Prediction 2374
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 272.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 41.00 | 826.00 | 1717.7 | 2496.20 | 3115.15 |
| 2024-10-13 | 201.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 35.00 | 711.50 | 1655.5 | 2449.85 | 3259.50 |
| 2024-10-20 | 262.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 38.00 | 800.25 | 1716.7 | 2486.05 | 3210.50 |
| 2024-10-27 | 184.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 29.00 | 704.75 | 1561.3 | 2196.55 | 2944.48 |
| 2024-11-03 | 200.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 24.75 | 723.00 | 1595.4 | 2574.85 | 3392.25 |
| 2024-11-10 | 201.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 35.00 | 746.75 | 1802.5 | 2570.40 | 3219.58 |
| 2024-11-17 | 193.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.9 | 25.00 | 671.75 | 1723.6 | 2785.20 | 3687.55 |
| 2024-11-24 | 210.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 29.75 | 685.25 | 1682.6 | 2512.65 | 3567.08 |
| 2024-12-01 | 220.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 40.75 | 773.50 | 1588.7 | 2415.05 | 3073.35 |
| 2024-12-08 | 249.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 48.00 | 843.25 | 1782.4 | 2537.30 | 3652.05 |
| 2024-12-15 | 271.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 51.00 | 943.50 | 1916.9 | 2889.30 | 4000.48 |
| 2024-12-22 | 270.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 56.00 | 929.25 | 1872.3 | 2697.40 | 3799.00 |
| 2024-12-29 | 327.0 | 0.00 | 2.95 | 10.0 | 63.00 | 940.25 | 1939.3 | 2785.20 | 3652.40 |
| 2025-01-05 | 342.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 12.9 | 74.75 | 1016.50 | 1874.5 | 2911.55 | 3899.90 |
| 2025-01-12 | 387.0 | 1.98 | 5.00 | 16.0 | 83.00 | 1101.50 | 2214.4 | 3288.50 | 4261.03 |
| 2025-01-19 | 426.5 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 21.0 | 98.75 | 1056.25 | 2049.6 | 2893.75 | 3708.70 |
| 2025-01-26 | 479.0 | 4.00 | 12.00 | 33.0 | 142.75 | 1274.50 | 2327.3 | 3250.35 | 4264.10 |
| 2025-02-02 | 478.0 | 2.00 | 9.95 | 29.9 | 139.00 | 1381.00 | 2481.4 | 3387.25 | 4309.03 |
| 2025-02-09 | 581.5 | 5.00 | 17.00 | 46.9 | 200.50 | 1406.25 | 2668.7 | 3659.10 | 4763.70 |
| 2025-02-16 | 711.5 | 14.00 | 28.95 | 63.9 | 256.75 | 1647.75 | 3172.3 | 4079.85 | 5408.25 |
| 2025-02-23 | 763.0 | 9.00 | 25.95 | 71.9 | 269.00 | 1742.25 | 2966.3 | 3803.20 | 4544.23 |
| 2025-03-02 | 789.5 | 13.95 | 33.95 | 84.8 | 278.00 | 1756.75 | 3019.3 | 4259.65 | 5372.05 |
| 2025-03-09 | 849.5 | 24.95 | 55.85 | 134.7 | 332.75 | 1935.00 | 3344.3 | 4266.65 | 5275.35 |
