Prediction 2379
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 169.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 41.75 | 525.25 | 1038.1 | 1484.25 | 1839.48 |
| 2024-10-13 | 188.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 48.00 | 525.50 | 1013.1 | 1577.25 | 1980.05 |
| 2024-10-20 | 188.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 41.75 | 556.25 | 1025.5 | 1488.50 | 1800.05 |
| 2024-10-27 | 159.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 37.00 | 491.00 | 982.0 | 1381.15 | 1754.35 |
| 2024-11-03 | 177.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 33.00 | 501.00 | 1134.5 | 1572.60 | 1896.30 |
| 2024-11-10 | 178.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 50.00 | 501.50 | 1122.8 | 1534.85 | 2034.03 |
| 2024-11-17 | 177.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 32.00 | 515.00 | 1001.3 | 1445.30 | 1809.78 |
| 2024-11-24 | 158.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 37.75 | 479.50 | 1012.1 | 1377.40 | 1776.03 |
| 2024-12-01 | 217.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 55.75 | 575.25 | 1113.1 | 1633.10 | 2077.00 |
| 2024-12-08 | 200.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 52.00 | 551.50 | 1048.1 | 1482.25 | 1935.90 |
| 2024-12-15 | 219.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 52.00 | 604.50 | 1160.1 | 1659.35 | 2204.98 |
| 2024-12-22 | 204.0 | 1.00 | 3.95 | 10.0 | 47.00 | 580.25 | 1126.0 | 1583.85 | 2101.10 |
| 2024-12-29 | 227.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 51.75 | 611.50 | 1197.1 | 1687.75 | 2053.20 |
| 2025-01-05 | 253.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 11.9 | 67.75 | 650.50 | 1209.1 | 1713.50 | 2105.45 |
| 2025-01-12 | 321.5 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 18.0 | 83.00 | 767.50 | 1338.3 | 1705.70 | 2326.65 |
| 2025-01-19 | 291.5 | 4.00 | 8.95 | 22.0 | 94.50 | 699.25 | 1252.3 | 1822.35 | 2292.23 |
| 2025-01-26 | 334.0 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 32.0 | 100.75 | 780.50 | 1425.0 | 1900.00 | 2257.73 |
| 2025-02-02 | 366.0 | 5.00 | 9.95 | 28.0 | 114.75 | 804.50 | 1453.2 | 1982.40 | 2417.35 |
| 2025-02-09 | 420.5 | 7.00 | 20.95 | 43.0 | 140.75 | 900.50 | 1437.3 | 1955.35 | 2419.25 |
| 2025-02-16 | 472.0 | 10.98 | 25.95 | 51.9 | 175.75 | 1003.00 | 1602.2 | 2073.20 | 2572.93 |
| 2025-02-23 | 442.5 | 10.98 | 21.00 | 61.0 | 161.50 | 953.25 | 1599.3 | 2168.65 | 2732.60 |
| 2025-03-02 | 488.0 | 14.00 | 34.95 | 80.0 | 207.75 | 965.00 | 1665.6 | 2152.35 | 2513.28 |
| 2025-03-09 | 502.0 | 14.98 | 33.00 | 64.8 | 190.75 | 1010.00 | 1698.7 | 2293.25 | 2862.05 |
| 2025-03-16 | 543.5 | 23.98 | 42.95 | 97.0 | 237.50 | 1045.50 | 1729.0 | 2174.50 | 2612.10 |
| 2025-03-23 | 590.0 | 27.98 | 53.00 | 99.9 | 247.50 | 1112.25 | 1807.2 | 2281.70 | 3164.08 |
