Prediction 2366

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Modelo fourier-gravidade
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Minas Gerais

Description:

Prediction Validation test 3 in MG


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2024-10-06 300.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 27.75 1274.50 3500.80 5648.15 8424.30
2024-10-13 299.5 0.00 0.00 2.0 29.00 1284.75 3627.00 5217.60 7034.83
2024-10-20 294.5 0.00 0.00 1.9 32.75 1431.00 3529.40 5630.20 7650.83
2024-10-27 386.5 0.00 0.00 2.0 49.75 1784.25 4197.80 6201.50 8011.10
2024-11-03 529.0 0.00 1.00 5.0 74.50 1886.25 4576.10 6422.15 8392.35
2024-11-10 492.5 0.00 1.00 7.0 62.75 1984.25 4376.50 6396.25 7987.20
2024-11-17 571.0 0.00 1.00 8.0 88.00 1937.50 4366.00 6557.60 9195.83
2024-11-24 816.5 1.00 4.95 16.0 152.00 2536.75 5393.70 7993.80 10704.18
2024-12-01 1057.5 3.00 10.00 30.0 191.75 3027.50 5659.60 7869.55 10252.68
2024-12-08 970.0 5.00 14.00 44.9 259.00 2745.25 6108.50 8620.05 11162.23
2024-12-15 1512.5 9.95 27.95 85.9 402.00 3546.00 6623.00 9130.10 11448.88
2024-12-22 1548.5 15.98 43.90 123.9 501.75 3749.50 7686.50 9717.40 13028.23
2024-12-29 2076.0 38.93 95.90 208.7 667.00 4718.25 7978.90 10488.85 12130.55
2025-01-05 2495.5 94.93 172.85 357.9 879.50 5280.25 8859.90 11506.60 13920.33
2025-01-12 2774.5 80.88 160.95 391.0 1103.50 5536.25 9237.90 11910.60 14652.58
2025-01-19 3282.0 166.48 341.75 629.7 1551.00 6463.25 10368.40 13183.75 15360.70
2025-01-26 3794.5 280.77 445.70 762.8 1839.50 7053.25 10934.50 13964.05 17492.88
2025-02-02 4395.5 336.92 478.90 940.0 2073.75 7914.50 11777.20 14720.10 17301.88
2025-02-09 4766.5 380.00 730.35 1215.0 2419.50 8582.50 12728.60 15618.20 19584.23
2025-02-16 5127.5 515.83 821.95 1375.7 2724.50 8964.00 13331.40 16614.45 20211.18
2025-02-23 5557.0 654.00 923.90 1542.3 3172.00 9183.00 14204.00 17269.85 20663.55
2025-03-02 5905.0 803.50 1207.45 1793.5 3221.00 9714.50 14249.69 17751.75 21017.62
2025-03-09 6422.5 873.48 1280.90 2001.1 3728.50 10752.50 14628.70 18016.50 21529.53
2025-03-16 6251.5 806.95 1249.35 1846.0 3302.25 10273.50 15538.80 17945.99 21877.88
2025-03-23 6095.0 619.83 1122.20 1815.4 3350.00 10446.50 15430.10 19134.95 22783.63
2025-03-30 6256.0 659.78 978.05 1656.8 3256.50 10568.50 15040.10 18635.45 23279.38
2025-04-06 6096.0 846.88 1170.60 1828.1 3479.75 10446.50 15380.70 19362.85 21315.03
2025-04-13 5801.0 695.00 1046.60 1579.1 3120.00 9849.75 15197.60 18138.40 20774.30
2025-04-20 5795.5 605.97 1000.50 1664.6 3180.50 9561.50 13966.40 17339.40 20270.25
2025-04-27 5092.0 502.90 852.95 1293.2 2672.75 8600.00 13427.00 16542.60 18576.33
2025-05-04 5036.5 551.75 788.75 1195.4 2717.75 8717.25 13187.10 16895.60 20240.33
2025-05-11 4507.5 387.00 687.00 1127.3 2192.75 7725.50 12014.60 15636.30 18489.98
2025-05-18 4016.0 315.90 567.90 964.8 1965.50 7109.25 10243.40 12843.40 16381.68
2025-05-25 3398.5 212.58 406.90 686.5 1556.00 6476.00 11134.20 14090.65 16139.10
2025-06-01 3010.5 127.97 223.80 449.6 1233.00 5920.75 9186.20 12024.10 14002.93
2025-06-08 2787.5 112.90 207.70 337.9 1023.75 5545.00 8446.90 11963.10 14684.38
2025-06-15 2230.5 71.97 159.25 298.0 779.00 4568.25 7900.80 10823.25 12880.00
2025-06-22 2083.0 18.95 57.00 173.5 690.75 4375.50 8316.50 10971.80 12943.08
2025-06-29 1566.0 22.98 51.90 123.0 453.50 3968.25 7156.30 9056.90 12042.83
2025-07-06 1254.5 6.00 16.95 64.8 367.00 3189.25 5943.60 7894.35 10263.60
2025-07-13 1129.0 5.00 12.00 58.9 272.75 3230.25 6137.10 8299.60 10620.78
2025-07-20 943.0 1.00 6.00 25.9 181.50 2750.25 5251.90 7599.55 9737.80
2025-07-27 661.5 1.00 4.95 18.0 125.75 2341.50 4962.80 7304.20 8702.68
2025-08-03 587.5 1.00 2.00 11.0 98.00 2042.50 4190.80 5987.30 8341.78
2025-08-10 479.0 0.00 1.00 5.0 60.75 1833.50 4344.50 6248.25 8853.05
2025-08-17 402.5 0.00 0.00 3.0 46.75 1558.75 4249.90 6113.55 8870.38
2025-08-24 325.0 0.00 0.00 2.0 33.00 1467.00 4015.70 6463.30 8759.81
2025-08-31 337.5 0.00 0.00 3.0 29.00 1574.50 3548.50 5767.60 7972.33
2025-09-07 299.5 0.00 0.00 2.0 29.00 1400.25 3808.70 5538.65 6864.21
2025-09-14 291.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 24.00 1356.00 3684.40 5737.90 8310.25
2025-09-21 236.5 0.00 0.00 1.0 18.00 1334.25 3294.20 5247.20 7497.15
2025-09-28 234.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 25.00 1101.50 3382.60 4821.30 6735.69
Chat
chatbot