Prediction 2366
Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
---|---|
Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in MG
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 300.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 27.75 | 1274.50 | 3500.80 | 5648.15 | 8424.30 |
2024-10-13 | 299.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 29.00 | 1284.75 | 3627.00 | 5217.60 | 7034.83 |
2024-10-20 | 294.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.9 | 32.75 | 1431.00 | 3529.40 | 5630.20 | 7650.83 |
2024-10-27 | 386.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 49.75 | 1784.25 | 4197.80 | 6201.50 | 8011.10 |
2024-11-03 | 529.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 74.50 | 1886.25 | 4576.10 | 6422.15 | 8392.35 |
2024-11-10 | 492.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 62.75 | 1984.25 | 4376.50 | 6396.25 | 7987.20 |
2024-11-17 | 571.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 8.0 | 88.00 | 1937.50 | 4366.00 | 6557.60 | 9195.83 |
2024-11-24 | 816.5 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 16.0 | 152.00 | 2536.75 | 5393.70 | 7993.80 | 10704.18 |
2024-12-01 | 1057.5 | 3.00 | 10.00 | 30.0 | 191.75 | 3027.50 | 5659.60 | 7869.55 | 10252.68 |
2024-12-08 | 970.0 | 5.00 | 14.00 | 44.9 | 259.00 | 2745.25 | 6108.50 | 8620.05 | 11162.23 |
2024-12-15 | 1512.5 | 9.95 | 27.95 | 85.9 | 402.00 | 3546.00 | 6623.00 | 9130.10 | 11448.88 |
2024-12-22 | 1548.5 | 15.98 | 43.90 | 123.9 | 501.75 | 3749.50 | 7686.50 | 9717.40 | 13028.23 |
2024-12-29 | 2076.0 | 38.93 | 95.90 | 208.7 | 667.00 | 4718.25 | 7978.90 | 10488.85 | 12130.55 |
2025-01-05 | 2495.5 | 94.93 | 172.85 | 357.9 | 879.50 | 5280.25 | 8859.90 | 11506.60 | 13920.33 |
2025-01-12 | 2774.5 | 80.88 | 160.95 | 391.0 | 1103.50 | 5536.25 | 9237.90 | 11910.60 | 14652.58 |
2025-01-19 | 3282.0 | 166.48 | 341.75 | 629.7 | 1551.00 | 6463.25 | 10368.40 | 13183.75 | 15360.70 |
2025-01-26 | 3794.5 | 280.77 | 445.70 | 762.8 | 1839.50 | 7053.25 | 10934.50 | 13964.05 | 17492.88 |
2025-02-02 | 4395.5 | 336.92 | 478.90 | 940.0 | 2073.75 | 7914.50 | 11777.20 | 14720.10 | 17301.88 |
2025-02-09 | 4766.5 | 380.00 | 730.35 | 1215.0 | 2419.50 | 8582.50 | 12728.60 | 15618.20 | 19584.23 |
2025-02-16 | 5127.5 | 515.83 | 821.95 | 1375.7 | 2724.50 | 8964.00 | 13331.40 | 16614.45 | 20211.18 |
2025-02-23 | 5557.0 | 654.00 | 923.90 | 1542.3 | 3172.00 | 9183.00 | 14204.00 | 17269.85 | 20663.55 |
2025-03-02 | 5905.0 | 803.50 | 1207.45 | 1793.5 | 3221.00 | 9714.50 | 14249.69 | 17751.75 | 21017.62 |
2025-03-09 | 6422.5 | 873.48 | 1280.90 | 2001.1 | 3728.50 | 10752.50 | 14628.70 | 18016.50 | 21529.53 |
2025-03-16 | 6251.5 | 806.95 | 1249.35 | 1846.0 | 3302.25 | 10273.50 | 15538.80 | 17945.99 | 21877.88 |
2025-03-23 | 6095.0 | 619.83 | 1122.20 | 1815.4 | 3350.00 | 10446.50 | 15430.10 | 19134.95 | 22783.63 |
2025-03-30 | 6256.0 | 659.78 | 978.05 | 1656.8 | 3256.50 | 10568.50 | 15040.10 | 18635.45 | 23279.38 |
