Prediction 2376
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 245.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 43.00 | 771.00 | 1565.2 | 2168.30 | 2766.03 |
| 2024-10-13 | 209.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 38.75 | 677.25 | 1487.8 | 2300.30 | 3344.33 |
| 2024-10-20 | 216.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 39.75 | 681.25 | 1580.5 | 2298.50 | 2902.88 |
| 2024-10-27 | 198.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 33.00 | 720.75 | 1503.1 | 2158.00 | 2851.05 |
| 2024-11-03 | 222.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 40.00 | 686.00 | 1580.8 | 2322.55 | 3207.35 |
| 2024-11-10 | 202.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 33.00 | 678.00 | 1590.7 | 2495.20 | 3303.58 |
| 2024-11-17 | 202.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 42.75 | 693.00 | 1517.0 | 2105.70 | 3097.23 |
| 2024-11-24 | 218.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 52.00 | 743.25 | 1520.9 | 2263.50 | 2965.28 |
| 2024-12-01 | 238.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 37.00 | 759.50 | 1686.2 | 2296.65 | 2989.40 |
| 2024-12-08 | 229.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 38.75 | 737.25 | 1703.0 | 2402.15 | 3194.50 |
| 2024-12-15 | 233.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 44.00 | 838.00 | 1755.3 | 2506.00 | 3441.08 |
| 2024-12-22 | 243.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 46.75 | 819.50 | 1782.4 | 2523.25 | 3390.63 |
| 2024-12-29 | 276.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 61.25 | 853.25 | 1798.1 | 2478.85 | 3211.45 |
| 2025-01-05 | 325.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 75.75 | 857.50 | 1674.6 | 2456.60 | 2996.20 |
| 2025-01-12 | 333.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 13.9 | 71.00 | 908.00 | 1833.3 | 2774.00 | 3465.20 |
| 2025-01-19 | 326.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 81.00 | 893.50 | 1743.9 | 2439.65 | 3227.02 |
| 2025-01-26 | 395.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 17.0 | 104.50 | 1103.00 | 2178.2 | 2770.10 | 3299.75 |
| 2025-02-02 | 396.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 19.9 | 108.00 | 1073.25 | 2108.0 | 2646.75 | 3353.12 |
| 2025-02-09 | 461.5 | 2.00 | 8.00 | 25.9 | 114.00 | 1149.00 | 2061.8 | 2814.70 | 3631.48 |
| 2025-02-16 | 464.5 | 2.98 | 10.95 | 34.8 | 146.00 | 1250.00 | 2247.7 | 3116.15 | 4028.23 |
| 2025-02-23 | 507.5 | 3.98 | 10.00 | 36.9 | 148.00 | 1226.50 | 2232.3 | 3376.45 | 4423.95 |
| 2025-03-02 | 542.0 | 10.98 | 24.00 | 59.0 | 181.75 | 1339.25 | 2270.3 | 3137.75 | 4327.43 |
| 2025-03-09 | 574.0 | 6.00 | 16.00 | 45.0 | 185.75 | 1322.25 | 2293.1 | 3081.75 | 3849.33 |
| 2025-03-16 | 572.5 | 8.98 | 19.00 | 54.9 | 170.75 | 1366.00 | 2413.2 | 3245.30 | 4023.95 |
