Prediction 2375
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in MS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 188.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 31.75 | 657.50 | 1421.4 | 2064.40 | 2806.38 |
| 2024-10-13 | 191.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 29.75 | 716.75 | 1648.1 | 2459.05 | 3483.08 |
| 2024-10-20 | 266.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.9 | 51.00 | 809.75 | 1681.1 | 2537.45 | 3418.10 |
| 2024-10-27 | 295.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 59.00 | 815.25 | 1720.3 | 2576.20 | 3942.58 |
| 2024-11-03 | 337.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 66.75 | 903.75 | 1778.2 | 2503.00 | 3150.73 |
| 2024-11-10 | 330.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.9 | 80.75 | 855.50 | 1859.9 | 2712.45 | 3757.93 |
| 2024-11-17 | 443.0 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 29.9 | 118.75 | 1082.50 | 2048.4 | 2680.90 | 3227.43 |
| 2024-11-24 | 468.0 | 3.98 | 9.95 | 27.0 | 133.00 | 1186.75 | 2122.8 | 2709.30 | 3467.10 |
| 2024-12-01 | 552.0 | 4.98 | 11.00 | 45.9 | 183.75 | 1295.25 | 2491.6 | 3332.45 | 4079.05 |
| 2024-12-08 | 671.5 | 9.98 | 28.95 | 71.0 | 234.75 | 1479.75 | 2456.2 | 3401.60 | 4403.98 |
| 2024-12-15 | 802.0 | 23.00 | 46.95 | 111.8 | 292.75 | 1728.00 | 2887.4 | 3513.65 | 4574.83 |
| 2024-12-22 | 858.5 | 22.00 | 47.95 | 108.5 | 354.75 | 1792.25 | 3190.4 | 4153.45 | 4952.83 |
| 2024-12-29 | 994.5 | 36.95 | 62.95 | 145.8 | 443.00 | 1854.00 | 3146.2 | 4280.30 | 5176.53 |
| 2025-01-05 | 1064.5 | 34.90 | 80.90 | 157.9 | 440.50 | 2102.75 | 3551.3 | 4564.10 | 5267.03 |
| 2025-01-12 | 1237.0 | 53.00 | 105.90 | 233.9 | 555.00 | 2246.75 | 3692.0 | 4832.50 | 5604.33 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1434.5 | 95.93 | 185.70 | 316.0 | 667.50 | 2561.25 | 3908.4 | 4882.45 | 6247.63 |
| 2025-01-26 | 1579.5 | 142.95 | 209.95 | 357.5 | 780.00 | 2749.00 | 4098.5 | 5080.20 | 5966.90 |
| 2025-02-02 | 1569.0 | 152.00 | 255.85 | 424.9 | 827.50 | 2783.50 | 4440.9 | 5536.10 | 6389.03 |
| 2025-02-09 | 1713.5 | 171.88 | 269.75 | 422.9 | 881.00 | 3056.50 | 4664.9 | 5681.30 | 6488.63 |
| 2025-02-16 | 1923.5 | 185.93 | 299.90 | 520.0 | 1030.75 | 3258.50 | 4776.9 | 6133.50 | 6756.08 |
| 2025-02-23 | 1910.0 | 238.80 | 352.75 | 541.5 | 1055.25 | 3187.50 | 4591.0 | 5376.30 | 6757.38 |
| 2025-03-02 | 1923.0 | 269.55 | 383.00 | 562.7 | 1068.75 | 3257.00 | 5022.1 | 5966.40 | 7028.88 |
| 2025-03-09 | 2035.5 | 257.00 | 367.95 | 574.4 | 1018.00 | 3316.25 | 4900.9 | 6063.85 | 7287.28 |
| 2025-03-16 | 2069.0 | 243.70 | 359.75 | 561.4 | 1056.75 | 3435.50 | 4886.2 | 6047.80 | 7039.50 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1845.5 | 173.85 | 317.00 | 509.6 | 979.00 | 3105.25 | 4816.7 | 6027.35 | 7379.50 |
| 2025-03-30 | 1934.0 | 226.85 | 356.95 | 573.9 | 1050.25 | 3225.50 | 4728.9 | 5853.20 | 6845.08 |
