Prediction 2371
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in ES
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 370.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 73.00 | 1191.25 | 2562.1 | 3610.20 | 4775.02 |
| 2024-10-13 | 391.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 15.9 | 88.00 | 1148.00 | 2441.2 | 3612.15 | 4303.18 |
| 2024-10-20 | 441.5 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 15.0 | 99.00 | 1279.75 | 2718.2 | 3354.20 | 4422.40 |
| 2024-10-27 | 455.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 18.0 | 119.75 | 1259.00 | 2378.5 | 3226.90 | 4309.40 |
| 2024-11-03 | 443.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 108.75 | 1260.75 | 2745.1 | 3789.75 | 5105.50 |
| 2024-11-10 | 482.0 | 1.98 | 5.95 | 21.9 | 115.25 | 1361.75 | 2495.1 | 3779.10 | 4369.15 |
| 2024-11-17 | 517.0 | 2.00 | 6.95 | 25.0 | 138.75 | 1339.50 | 2424.6 | 3390.40 | 4307.93 |
| 2024-11-24 | 558.5 | 3.00 | 10.00 | 32.9 | 138.00 | 1502.25 | 2869.0 | 3835.05 | 4866.08 |
| 2024-12-01 | 567.0 | 2.98 | 14.95 | 45.9 | 163.00 | 1502.75 | 2987.5 | 4007.85 | 5388.40 |
| 2024-12-08 | 655.5 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 46.0 | 198.75 | 1627.50 | 2875.9 | 3945.20 | 5020.51 |
| 2024-12-15 | 758.5 | 20.00 | 33.95 | 73.8 | 262.25 | 1716.25 | 3188.9 | 4390.35 | 5208.43 |
| 2024-12-22 | 864.5 | 7.00 | 25.00 | 73.0 | 293.50 | 1890.00 | 3392.7 | 4612.25 | 5778.85 |
| 2024-12-29 | 844.5 | 16.95 | 36.95 | 99.8 | 319.00 | 2014.00 | 3397.2 | 4614.30 | 5489.03 |
| 2025-01-05 | 928.5 | 18.95 | 50.00 | 117.0 | 322.50 | 1917.50 | 3456.2 | 4716.80 | 6124.88 |
| 2025-01-12 | 1029.5 | 22.98 | 61.95 | 125.0 | 349.25 | 2211.50 | 3760.1 | 4653.75 | 6206.35 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1062.5 | 22.95 | 58.00 | 131.0 | 403.25 | 2285.50 | 3882.9 | 5257.10 | 6828.40 |
| 2025-01-26 | 1176.0 | 43.97 | 74.00 | 156.0 | 441.50 | 2452.25 | 3967.9 | 5051.75 | 6217.28 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1238.0 | 36.97 | 88.90 | 173.7 | 503.75 | 2528.00 | 4265.4 | 5092.40 | 6610.05 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1242.5 | 56.90 | 92.95 | 184.3 | 523.50 | 2516.50 | 4268.6 | 5364.00 | 6634.45 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1294.5 | 60.90 | 103.95 | 195.8 | 561.25 | 2565.50 | 4249.6 | 5472.25 | 6789.60 |
| 2025-02-23 | 1398.5 | 68.88 | 119.65 | 208.9 | 604.25 | 2807.75 | 4511.6 | 5607.40 | 6524.76 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1529.0 | 87.93 | 150.95 | 283.9 | 690.75 | 3060.25 | 4979.8 | 6374.05 | 7728.00 |
| 2025-03-09 | 1614.5 | 117.93 | 187.00 | 343.6 | 743.50 | 3078.50 | 4961.2 | 6132.95 | 7636.16 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1582.5 | 85.88 | 156.00 | 318.9 | 760.75 | 3004.25 | 4844.1 | 5903.40 | 6682.83 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1552.0 | 104.83 | 195.90 | 320.7 | 738.75 | 2910.75 | 4680.4 | 6154.05 | 7261.88 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1620.0 | 76.97 | 173.90 | 318.7 | 733.25 | 3015.00 | 4722.6 | 5704.40 | 6921.38 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1565.0 | 77.93 | 151.80 | 307.6 | 665.75 | 3085.75 | 4833.4 | 6189.25 | 7279.38 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1609.5 | 80.95 | 156.85 | 286.0 | 713.75 | 3013.75 | 4744.7 | 6244.35 | 7532.35 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1453.0 | 71.95 | 120.00 | 228.5 | 620.75 | 2835.75 | 4507.5 | 5668.50 | 7178.68 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1505.0 | 80.00 | 130.95 | 290.9 | 689.25 | 2853.00 | 4803.2 | 6169.85 | 7276.48 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1415.5 | 71.95 | 139.00 | 296.7 | 634.75 | 2675.00 | 4390.5 | 5413.40 | 6820.35 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1279.0 | 55.00 | 96.90 | 183.9 | 522.50 | 2583.25 | 4074.1 | 5474.20 | 6306.83 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1174.5 | 37.97 | 102.00 | 200.9 | 513.50 | 2287.25 | 3991.1 | 5332.80 | 6510.48 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1236.5 | 40.90 | 87.65 | 190.9 | 514.50 | 2535.50 | 3952.3 | 5335.95 | 6694.08 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1135.0 | 37.95 | 77.90 | 154.0 | 461.75 | 2386.00 | 4016.6 | 5272.95 | 6725.33 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1021.5 | 22.98 | 54.80 | 112.9 | 396.00 | 2099.00 | 3744.1 | 4816.05 | 5774.95 |
| 2025-06-15 | 910.5 | 22.98 | 69.00 | 140.9 | 382.75 | 2060.75 | 3744.5 | 4948.25 | 6000.70 |
| 2025-06-22 | 869.0 | 13.98 | 33.00 | 80.8 | 318.75 | 1915.75 | 3495.6 | 4442.10 | 5504.95 |
| 2025-06-29 | 895.0 | 13.98 | 31.90 | 66.9 | 291.75 | 1931.00 | 3283.6 | 4439.10 | 5438.28 |
| 2025-07-06 | 836.5 | 10.98 | 37.00 | 77.9 | 283.00 | 1848.50 | 3233.1 | 4416.55 | 5950.28 |
| 2025-07-13 | 725.0 | 8.98 | 21.00 | 57.9 | 253.75 | 1847.50 | 3390.1 | 4265.30 | 5399.90 |
| 2025-07-20 | 588.5 | 5.00 | 16.00 | 49.9 | 207.00 | 1578.00 | 2977.4 | 4020.40 | 4835.08 |
| 2025-07-27 | 612.0 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 39.9 | 167.75 | 1477.25 | 2701.6 | 3941.70 | 4796.53 |
| 2025-08-03 | 511.0 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 31.0 | 156.50 | 1437.00 | 2852.4 | 3948.75 | 4828.25 |
| 2025-08-10 | 521.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 21.0 | 151.00 | 1317.50 | 2785.6 | 3809.35 | 4908.98 |
| 2025-08-17 | 466.5 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 21.0 | 115.00 | 1298.50 | 2631.2 | 3644.10 | 5117.00 |
| 2025-08-24 | 484.5 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 17.0 | 99.25 | 1375.25 | 2558.7 | 3682.45 | 4470.30 |
| 2025-08-31 | 482.0 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 16.0 | 108.00 | 1206.75 | 2521.9 | 3615.85 | 4939.53 |
| 2025-09-07 | 399.0 | 1.00 | 5.95 | 16.0 | 103.75 | 1098.00 | 2262.5 | 3307.60 | 4689.40 |
| 2025-09-14 | 426.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 11.0 | 92.75 | 1225.00 | 2374.1 | 3258.85 | 4294.43 |
| 2025-09-21 | 409.0 | 0.98 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 88.00 | 1118.50 | 2264.8 | 3508.85 | 4650.58 |
| 2025-09-28 | 440.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 11.0 | 85.75 | 1184.50 | 2621.0 | 3654.40 | 4642.03 |
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