Prediction 2378
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in MT
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 179.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 42.00 | 536.25 | 1030.1 | 1481.40 | 1883.33 |
| 2024-10-13 | 199.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 47.00 | 543.00 | 1097.2 | 1542.35 | 1912.53 |
| 2024-10-20 | 206.5 | 0.98 | 2.95 | 7.0 | 45.00 | 583.00 | 1146.0 | 1584.80 | 1959.05 |
| 2024-10-27 | 266.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 15.0 | 60.00 | 646.25 | 1227.3 | 1796.00 | 2325.55 |
| 2024-11-03 | 238.5 | 3.00 | 6.95 | 15.0 | 69.75 | 592.25 | 1063.3 | 1542.50 | 2005.30 |
| 2024-11-10 | 284.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 19.0 | 85.00 | 698.25 | 1346.3 | 1693.45 | 2035.05 |
| 2024-11-17 | 286.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 22.0 | 77.00 | 678.25 | 1239.0 | 1734.20 | 2255.05 |
| 2024-11-24 | 356.5 | 5.98 | 14.00 | 36.0 | 114.75 | 781.25 | 1387.1 | 1719.15 | 2406.05 |
| 2024-12-01 | 356.5 | 5.00 | 14.00 | 36.9 | 121.00 | 826.25 | 1492.3 | 2084.15 | 2479.28 |
| 2024-12-08 | 405.5 | 10.00 | 22.90 | 52.0 | 160.75 | 898.00 | 1602.4 | 2110.75 | 2618.10 |
| 2024-12-15 | 468.5 | 9.98 | 27.95 | 54.0 | 182.25 | 958.75 | 1685.7 | 2356.00 | 2715.08 |
| 2024-12-22 | 484.5 | 21.00 | 35.95 | 75.7 | 193.50 | 1035.25 | 1783.4 | 2476.15 | 2816.53 |
| 2024-12-29 | 584.5 | 18.00 | 40.95 | 101.0 | 253.75 | 1199.75 | 1892.7 | 2455.50 | 3129.30 |
| 2025-01-05 | 659.0 | 29.00 | 58.00 | 122.0 | 302.75 | 1205.50 | 1931.2 | 2611.90 | 3194.70 |
| 2025-01-12 | 690.5 | 41.95 | 84.90 | 146.7 | 320.75 | 1312.75 | 2129.2 | 2592.45 | 3192.45 |
| 2025-01-19 | 747.0 | 41.97 | 80.85 | 170.8 | 356.75 | 1312.75 | 2077.4 | 2680.95 | 3364.55 |
| 2025-01-26 | 795.0 | 62.95 | 108.85 | 183.0 | 401.50 | 1416.00 | 2285.5 | 2770.60 | 3502.73 |
| 2025-02-02 | 816.0 | 73.95 | 119.00 | 204.5 | 404.75 | 1512.25 | 2304.1 | 2920.55 | 3449.45 |
| 2025-02-09 | 878.0 | 61.97 | 147.60 | 240.5 | 461.25 | 1540.25 | 2308.0 | 2997.30 | 3797.33 |
| 2025-02-16 | 905.0 | 95.88 | 148.90 | 237.8 | 430.00 | 1642.25 | 2377.5 | 2875.20 | 3541.43 |
| 2025-02-23 | 991.5 | 81.95 | 144.00 | 237.8 | 502.25 | 1734.00 | 2572.0 | 3149.35 | 3672.58 |
| 2025-03-02 | 907.0 | 80.95 | 146.95 | 229.9 | 466.00 | 1601.50 | 2577.1 | 3195.20 | 3770.60 |
| 2025-03-09 | 936.5 | 107.93 | 158.60 | 235.0 | 472.00 | 1625.00 | 2525.6 | 3024.45 | 3605.38 |
| 2025-03-16 | 1055.5 | 100.95 | 146.85 | 245.9 | 536.00 | 1759.75 | 2600.4 | 3257.20 | 3964.30 |
| 2025-03-23 | 1006.0 | 105.00 | 169.85 | 235.9 | 501.75 | 1698.00 | 2522.1 | 3156.15 | 3635.60 |
| 2025-03-30 | 842.5 | 86.85 | 137.85 | 203.6 | 471.75 | 1483.50 | 2328.3 | 2830.70 | 3505.40 |
| 2025-04-06 | 942.0 | 76.70 | 122.90 | 193.8 | 454.00 | 1567.75 | 2331.3 | 2842.15 | 3356.10 |
