80.87 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 343.07 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 79.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 341.92 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 78.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 340.64 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 78.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 340.57 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 79.52 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 341.72 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 84.62 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 346.82 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 79.75 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 341.95 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 85.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 316.44 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 83.91 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 290.06 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 76.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 234.69 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 80.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 209.35 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 79.59 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 206.75 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 92.12 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 228.36 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 102.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 226.06 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 69.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 188.32 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 73.55 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 182.55 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 76.86 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 186.39 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 77.96 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 191.63 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 55.89 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 165.74 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 56.30 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 159.17 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 46.18 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 134.58 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 50.41 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 130.65 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 35.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 108.56 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 30.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 101.73 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 52.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 146.82 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 95.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 212.27 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 103.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 210.93 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 84.22 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 184.21 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 82.18 | - | 0.81 | - | - | - | - | 163.55 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 84.07 | - | 16.20 | - | - | - | - | 151.94 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 93.49 | - | 27.44 | - | - | - | - | 159.54 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 54.84 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 120.80 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 65.01 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 133.00 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 82.11 | - | 22.66 | - | - | - | - | 141.56 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 112.90 | - | 52.08 | - | - | - | - | 173.72 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 119.39 | - | 58.53 | - | - | - | - | 180.25 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 90.08 | - | 27.48 | - | - | - | - | 152.68 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 130.39 | - | 52.57 | - | - | - | - | 208.21 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 148.24 | - | 69.10 | - | - | - | - | 227.38 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 113.17 | - | 10.98 | - | - | - | - | 215.36 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 90.34 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 223.19 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 66.21 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 194.89 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 76.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 217.01 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 85.87 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 207.20 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 91.67 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 195.69 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 42.29 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 142.88 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 113.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 251.02 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
