Prediction 2369
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in RJ
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 198.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 17.00 | 854.25 | 2053.8 | 3243.15 | 4216.50 |
| 2024-10-13 | 187.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 944.00 | 2212.9 | 3011.10 | 4240.90 |
| 2024-10-20 | 179.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 20.75 | 795.00 | 2075.8 | 3027.40 | 4149.23 |
| 2024-10-27 | 206.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 25.00 | 859.50 | 2123.1 | 3082.25 | 4237.83 |
| 2024-11-03 | 216.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 920.50 | 2170.1 | 3216.00 | 4447.93 |
| 2024-11-10 | 227.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 30.00 | 935.25 | 2109.0 | 3421.30 | 5142.68 |
| 2024-11-17 | 270.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 34.00 | 1010.00 | 2258.1 | 3367.45 | 4624.30 |
| 2024-11-24 | 283.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 4.0 | 40.75 | 959.25 | 2018.6 | 3548.80 | 4713.18 |
| 2024-12-01 | 315.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 47.00 | 965.00 | 2437.0 | 3623.60 | 4747.58 |
| 2024-12-08 | 302.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 64.00 | 1134.00 | 2747.7 | 4094.55 | 5468.00 |
| 2024-12-15 | 452.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 15.9 | 99.00 | 1368.00 | 2742.7 | 3997.85 | 5376.95 |
| 2024-12-22 | 492.5 | 1.00 | 2.95 | 12.0 | 91.75 | 1362.00 | 2710.3 | 3918.60 | 6034.23 |
| 2024-12-29 | 531.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 15.9 | 127.50 | 1547.75 | 2906.3 | 4090.40 | 5192.73 |
| 2025-01-05 | 529.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 25.9 | 125.00 | 1535.75 | 3266.8 | 4313.15 | 5657.05 |
| 2025-01-12 | 717.5 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 38.0 | 166.00 | 1810.00 | 3753.1 | 5006.05 | 7055.63 |
| 2025-01-19 | 716.5 | 6.98 | 19.95 | 52.8 | 213.50 | 1810.75 | 3359.9 | 4994.80 | 6250.25 |
| 2025-01-26 | 780.5 | 5.00 | 17.00 | 48.9 | 204.50 | 1821.25 | 3256.0 | 4343.25 | 5585.93 |
| 2025-02-02 | 821.0 | 7.00 | 25.00 | 59.9 | 246.00 | 1960.00 | 3606.1 | 4985.95 | 6056.95 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1013.0 | 15.00 | 33.95 | 87.9 | 308.00 | 2271.75 | 3858.3 | 5556.45 | 7105.28 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1019.5 | 24.95 | 53.95 | 120.9 | 332.00 | 2392.00 | 4038.8 | 5379.90 | 6602.85 |
| 2025-02-23 | 1013.0 | 18.00 | 39.00 | 89.0 | 364.50 | 2397.50 | 4076.5 | 5620.15 | 6720.13 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1025.0 | 21.00 | 45.00 | 116.8 | 380.75 | 2390.50 | 4252.3 | 5945.80 | 7658.08 |
| 2025-03-09 | 1130.5 | 31.98 | 67.00 | 170.0 | 450.75 | 2451.75 | 4247.6 | 5296.40 | 6423.55 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1234.5 | 20.95 | 59.95 | 141.7 | 500.50 | 2628.50 | 4476.9 | 6061.05 | 7315.13 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1246.0 | 28.93 | 49.85 | 125.6 | 468.50 | 2560.00 | 4662.0 | 5967.10 | 7277.88 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1187.5 | 28.00 | 61.75 | 132.7 | 419.25 | 2557.25 | 4379.1 | 6030.55 | 7477.48 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1235.0 | 27.98 | 62.95 | 136.4 | 454.25 | 2701.25 | 4849.7 | 6282.50 | 7568.05 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1281.0 | 32.97 | 65.95 | 137.0 | 458.25 | 2720.25 | 4394.2 | 5754.05 | 7224.43 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1201.5 | 25.00 | 49.90 | 119.6 | 430.00 | 2535.50 | 4417.9 | 6113.25 | 7299.98 |
| 2025-04-27 | 967.5 | 20.93 | 38.00 | 104.9 | 332.25 | 2380.00 | 4261.8 | 5725.45 | 7026.03 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1124.5 | 14.98 | 43.00 | 96.9 | 357.75 | 2425.75 | 4569.1 | 6135.60 | 7557.88 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1006.5 | 24.98 | 37.95 | 108.8 | 373.75 | 2265.75 | 4016.1 | 5432.55 | 7080.45 |
| 2025-05-18 | 969.5 | 16.98 | 36.95 | 82.9 | 310.00 | 2096.25 | 3748.2 | 5052.15 | 6744.98 |
| 2025-05-25 | 817.0 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 54.0 | 262.50 | 1932.75 | 3785.2 | 5384.05 | 6595.13 |
| 2025-06-01 | 844.5 | 4.00 | 14.00 | 46.7 | 209.00 | 2029.50 | 3675.1 | 4972.10 | 6701.50 |
| 2025-06-08 | 727.5 | 3.00 | 12.00 | 38.0 | 196.75 | 1839.25 | 3518.0 | 5350.25 | 6422.83 |
| 2025-06-15 | 631.0 | 3.98 | 11.00 | 44.0 | 181.50 | 1652.00 | 3237.0 | 4533.70 | 6107.45 |
| 2025-06-22 | 628.5 | 1.00 | 8.95 | 28.0 | 153.50 | 1781.75 | 3369.1 | 4249.10 | 5784.73 |
| 2025-06-29 | 550.5 | 2.00 | 8.00 | 19.0 | 129.75 | 1601.50 | 3186.5 | 4843.80 | 5817.75 |
| 2025-07-06 | 411.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 16.0 | 89.00 | 1215.75 | 2739.7 | 3741.35 | 5328.23 |
| 2025-07-13 | 427.5 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 14.0 | 98.50 | 1261.25 | 2689.9 | 4203.15 | 5445.50 |
| 2025-07-20 | 383.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 51.00 | 1284.75 | 2812.7 | 4483.55 | 5416.10 |
| 2025-07-27 | 312.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 51.00 | 1087.25 | 2433.9 | 3996.00 | 5432.00 |
| 2025-08-03 | 225.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 34.00 | 915.75 | 2455.7 | 3430.25 | 5006.50 |
| 2025-08-10 | 263.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 37.00 | 959.00 | 2262.1 | 3272.15 | 4712.28 |
| 2025-08-17 | 249.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 36.75 | 961.00 | 2473.2 | 3663.85 | 4263.02 |
| 2025-08-24 | 257.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 32.75 | 1009.50 | 2406.2 | 3716.70 | 5083.40 |
| 2025-08-31 | 211.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 27.00 | 979.00 | 2276.2 | 3337.85 | 4581.05 |
| 2025-09-07 | 190.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 842.50 | 1912.9 | 3086.50 | 4085.78 |
| 2025-09-14 | 187.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 895.00 | 2143.6 | 3139.40 | 4509.38 |
| 2025-09-21 | 164.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 16.75 | 740.50 | 2124.2 | 2983.75 | 3907.45 |
| 2025-09-28 | 191.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 771.00 | 1827.3 | 2819.05 | 4186.08 |
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