Prediction 2380
Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
---|---|
Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in AL
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 180.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 52.00 | 482.00 | 943.7 | 1338.95 | 1713.13 |
2024-10-13 | 159.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 38.00 | 468.25 | 933.7 | 1463.10 | 1807.13 |
2024-10-20 | 178.5 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 5.9 | 38.00 | 494.25 | 928.8 | 1317.80 | 1709.75 |
2024-10-27 | 183.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 37.00 | 497.25 | 989.5 | 1409.05 | 1746.13 |
2024-11-03 | 156.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.9 | 30.75 | 438.75 | 896.1 | 1362.00 | 1753.25 |
2024-11-10 | 133.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 30.00 | 394.50 | 829.1 | 1309.30 | 1789.63 |
2024-11-17 | 147.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.9 | 28.00 | 426.50 | 893.0 | 1287.00 | 1699.93 |
2024-11-24 | 139.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 22.00 | 413.00 | 912.1 | 1327.90 | 1748.05 |
2024-12-01 | 136.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 25.00 | 436.25 | 856.0 | 1344.85 | 1825.03 |
2024-12-08 | 147.0 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 7.0 | 33.75 | 414.50 | 842.6 | 1150.90 | 1527.50 |
2024-12-15 | 130.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 31.75 | 388.00 | 808.3 | 1229.50 | 1621.50 |
2024-12-22 | 133.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 28.75 | 491.50 | 1031.4 | 1450.30 | 1946.28 |
2024-12-29 | 143.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 35.00 | 437.00 | 938.9 | 1321.70 | 1706.38 |
2025-01-05 | 176.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.9 | 33.75 | 471.25 | 989.0 | 1344.10 | 1805.55 |
2025-01-12 | 185.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 44.75 | 486.75 | 1009.8 | 1416.75 | 1742.05 |
2025-01-19 | 181.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 40.75 | 480.00 | 930.1 | 1326.10 | 1812.18 |
2025-01-26 | 199.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 50.00 | 513.00 | 1161.0 | 1616.15 | 2024.80 |
2025-02-02 | 213.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 10.9 | 56.00 | 589.00 | 1176.1 | 1725.05 | 2146.73 |
2025-02-09 | 214.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 54.75 | 547.75 | 1210.9 | 1632.05 | 1953.85 |
2025-02-16 | 235.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 14.9 | 63.00 | 615.25 | 1218.2 | 1678.40 | 2138.48 |
2025-02-23 | 255.5 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 18.0 | 77.00 | 644.25 | 1259.8 | 1608.35 | 1962.05 |
2025-03-02 | 321.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 19.0 | 94.50 | 759.25 | 1335.8 | 1805.10 | 2141.45 |
2025-03-09 | 296.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 19.0 | 79.75 | 700.25 | 1243.5 | 1737.55 | 2073.28 |
2025-03-16 | 308.0 | 5.00 | 15.00 | 32.9 | 113.00 | 721.00 | 1304.0 | 1946.20 | 2450.43 |
2025-03-23 | 331.0 | 6.98 | 13.00 | 34.0 | 121.75 | 756.25 | 1429.0 | 1862.10 | 2343.43 |
2025-03-30 | 349.5 | 6.98 | 15.00 | 32.0 | 136.00 | 825.00 | 1392.2 | 1821.35 | 2431.85 |
2025-04-06 | 390.5 | 8.98 | 19.95 | 53.0 | 151.50 | 813.25 | 1413.4 | 1813.15 | 2359.25 |
2025-04-13 | 446.0 | 8.98 | 23.00 | 53.8 | 146.75 | 821.75 | 1568.0 | 1996.05 | 2549.55 |
2025-04-20 | 416.5 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 53.9 | 167.75 | 880.75 | 1456.4 | 1951.55 | 2386.43 |
2025-04-27 | 396.0 | 10.00 | 21.00 | 51.0 | 156.75 | 847.25 | 1452.2 | 1928.40 | 2419.50 |
2025-05-04 | 454.5 | 15.95 | 27.95 | 58.0 | 175.50 | 928.50 | 1538.1 | 2118.05 | 2554.28 |
2025-05-11 | 457.5 | 13.98 | 35.95 | 71.8 | 195.75 | 941.50 | 1498.4 | 1981.05 | 2296.48 |
2025-05-18 | 478.0 | 17.98 | 30.95 | 72.0 | 200.75 | 949.25 | 1579.4 | 2209.25 | 2820.30 |
2025-05-25 | 502.5 | 13.00 | 33.00 | 74.0 | 211.75 | 1007.00 | 1603.6 | 2014.45 | 2466.58 |
2025-06-01 | 495.5 | 15.00 | 30.90 | 69.9 | 205.50 | 959.25 | 1600.7 | 2344.40 | 2826.90 |
2025-06-08 | 512.0 | 17.98 | 38.95 | 78.0 | 196.00 | 1008.50 | 1609.6 | 2127.30 | 2495.25 |
2025-06-15 | 490.0 | 16.98 | 35.95 | 71.9 | 210.75 | 981.75 | 1658.5 | 2136.55 | 2687.65 |
2025-06-22 | 468.0 | 12.00 | 23.95 | 67.9 | 189.75 | 907.75 | 1570.2 | 2048.70 | 2707.63 |
2025-06-29 | 463.5 | 13.00 | 26.95 | 58.8 | 167.75 | 974.25 | 1722.7 | 2236.30 | 2646.05 |
2025-07-06 | 455.0 | 10.98 | 25.00 | 65.8 | 185.00 | 938.50 | 1577.7 | 2099.95 | 2641.55 |
2025-07-13 | 436.0 | 11.00 | 27.85 | 54.0 | 160.75 | 859.25 | 1452.4 | 1979.90 | 2345.18 |
2025-07-20 | 452.5 | 9.98 | 19.00 | 41.9 | 149.75 | 963.00 | 1552.1 | 2079.95 | 2701.95 |
2025-07-27 | 410.0 | 9.98 | 24.00 | 53.0 | 162.75 | 859.00 | 1539.0 | 1924.40 | 2410.23 |
2025-08-03 | 387.0 | 6.98 | 19.00 | 39.0 | 137.75 | 828.25 | 1477.2 | 1953.55 | 2444.23 |
2025-08-10 | 340.0 | 8.98 | 21.00 | 40.0 | 111.75 | 764.00 | 1395.1 | 1955.70 | 2316.83 |
2025-08-17 | 327.0 | 3.00 | 11.95 | 27.0 | 103.75 | 734.00 | 1346.3 | 1666.20 | 2047.10 |
2025-08-24 | 293.5 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 27.0 | 93.00 | 719.75 | 1275.6 | 1751.55 | 2311.58 |
2025-08-31 | 288.5 | 2.98 | 8.00 | 18.9 | 85.00 | 679.75 | 1240.1 | 1614.20 | 2170.12 |
2025-09-07 | 261.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 20.0 | 78.75 | 677.25 | 1292.2 | 1843.40 | 2282.05 |
2025-09-14 | 249.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.0 | 67.75 | 612.75 | 1197.3 | 1584.70 | 2132.33 |
2025-09-21 | 218.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 59.75 | 532.50 | 1084.6 | 1583.15 | 1957.38 |
2025-09-28 | 218.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 55.00 | 554.25 | 1085.1 | 1524.25 | 1884.15 |