| 2025-04-06 | 1845.5 | 190.90 | 270.90 | 486.9 | 1020.50 | 2939.00 | 4348.3 | 5142.90 | 6494.48 |
| 2025-04-13 | 1597.5 | 157.95 | 252.65 | 424.6 | 852.50 | 2788.75 | 4358.4 | 5361.50 | 6153.75 |
| 2025-04-20 | 1589.0 | 146.82 | 223.95 | 383.9 | 767.75 | 2786.50 | 4211.7 | 5410.40 | 6577.13 |
| 2025-04-27 | 1416.5 | 130.85 | 187.80 | 294.9 | 734.00 | 2539.25 | 3891.6 | 4983.15 | 5777.08 |
| 2025-05-04 | 1320.0 | 75.97 | 148.80 | 268.4 | 633.75 | 2429.50 | 3848.1 | 4757.70 | 5484.48 |
| 2025-05-11 | 1207.0 | 51.97 | 104.95 | 198.8 | 532.25 | 2220.25 | 3590.3 | 4559.95 | 5673.95 |
| 2025-05-18 | 1083.0 | 34.88 | 83.95 | 175.8 | 417.25 | 2139.25 | 3436.8 | 4583.90 | 5677.75 |
| 2025-05-25 | 966.5 | 37.93 | 57.00 | 130.0 | 396.00 | 1963.50 | 3168.4 | 4403.75 | 5316.48 |
| 2025-06-01 | 847.0 | 24.95 | 49.00 | 104.8 | 348.50 | 1664.00 | 2896.7 | 3994.35 | 5001.78 |
| 2025-06-08 | 719.5 | 13.00 | 28.95 | 65.9 | 232.50 | 1503.00 | 2664.3 | 3588.15 | 4429.65 |
| 2025-06-15 | 591.0 | 6.00 | 21.00 | 61.8 | 184.00 | 1424.00 | 2569.4 | 3418.50 | 4485.93 |
| 2025-06-22 | 536.5 | 7.98 | 18.00 | 44.9 | 170.00 | 1269.00 | 2333.8 | 3288.00 | 4070.12 |
| 2025-06-29 | 431.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 20.0 | 110.50 | 1099.25 | 2276.3 | 2998.45 | 3779.33 |
| 2025-07-06 | 407.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 17.9 | 108.75 | 1158.50 | 2249.2 | 2981.05 | 3830.05 |
| 2025-07-13 | 354.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 19.0 | 89.75 | 1014.50 | 1950.8 | 2911.00 | 3846.03 |
| 2025-07-20 | 277.5 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 55.75 | 846.25 | 1724.9 | 2426.40 | 3218.08 |
| 2025-07-27 | 267.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 55.50 | 803.25 | 1767.3 | 2541.50 | 3416.28 |
| 2025-08-03 | 241.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 37.00 | 770.50 | 1662.9 | 2693.85 | 3421.15 |
| 2025-08-10 | 236.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 43.75 | 738.50 | 1705.6 | 2664.15 | 3793.05 |
| 2025-08-17 | 211.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.9 | 29.00 | 716.25 | 1374.4 | 2067.10 | 2795.75 |
| 2025-08-24 | 189.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.75 | 610.50 | 1454.2 | 2103.65 | 2876.02 |
| 2025-08-31 | 148.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 556.25 | 1389.9 | 2069.35 | 2794.10 |
| 2025-09-07 | 180.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 23.00 | 608.25 | 1542.3 | 2381.20 | 2891.30 |
| 2025-09-14 | 186.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 22.00 | 658.25 | 1482.8 | 2406.25 | 2901.40 |
| 2025-09-21 | 149.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 656.25 | 1557.5 | 2199.00 | 2690.98 |
| 2025-09-28 | 188.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 34.00 | 652.25 | 1591.6 | 2512.35 | 3522.45 |
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