| 2025-03-30 | 593.0 | 19.00 | 40.90 | 96.8 | 238.75 | 1104.25 | 1768.1 | 2392.40 | 2841.75 |
| 2025-04-06 | 598.0 | 35.85 | 67.90 | 122.0 | 284.00 | 1193.25 | 1921.5 | 2411.70 | 3011.15 |
| 2025-04-13 | 648.5 | 32.95 | 68.95 | 116.9 | 287.25 | 1237.75 | 2001.5 | 2677.50 | 3207.73 |
| 2025-04-20 | 658.5 | 39.97 | 72.95 | 126.0 | 299.00 | 1269.50 | 1997.6 | 2523.65 | 3026.88 |
| 2025-04-27 | 716.5 | 33.97 | 63.90 | 118.9 | 329.00 | 1358.25 | 2020.1 | 2430.80 | 2949.48 |
| 2025-05-04 | 711.0 | 34.97 | 70.00 | 138.0 | 304.00 | 1307.00 | 1950.4 | 2491.30 | 3082.60 |
| 2025-05-11 | 730.5 | 38.97 | 64.90 | 133.0 | 306.75 | 1359.75 | 2182.3 | 2652.75 | 3124.02 |
| 2025-05-18 | 679.5 | 42.00 | 74.95 | 141.0 | 318.00 | 1294.50 | 2016.1 | 2646.05 | 3127.68 |
| 2025-05-25 | 645.5 | 32.00 | 55.00 | 111.0 | 302.75 | 1270.25 | 1973.3 | 2590.55 | 3068.98 |
| 2025-06-01 | 660.0 | 32.97 | 64.95 | 122.9 | 297.75 | 1263.25 | 2156.4 | 2707.10 | 3073.28 |
| 2025-06-08 | 624.0 | 25.98 | 51.85 | 106.9 | 274.00 | 1178.00 | 1801.3 | 2304.50 | 2777.60 |
| 2025-06-15 | 627.0 | 25.00 | 53.95 | 98.8 | 262.00 | 1135.50 | 1835.3 | 2362.70 | 2922.00 |
| 2025-06-22 | 603.0 | 26.98 | 45.85 | 99.9 | 245.75 | 1150.50 | 1806.1 | 2255.05 | 2677.28 |
| 2025-06-29 | 537.5 | 21.00 | 37.00 | 76.0 | 231.75 | 1098.00 | 1766.4 | 2294.50 | 2737.63 |
| 2025-07-06 | 497.5 | 11.98 | 26.95 | 65.0 | 195.75 | 1015.00 | 1711.1 | 2304.10 | 2905.48 |
| 2025-07-13 | 503.5 | 12.95 | 27.95 | 69.9 | 186.00 | 1013.75 | 1718.8 | 2196.05 | 2830.12 |
| 2025-07-20 | 449.0 | 9.00 | 27.00 | 51.0 | 161.00 | 917.75 | 1684.1 | 2190.60 | 2632.58 |
| 2025-07-27 | 407.0 | 8.00 | 20.00 | 40.0 | 164.75 | 913.50 | 1596.3 | 2067.15 | 2477.55 |
| 2025-08-03 | 368.0 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 35.0 | 124.50 | 784.50 | 1388.7 | 1942.30 | 2404.58 |
| 2025-08-10 | 340.5 | 5.00 | 14.00 | 34.9 | 108.00 | 790.25 | 1510.3 | 2008.55 | 2504.23 |
| 2025-08-17 | 314.5 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 25.0 | 107.75 | 738.25 | 1274.6 | 1728.00 | 2286.00 |
| 2025-08-24 | 295.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 16.0 | 85.00 | 715.25 | 1227.0 | 1795.10 | 2260.60 |
| 2025-08-31 | 284.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 21.9 | 86.00 | 688.50 | 1349.0 | 1874.75 | 2420.80 |
| 2025-09-07 | 257.5 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 17.0 | 74.00 | 673.00 | 1212.7 | 1656.35 | 2147.55 |
| 2025-09-14 | 219.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 54.75 | 574.50 | 1060.3 | 1475.95 | 1832.33 |
| 2025-09-21 | 193.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 45.00 | 581.75 | 1086.1 | 1627.30 | 2063.68 |
| 2025-09-28 | 202.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 61.00 | 607.25 | 1255.1 | 1662.05 | 2190.95 |
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