Prediction 2365
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 401.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 21.00 | 2415.25 | 7439.50 | 11762.95 | 16133.80 |
| 2024-10-13 | 388.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 29.00 | 2260.50 | 6553.20 | 11990.45 | 16972.26 |
| 2024-10-20 | 384.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 30.75 | 2170.50 | 5648.20 | 8232.89 | 12035.51 |
| 2024-10-27 | 465.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 45.75 | 2451.00 | 6575.60 | 10085.25 | 13789.16 |
| 2024-11-03 | 550.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 46.00 | 2637.50 | 7342.90 | 10809.70 | 15287.63 |
| 2024-11-10 | 599.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 60.00 | 2897.75 | 8408.40 | 12676.00 | 16289.53 |
| 2024-11-17 | 969.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 9.0 | 111.75 | 3625.75 | 8435.60 | 12553.30 | 17671.76 |
| 2024-11-24 | 1138.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 15.0 | 176.00 | 4376.75 | 10214.80 | 13970.40 | 20184.68 |
| 2024-12-01 | 1480.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 27.0 | 281.75 | 4952.00 | 11419.30 | 17349.80 | 20828.18 |
| 2024-12-08 | 1717.0 | 1.00 | 11.00 | 48.0 | 305.75 | 4963.25 | 11661.49 | 17310.10 | 24673.45 |
| 2024-12-15 | 1916.5 | 5.98 | 13.95 | 61.0 | 371.50 | 5735.00 | 11834.89 | 17293.80 | 21699.03 |
| 2024-12-22 | 2602.0 | 11.00 | 43.95 | 139.0 | 628.75 | 7165.00 | 14461.10 | 18854.35 | 24403.81 |
| 2024-12-29 | 2933.0 | 14.00 | 63.65 | 195.0 | 910.75 | 7469.50 | 14293.20 | 19519.49 | 24942.78 |
| 2025-01-05 | 3736.5 | 42.97 | 120.45 | 369.7 | 1231.50 | 8230.00 | 14568.89 | 19908.50 | 24469.79 |
| 2025-01-12 | 4249.5 | 83.97 | 205.45 | 481.6 | 1457.00 | 9738.00 | 16670.30 | 21724.25 | 27174.28 |
| 2025-01-19 | 4708.0 | 119.75 | 296.95 | 589.8 | 1779.75 | 10525.00 | 19198.40 | 24792.54 | 31098.25 |
| 2025-01-26 | 5382.0 | 135.95 | 335.85 | 871.0 | 2102.50 | 11388.75 | 20256.60 | 26901.30 | 30474.68 |
| 2025-02-02 | 6317.5 | 293.25 | 620.50 | 1104.5 | 2646.25 | 12575.75 | 21659.79 | 27282.55 | 32523.35 |
| 2025-02-09 | 6996.0 | 334.62 | 698.85 | 1202.1 | 3220.00 | 13015.50 | 21709.10 | 28641.05 | 33171.32 |
| 2025-02-16 | 7387.0 | 381.98 | 669.65 | 1268.3 | 3251.00 | 13751.25 | 24318.20 | 30225.10 | 36605.90 |
| 2025-02-23 | 8244.5 | 617.85 | 887.50 | 1567.9 | 3892.75 | 14252.00 | 23551.00 | 30290.14 | 35126.30 |
| 2025-03-02 | 8568.0 | 572.60 | 1055.80 | 1722.6 | 3909.25 | 15940.00 | 23625.20 | 30917.59 | 37057.84 |
| 2025-03-09 | 9091.5 | 707.23 | 1213.10 | 2105.9 | 4447.75 | 16223.00 | 26185.00 | 34317.09 | 39038.55 |
| 2025-03-16 | 9670.0 | 897.48 | 1514.65 | 2335.6 | 4631.25 | 16543.75 | 25065.29 | 32291.60 | 38285.30 |
| 2025-03-23 | 9633.5 | 860.25 | 1477.30 | 2226.9 | 4692.50 | 17113.50 | 26938.30 | 33962.15 | 40310.73 |
| 2025-03-30 | 8780.0 | 623.90 | 1033.40 | 1821.6 | 4119.50 | 16174.25 | 24435.60 | 29341.65 | 37165.31 |