2025-04-06 | 6096.0 | 846.88 | 1170.60 | 1828.1 | 3479.75 | 10446.50 | 15380.70 | 19362.85 | 21315.03 |
2025-04-13 | 5801.0 | 695.00 | 1046.60 | 1579.1 | 3120.00 | 9849.75 | 15197.60 | 18138.40 | 20774.30 |
2025-04-20 | 5795.5 | 605.97 | 1000.50 | 1664.6 | 3180.50 | 9561.50 | 13966.40 | 17339.40 | 20270.25 |
2025-04-27 | 5092.0 | 502.90 | 852.95 | 1293.2 | 2672.75 | 8600.00 | 13427.00 | 16542.60 | 18576.33 |
2025-05-04 | 5036.5 | 551.75 | 788.75 | 1195.4 | 2717.75 | 8717.25 | 13187.10 | 16895.60 | 20240.33 |
2025-05-11 | 4507.5 | 387.00 | 687.00 | 1127.3 | 2192.75 | 7725.50 | 12014.60 | 15636.30 | 18489.98 |
2025-05-18 | 4016.0 | 315.90 | 567.90 | 964.8 | 1965.50 | 7109.25 | 10243.40 | 12843.40 | 16381.68 |
2025-05-25 | 3398.5 | 212.58 | 406.90 | 686.5 | 1556.00 | 6476.00 | 11134.20 | 14090.65 | 16139.10 |
2025-06-01 | 3010.5 | 127.97 | 223.80 | 449.6 | 1233.00 | 5920.75 | 9186.20 | 12024.10 | 14002.93 |
2025-06-08 | 2787.5 | 112.90 | 207.70 | 337.9 | 1023.75 | 5545.00 | 8446.90 | 11963.10 | 14684.38 |
2025-06-15 | 2230.5 | 71.97 | 159.25 | 298.0 | 779.00 | 4568.25 | 7900.80 | 10823.25 | 12880.00 |
2025-06-22 | 2083.0 | 18.95 | 57.00 | 173.5 | 690.75 | 4375.50 | 8316.50 | 10971.80 | 12943.08 |
2025-06-29 | 1566.0 | 22.98 | 51.90 | 123.0 | 453.50 | 3968.25 | 7156.30 | 9056.90 | 12042.83 |
2025-07-06 | 1254.5 | 6.00 | 16.95 | 64.8 | 367.00 | 3189.25 | 5943.60 | 7894.35 | 10263.60 |
2025-07-13 | 1129.0 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 58.9 | 272.75 | 3230.25 | 6137.10 | 8299.60 | 10620.78 |
2025-07-20 | 943.0 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 25.9 | 181.50 | 2750.25 | 5251.90 | 7599.55 | 9737.80 |
2025-07-27 | 661.5 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 18.0 | 125.75 | 2341.50 | 4962.80 | 7304.20 | 8702.68 |
2025-08-03 | 587.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 11.0 | 98.00 | 2042.50 | 4190.80 | 5987.30 | 8341.78 |
2025-08-10 | 479.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 60.75 | 1833.50 | 4344.50 | 6248.25 | 8853.05 |
2025-08-17 | 402.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 46.75 | 1558.75 | 4249.90 | 6113.55 | 8870.38 |
2025-08-24 | 325.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 33.00 | 1467.00 | 4015.70 | 6463.30 | 8759.81 |
2025-08-31 | 337.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 29.00 | 1574.50 | 3548.50 | 5767.60 | 7972.33 |
2025-09-07 | 299.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 29.00 | 1400.25 | 3808.70 | 5538.65 | 6864.21 |
2025-09-14 | 291.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 24.00 | 1356.00 | 3684.40 | 5737.90 | 8310.25 |
2025-09-21 | 236.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 1334.25 | 3294.20 | 5247.20 | 7497.15 |
2025-09-28 | 234.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 25.00 | 1101.50 | 3382.60 | 4821.30 | 6735.69 |