Prediction 2370
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in BA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 226.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 29.75 | 898.75 | 1961.4 | 3097.65 | 4513.93 |
| 2024-10-13 | 263.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 35.75 | 873.25 | 2141.9 | 3367.50 | 4271.35 |
| 2024-10-20 | 247.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 39.00 | 874.25 | 1987.7 | 2804.70 | 3926.33 |
| 2024-10-27 | 220.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 32.00 | 929.75 | 2121.8 | 3287.95 | 4636.18 |
| 2024-11-03 | 287.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 44.00 | 1170.50 | 2230.9 | 3349.45 | 4421.03 |
| 2024-11-10 | 306.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 48.00 | 1114.25 | 2460.1 | 3425.65 | 4831.00 |
| 2024-11-17 | 358.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 8.0 | 62.75 | 1176.75 | 2569.5 | 3564.70 | 4470.45 |
| 2024-11-24 | 389.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 9.0 | 69.75 | 1213.00 | 2460.1 | 3611.40 | 4983.18 |
| 2024-12-01 | 368.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 85.75 | 1146.25 | 2586.8 | 3654.35 | 4689.83 |
| 2024-12-08 | 403.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 14.0 | 86.00 | 1297.50 | 2636.5 | 3583.30 | 4926.18 |
| 2024-12-15 | 468.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 18.0 | 110.75 | 1332.25 | 3096.9 | 4651.65 | 6627.28 |
| 2024-12-22 | 502.0 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 20.0 | 118.75 | 1458.25 | 3036.8 | 4280.15 | 5862.50 |
| 2024-12-29 | 627.0 | 2.00 | 7.95 | 31.0 | 165.00 | 1638.75 | 3179.6 | 4383.35 | 5489.78 |
| 2025-01-05 | 762.0 | 3.00 | 11.00 | 44.0 | 204.75 | 1989.75 | 3467.5 | 4759.10 | 6118.08 |
| 2025-01-12 | 744.0 | 6.00 | 13.95 | 50.0 | 261.00 | 1824.75 | 3507.2 | 4958.15 | 6009.33 |
| 2025-01-19 | 943.5 | 8.00 | 22.95 | 72.7 | 307.50 | 2207.25 | 3887.1 | 4984.60 | 6498.78 |
| 2025-01-26 | 982.5 | 11.95 | 24.95 | 74.9 | 318.00 | 2175.50 | 3850.5 | 5177.90 | 6276.85 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1064.0 | 20.00 | 35.00 | 93.5 | 367.75 | 2389.75 | 4353.3 | 5823.55 | 6950.25 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1129.5 | 27.00 | 65.90 | 157.9 | 442.00 | 2444.50 | 4364.4 | 6017.30 | 7245.00 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1158.5 | 24.98 | 70.00 | 167.9 | 457.50 | 2418.25 | 4309.0 | 5763.20 | 7587.10 |
| 2025-02-23 | 1273.0 | 41.00 | 87.75 | 193.0 | 547.25 | 2651.50 | 4592.6 | 5855.55 | 6989.23 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1405.5 | 30.98 | 96.90 | 197.0 | 573.75 | 2768.00 | 4675.2 | 6206.40 | 7435.35 |
| 2025-03-09 | 1443.5 | 33.00 | 91.85 | 191.9 | 574.50 | 2981.00 | 4798.4 | 6446.90 | 7789.05 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1428.0 | 40.00 | 110.80 | 216.2 | 529.00 | 2985.00 | 4806.0 | 5958.05 | 7381.50 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1539.0 | 68.97 | 125.00 | 263.2 | 683.50 | 2962.75 | 5066.3 | 6326.15 | 7815.73 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1525.5 | 58.97 | 118.75 | 234.9 | 539.25 | 3039.75 | 5060.9 | 6368.55 | 7690.23 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1715.0 | 90.97 | 175.90 | 332.9 | 751.75 | 3146.25 | 5186.1 | 6857.15 | 8600.18 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1534.0 | 60.00 | 105.95 | 261.7 | 687.00 | 3041.50 | 4968.3 | 6486.20 | 8542.41 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1549.0 | 75.00 | 129.85 | 261.7 | 671.25 | 3047.25 | 5387.7 | 7133.25 | 8982.15 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1517.5 | 65.00 | 128.95 | 227.6 | 599.00 | 3076.00 | 5172.1 | 6861.15 | 8050.60 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1492.0 | 59.00 | 103.95 | 214.8 | 612.75 | 2974.00 | 5028.4 | 6489.95 | 8341.68 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1512.0 | 40.00 | 79.90 | 186.9 | 593.00 | 2737.00 | 4896.8 | 6438.55 | 8094.73 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1418.5 | 50.00 | 86.85 | 194.9 | 589.00 | 2815.50 | 5167.7 | 6761.15 | 8315.53 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1165.0 | 26.98 | 51.90 | 141.9 | 463.50 | 2514.25 | 4145.0 | 5615.85 | 6669.19 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1208.5 | 36.97 | 83.00 | 175.0 | 466.25 | 2528.50 | 4215.8 | 5133.15 | 6329.45 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1050.0 | 26.98 | 59.90 | 118.7 | 379.50 | 2312.25 | 4272.4 | 5371.65 | 6805.35 |
| 2025-06-15 | 942.0 | 17.00 | 34.00 | 89.9 | 337.75 | 2099.25 | 3879.8 | 5449.30 | 6512.63 |
| 2025-06-22 | 879.5 | 11.98 | 29.95 | 69.8 | 285.25 | 2141.50 | 3878.6 | 5443.75 | 6709.48 |
| 2025-06-29 | 873.0 | 6.00 | 27.00 | 73.9 | 271.00 | 2164.50 | 4026.0 | 5471.55 | 6875.12 |
| 2025-07-06 | 722.0 | 7.98 | 19.95 | 52.0 | 224.00 | 1813.00 | 3577.0 | 4646.80 | 5795.25 |
| 2025-07-13 | 614.5 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 29.0 | 155.00 | 1749.25 | 3187.9 | 4445.05 | 5928.78 |
| 2025-07-20 | 633.0 | 2.98 | 9.00 | 31.0 | 148.75 | 1721.25 | 3214.7 | 4339.20 | 5650.35 |
| 2025-07-27 | 480.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 18.9 | 123.75 | 1457.50 | 2622.3 | 3924.50 | 5453.58 |
| 2025-08-03 | 475.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 16.0 | 107.50 | 1528.50 | 2909.4 | 3938.45 | 5144.88 |
| 2025-08-10 | 390.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 70.75 | 1280.25 | 2800.0 | 3965.00 | 5006.15 |
| 2025-08-17 | 302.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 56.75 | 1043.25 | 2265.0 | 3736.25 | 5065.00 |
| 2025-08-24 | 330.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 46.00 | 1092.50 | 2605.2 | 3651.60 | 4636.25 |
| 2025-08-31 | 295.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 44.00 | 1119.75 | 2773.4 | 4093.65 | 5023.03 |
| 2025-09-07 | 295.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 4.0 | 42.00 | 955.75 | 2442.3 | 3799.45 | 4727.43 |
| 2025-09-14 | 223.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 31.00 | 949.25 | 2171.8 | 3401.90 | 4665.70 |
| 2025-09-21 | 273.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 39.75 | 998.50 | 2510.7 | 3972.50 | 5138.60 |
| 2025-09-28 | 229.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 35.75 | 971.50 | 2335.3 | 3667.65 | 4672.45 |
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