| 2025-04-13 | 856.5 | 51.00 | 104.80 | 190.0 | 421.00 | 1486.50 | 2280.7 | 2918.20 | 3516.30 |
| 2025-04-20 | 788.5 | 42.00 | 80.95 | 149.8 | 380.75 | 1437.25 | 2198.1 | 2822.15 | 3442.58 |
| 2025-04-27 | 746.0 | 48.97 | 91.75 | 163.7 | 350.75 | 1336.50 | 2100.1 | 2601.45 | 3268.55 |
| 2025-05-04 | 722.5 | 37.97 | 66.00 | 128.0 | 338.75 | 1285.25 | 2010.5 | 2525.00 | 3079.88 |
| 2025-05-11 | 648.5 | 40.88 | 67.95 | 120.9 | 291.00 | 1283.25 | 1960.7 | 2542.05 | 3136.28 |
| 2025-05-18 | 547.0 | 20.98 | 39.95 | 82.9 | 236.75 | 1079.50 | 1799.5 | 2320.05 | 2867.68 |
| 2025-05-25 | 512.5 | 17.95 | 33.00 | 74.9 | 200.00 | 1063.25 | 1757.3 | 2334.20 | 2936.12 |
| 2025-06-01 | 533.0 | 13.00 | 27.00 | 62.0 | 177.75 | 1101.25 | 1730.8 | 2221.20 | 2764.28 |
| 2025-06-08 | 449.0 | 12.00 | 25.95 | 58.0 | 161.75 | 958.25 | 1639.8 | 2174.10 | 2695.18 |
| 2025-06-15 | 351.5 | 5.00 | 14.95 | 35.9 | 115.50 | 874.50 | 1547.5 | 1913.50 | 2375.05 |
| 2025-06-22 | 346.0 | 4.00 | 11.95 | 32.9 | 117.00 | 813.50 | 1391.3 | 1955.15 | 2560.10 |
| 2025-06-29 | 302.5 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 22.9 | 93.00 | 710.25 | 1364.8 | 1850.10 | 2250.30 |
| 2025-07-06 | 276.0 | 2.98 | 6.00 | 21.0 | 79.00 | 712.75 | 1338.3 | 1796.10 | 2265.18 |
| 2025-07-13 | 278.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 15.0 | 73.00 | 669.25 | 1254.3 | 1831.35 | 2242.83 |
| 2025-07-20 | 214.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 46.00 | 631.25 | 1108.0 | 1616.55 | 2252.10 |
| 2025-07-27 | 214.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 51.75 | 593.25 | 1213.6 | 1670.25 | 2013.08 |
| 2025-08-03 | 172.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 40.75 | 502.00 | 1026.3 | 1392.50 | 1937.78 |
| 2025-08-10 | 167.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 37.00 | 504.25 | 1165.7 | 1565.15 | 1913.00 |
| 2025-08-17 | 167.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.9 | 38.00 | 463.75 | 944.1 | 1323.15 | 1656.30 |
| 2025-08-24 | 155.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 30.00 | 437.25 | 899.8 | 1313.25 | 1852.20 |
| 2025-08-31 | 161.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 32.00 | 513.00 | 1117.2 | 1610.35 | 1928.20 |
| 2025-09-07 | 167.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 37.00 | 467.50 | 933.4 | 1424.45 | 1885.65 |
| 2025-09-14 | 142.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 26.00 | 470.50 | 984.0 | 1373.45 | 1869.73 |
| 2025-09-21 | 164.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 31.00 | 466.25 | 968.1 | 1421.25 | 1824.23 |
| 2025-09-28 | 165.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 5.9 | 38.00 | 489.00 | 1048.1 | 1501.15 | 2051.58 |
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