Prediction 2372
Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
---|---|
Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
ADM 1 | Santa Catarina |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in SC
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 318.25 | 1076.1 | 1897.15 | 2593.20 |
2024-10-13 | 57.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 379.00 | 1204.3 | 1923.05 | 2376.23 |
2024-10-20 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 360.25 | 1078.0 | 1937.95 | 2677.12 |
2024-10-27 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 305.50 | 1059.1 | 1551.20 | 2606.10 |
2024-11-03 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 294.50 | 1165.1 | 1788.45 | 2589.85 |
2024-11-10 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 336.25 | 1057.4 | 2042.30 | 2742.60 |
2024-11-17 | 60.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 430.00 | 1221.1 | 2098.20 | 2945.33 |
2024-11-24 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 338.50 | 1111.7 | 1795.05 | 2910.15 |
2024-12-01 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 412.50 | 1268.4 | 2151.25 | 2966.80 |
2024-12-08 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 435.25 | 1312.6 | 2220.60 | 2872.93 |
2024-12-15 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 392.25 | 1346.7 | 1980.60 | 3014.93 |
2024-12-22 | 81.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 468.25 | 1320.5 | 2115.05 | 2944.65 |
2024-12-29 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 467.50 | 1202.4 | 1916.10 | 2953.88 |
2025-01-05 | 88.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.75 | 456.00 | 1332.1 | 2087.05 | 2786.25 |
2025-01-12 | 100.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 8.75 | 526.25 | 1328.7 | 2104.90 | 3048.78 |
2025-01-19 | 120.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.9 | 10.00 | 663.00 | 1584.6 | 2447.20 | 3328.43 |
2025-01-26 | 114.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 498.50 | 1515.3 | 2309.50 | 3230.68 |
2025-02-02 | 147.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.75 | 652.25 | 1698.4 | 2637.60 | 3707.00 |
2025-02-09 | 156.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 752.75 | 1801.5 | 2621.70 | 3846.58 |
2025-02-16 | 230.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 26.00 | 886.25 | 1884.1 | 2798.65 | 3787.88 |
2025-02-23 | 225.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 29.75 | 788.75 | 1708.8 | 2993.50 | 3840.78 |
2025-03-02 | 178.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 23.75 | 777.75 | 1897.2 | 2595.85 | 3669.18 |
2025-03-09 | 254.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 3.0 | 39.00 | 876.00 | 2045.3 | 3040.05 | 3886.98 |
2025-03-16 | 194.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 27.00 | 757.25 | 1773.2 | 2686.30 | 3736.83 |
2025-03-23 | 214.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 31.75 | 686.50 | 1633.5 | 2563.25 | 3704.25 |
2025-03-30 | 202.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 29.00 | 826.25 | 2001.2 | 2983.50 | 3826.45 |
2025-04-06 | 265.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 37.75 | 898.00 | 1974.0 | 3055.35 | 3833.33 |
2025-04-13 | 226.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 31.00 | 788.25 | 1857.7 | 2763.15 | 3518.00 |
2025-04-20 | 204.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 26.75 | 796.75 | 1890.5 | 2807.40 | 3891.75 |
2025-04-27 | 215.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 34.75 | 840.25 | 1907.1 | 3027.55 | 3898.08 |
2025-05-04 | 198.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 26.75 | 794.75 | 1858.9 | 2684.35 | 3493.33 |
2025-05-11 | 245.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 33.00 | 810.50 | 1701.4 | 2685.70 | 3478.23 |
2025-05-18 | 214.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 28.75 | 790.25 | 1974.1 | 2903.30 | 3729.80 |
2025-05-25 | 182.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 24.75 | 698.25 | 1806.4 | 3044.25 | 4056.15 |
2025-06-01 | 164.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 16.75 | 633.50 | 1687.3 | 2485.65 | 3391.18 |
2025-06-08 | 140.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 17.00 | 592.25 | 1638.0 | 2426.85 | 3501.45 |
2025-06-15 | 154.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 663.75 | 1727.7 | 2427.05 | 3539.00 |
2025-06-22 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 19.00 | 711.50 | 1633.2 | 2663.75 | 3620.28 |
2025-06-29 | 133.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 11.00 | 655.25 | 1576.6 | 2375.45 | 3238.58 |
2025-07-06 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 8.00 | 524.75 | 1562.3 | 2194.65 | 2945.05 |
2025-07-13 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 9.00 | 534.50 | 1467.9 | 2563.60 | 3118.58 |
2025-07-20 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 456.00 | 1455.7 | 2188.15 | 2970.70 |
2025-07-27 | 89.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 8.00 | 500.50 | 1400.6 | 2133.55 | 3070.60 |
2025-08-03 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 442.25 | 1344.2 | 2029.65 | 3000.23 |
2025-08-10 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 423.50 | 1289.7 | 2059.60 | 2788.20 |
2025-08-17 | 78.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 430.50 | 1328.7 | 2121.00 | 3078.25 |
2025-08-24 | 57.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 368.50 | 1146.2 | 1962.70 | 2705.08 |
2025-08-31 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 369.00 | 1255.4 | 2121.55 | 2992.73 |
2025-09-07 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 339.50 | 1166.0 | 1896.55 | 2797.43 |
2025-09-14 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 360.00 | 1069.2 | 1697.80 | 2547.28 |
2025-09-21 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 367.50 | 1137.0 | 1907.75 | 2722.38 |
2025-09-28 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 375.25 | 1090.4 | 1885.20 | 2716.93 |