| 2025-04-06 | 9612.0 | 822.58 | 1320.00 | 2333.3 | 5029.75 | 16184.00 | 24319.10 | 30017.70 | 37254.27 |
| 2025-04-13 | 8653.5 | 494.85 | 846.15 | 1799.9 | 4035.50 | 16689.50 | 25239.20 | 31233.25 | 40298.74 |
| 2025-04-20 | 8253.0 | 547.00 | 812.80 | 1518.5 | 3674.75 | 15887.00 | 24414.39 | 31128.10 | 39858.23 |
| 2025-04-27 | 7685.0 | 541.60 | 959.65 | 1557.7 | 3352.25 | 14363.25 | 23141.00 | 29150.95 | 35807.26 |
| 2025-05-04 | 7741.5 | 509.45 | 777.55 | 1523.9 | 3673.00 | 14880.00 | 23842.40 | 30973.90 | 35638.39 |
| 2025-05-11 | 6899.5 | 241.98 | 537.55 | 1174.5 | 2806.75 | 13207.25 | 23698.39 | 31854.15 | 36933.07 |
| 2025-05-18 | 5625.0 | 184.85 | 434.90 | 807.8 | 2251.75 | 12149.50 | 19164.80 | 24635.30 | 30601.77 |
| 2025-05-25 | 5328.5 | 135.80 | 266.85 | 659.1 | 2325.50 | 10937.00 | 17837.50 | 23987.35 | 28772.43 |
| 2025-06-01 | 4411.5 | 94.97 | 168.00 | 519.8 | 1550.25 | 9385.50 | 16871.00 | 23282.69 | 29811.35 |
| 2025-06-08 | 4097.5 | 81.88 | 196.90 | 550.7 | 1613.50 | 9586.50 | 16920.30 | 21307.05 | 26338.33 |
| 2025-06-15 | 3500.0 | 44.97 | 96.00 | 291.5 | 1165.00 | 7848.00 | 15235.90 | 21431.45 | 26236.53 |
| 2025-06-22 | 3049.5 | 21.00 | 53.00 | 186.7 | 825.25 | 7477.50 | 13663.20 | 19311.65 | 22264.20 |
| 2025-06-29 | 2376.0 | 5.00 | 32.00 | 114.0 | 515.25 | 6354.50 | 12414.40 | 17706.05 | 22559.61 |
| 2025-07-06 | 2250.5 | 5.98 | 21.95 | 63.9 | 496.50 | 5852.25 | 11873.60 | 16033.70 | 20097.26 |
| 2025-07-13 | 1460.5 | 1.98 | 10.00 | 34.0 | 305.50 | 4697.75 | 9364.50 | 13421.90 | 18029.08 |
| 2025-07-20 | 1270.5 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 23.0 | 206.00 | 4889.50 | 10291.90 | 15778.00 | 21664.46 |
| 2025-07-27 | 1142.0 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 10.0 | 135.00 | 3920.75 | 9111.10 | 13108.25 | 17663.88 |
| 2025-08-03 | 895.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 110.00 | 3586.75 | 8279.80 | 12366.55 | 15692.18 |
| 2025-08-10 | 804.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.0 | 85.50 | 3372.50 | 8449.80 | 12312.15 | 17107.13 |
| 2025-08-17 | 544.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 51.00 | 3206.00 | 7554.40 | 11099.60 | 15043.92 |
| 2025-08-24 | 572.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 38.75 | 2441.25 | 6484.60 | 9800.55 | 15171.03 |
| 2025-08-31 | 431.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 33.75 | 2266.50 | 6585.00 | 10952.75 | 15554.32 |
| 2025-09-07 | 403.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 31.00 | 2164.25 | 5924.80 | 9418.30 | 14166.73 |
| 2025-09-14 | 302.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 2040.50 | 6281.60 | 9913.40 | 14274.38 |
| 2025-09-21 | 392.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 22.00 | 2620.25 | 6845.70 | 11001.55 | 15080.16 |
| 2025-09-28 | 314.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 21.50 | 2153.25 | 6160.90 | 10237.30 | 14430.63 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