| 2025-03-16 | 964.5 | 26.98 | 59.95 | 136.8 | 421.00 | 1963.50 | 3223.5 | 4127.25 | 5225.28 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1026.5 | 30.98 | 59.75 | 142.0 | 430.75 | 2059.50 | 3319.4 | 4216.45 | 5458.08 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1089.0 | 43.00 | 102.90 | 184.9 | 471.50 | 2246.50 | 3740.9 | 4732.50 | 5603.88 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1127.5 | 48.95 | 97.75 | 173.0 | 463.00 | 2276.50 | 3828.4 | 5236.40 | 6087.23 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1258.5 | 58.00 | 113.90 | 206.9 | 543.00 | 2380.75 | 3715.0 | 4954.85 | 6016.63 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1263.0 | 64.00 | 109.90 | 205.9 | 546.75 | 2367.00 | 3755.6 | 5059.35 | 5987.58 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1303.5 | 41.93 | 100.95 | 205.0 | 556.25 | 2470.50 | 3914.4 | 5100.90 | 6323.83 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1353.0 | 40.97 | 96.85 | 211.9 | 521.50 | 2592.00 | 4074.3 | 5062.25 | 6346.08 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1232.5 | 60.93 | 104.80 | 211.2 | 575.75 | 2416.75 | 3870.8 | 4704.20 | 5912.23 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1216.0 | 55.95 | 91.00 | 194.0 | 523.25 | 2212.50 | 3721.3 | 4811.05 | 6550.68 |
| 2025-05-25 | 1311.5 | 75.95 | 119.95 | 230.9 | 564.00 | 2316.00 | 3745.3 | 4680.25 | 5585.18 |
| 2025-06-01 | 1150.5 | 62.97 | 103.90 | 214.9 | 521.75 | 2386.75 | 3728.5 | 4967.20 | 5884.75 |
| 2025-06-08 | 1163.0 | 48.00 | 80.95 | 162.9 | 457.75 | 2120.50 | 3584.9 | 4763.75 | 6180.12 |
| 2025-06-15 | 1084.0 | 32.97 | 83.55 | 163.6 | 459.50 | 2148.50 | 3429.2 | 4397.10 | 5449.58 |
| 2025-06-22 | 1031.5 | 29.95 | 71.95 | 149.9 | 406.75 | 2039.75 | 3515.4 | 4352.70 | 5196.10 |
| 2025-06-29 | 854.0 | 22.00 | 48.95 | 91.0 | 311.50 | 1896.00 | 3340.0 | 4322.05 | 5204.38 |
| 2025-07-06 | 854.0 | 27.95 | 55.95 | 107.0 | 351.75 | 1785.00 | 3117.1 | 4056.75 | 5359.18 |
| 2025-07-13 | 803.5 | 15.98 | 27.95 | 80.0 | 294.25 | 1630.00 | 3059.2 | 4168.40 | 5344.12 |
| 2025-07-20 | 763.0 | 12.00 | 23.00 | 60.0 | 258.00 | 1706.25 | 3115.3 | 3963.45 | 4833.83 |
| 2025-07-27 | 655.0 | 5.00 | 21.00 | 56.9 | 207.75 | 1427.00 | 2661.8 | 3456.10 | 4385.12 |
| 2025-08-03 | 532.0 | 9.00 | 23.00 | 55.9 | 189.75 | 1333.50 | 2497.8 | 3492.40 | 4404.03 |
| 2025-08-10 | 535.0 | 3.00 | 11.00 | 32.0 | 152.50 | 1318.50 | 2409.5 | 3247.10 | 3837.35 |
| 2025-08-17 | 455.5 | 3.98 | 11.00 | 27.9 | 117.00 | 1259.00 | 2436.7 | 3419.40 | 3976.18 |
| 2025-08-24 | 442.5 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 21.0 | 99.00 | 1147.25 | 2234.1 | 2984.20 | 3984.70 |
| 2025-08-31 | 368.5 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 14.0 | 85.00 | 1102.25 | 2049.4 | 2978.90 | 4052.18 |
| 2025-09-07 | 368.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 15.0 | 86.75 | 992.25 | 1873.6 | 2659.00 | 3524.95 |
| 2025-09-14 | 308.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 61.75 | 893.50 | 1944.5 | 2445.60 | 3367.95 |
| 2025-09-21 | 281.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 61.75 | 908.00 | 1913.7 | 2607.70 | 3737.28 |
| 2025-09-28 | 239.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 45.75 | 781.25 | 1698.9 | 2448.15 | 3213.73 |
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