| 2025-03-23 | 643.5 | 6.98 | 17.00 | 41.9 | 207.25 | 1493.75 | 2614.7 | 3495.25 | 4143.12 |
| 2025-03-30 | 627.0 | 14.00 | 30.00 | 65.8 | 232.50 | 1448.75 | 2507.1 | 3445.15 | 4312.00 |
| 2025-04-06 | 711.0 | 10.00 | 27.95 | 66.9 | 245.00 | 1559.50 | 2590.8 | 3457.75 | 4754.12 |
| 2025-04-13 | 705.5 | 11.98 | 33.00 | 76.9 | 269.75 | 1402.00 | 2454.4 | 3178.85 | 4028.80 |
| 2025-04-20 | 719.5 | 16.00 | 34.00 | 72.9 | 251.75 | 1491.25 | 2437.2 | 3283.55 | 4183.63 |
| 2025-04-27 | 735.5 | 12.98 | 36.95 | 86.7 | 271.75 | 1583.50 | 2685.3 | 3451.05 | 4041.68 |
| 2025-05-04 | 643.0 | 19.00 | 36.00 | 70.9 | 235.00 | 1455.25 | 2594.2 | 3275.70 | 4346.85 |
| 2025-05-11 | 696.0 | 16.00 | 42.00 | 103.8 | 286.25 | 1555.25 | 2852.1 | 3810.10 | 4662.58 |
| 2025-05-18 | 624.5 | 10.00 | 28.00 | 60.9 | 237.75 | 1504.75 | 2631.0 | 3686.35 | 4585.18 |
| 2025-05-25 | 705.5 | 14.00 | 30.95 | 76.0 | 251.75 | 1544.25 | 2771.0 | 3333.80 | 4563.40 |
| 2025-06-01 | 736.5 | 13.98 | 30.00 | 71.9 | 232.25 | 1549.25 | 2552.9 | 3481.80 | 4622.05 |
| 2025-06-08 | 659.0 | 11.00 | 27.95 | 62.9 | 233.25 | 1434.25 | 2396.3 | 3329.15 | 4127.40 |
| 2025-06-15 | 573.5 | 7.00 | 20.00 | 56.0 | 185.75 | 1456.50 | 2460.6 | 3449.20 | 4381.18 |
| 2025-06-22 | 619.5 | 10.95 | 27.00 | 56.0 | 234.00 | 1310.50 | 2465.7 | 3683.20 | 4460.78 |
| 2025-06-29 | 539.5 | 9.98 | 21.95 | 52.9 | 191.75 | 1341.50 | 2651.6 | 3612.35 | 4430.63 |
| 2025-07-06 | 535.5 | 6.98 | 17.00 | 43.9 | 160.75 | 1168.50 | 2203.1 | 2920.10 | 3857.15 |
| 2025-07-13 | 517.5 | 3.98 | 14.95 | 39.0 | 150.50 | 1278.75 | 2308.9 | 3071.25 | 3916.85 |
| 2025-07-20 | 464.5 | 4.00 | 13.95 | 35.0 | 137.00 | 1138.25 | 2061.2 | 2837.50 | 3532.20 |
| 2025-07-27 | 445.5 | 3.00 | 9.95 | 29.0 | 128.00 | 1208.50 | 2224.1 | 3132.20 | 3935.58 |
| 2025-08-03 | 452.0 | 2.00 | 8.00 | 23.0 | 115.50 | 1174.25 | 2096.6 | 3010.65 | 3707.35 |
| 2025-08-10 | 377.0 | 2.98 | 9.00 | 26.9 | 115.75 | 1032.00 | 1962.8 | 2537.40 | 3104.65 |
| 2025-08-17 | 351.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 15.9 | 97.75 | 968.00 | 1987.2 | 2598.55 | 3336.83 |
| 2025-08-24 | 343.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 13.9 | 83.00 | 955.00 | 1843.9 | 2470.30 | 3211.48 |
| 2025-08-31 | 292.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 61.00 | 810.25 | 1690.5 | 2479.05 | 3438.58 |
| 2025-09-07 | 282.5 | 0.00 | 2.95 | 10.0 | 59.75 | 858.25 | 1786.7 | 2649.95 | 3368.28 |
| 2025-09-14 | 259.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 8.0 | 50.75 | 792.25 | 1622.0 | 2375.40 | 3306.75 |
| 2025-09-21 | 280.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 42.75 | 841.50 | 1727.2 | 2321.05 | 3262.05 |
| 2025-09-28 | 253.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 52.00 | 806.50 | 1724.2 | 2584.60 | 3361.20 |
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