Prediction 2381
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in PB
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 119.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 23.00 | 387.75 | 903.4 | 1316.55 | 1612.50 |
| 2024-10-13 | 107.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 15.75 | 403.25 | 798.3 | 1222.00 | 1549.43 |
| 2024-10-20 | 104.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 19.00 | 334.25 | 825.2 | 1198.40 | 1530.03 |
| 2024-10-27 | 99.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 354.50 | 726.3 | 1048.25 | 1505.68 |
| 2024-11-03 | 86.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.75 | 348.00 | 775.0 | 1048.55 | 1406.53 |
| 2024-11-10 | 90.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 17.00 | 345.50 | 723.2 | 1048.15 | 1483.30 |
| 2024-11-17 | 110.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 358.00 | 794.2 | 1146.35 | 1662.53 |
| 2024-11-24 | 111.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 392.00 | 740.2 | 1115.05 | 1483.30 |
| 2024-12-01 | 98.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 17.75 | 328.50 | 703.0 | 1063.45 | 1368.25 |
| 2024-12-08 | 116.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 373.00 | 808.7 | 1203.10 | 1528.35 |
| 2024-12-15 | 108.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 19.00 | 369.50 | 779.3 | 1119.10 | 1460.28 |
| 2024-12-22 | 126.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 22.75 | 371.25 | 771.1 | 1125.10 | 1348.05 |
| 2024-12-29 | 123.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 26.00 | 395.25 | 799.1 | 1332.00 | 1708.83 |
| 2025-01-05 | 146.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 27.00 | 467.25 | 878.3 | 1264.75 | 1589.70 |
| 2025-01-12 | 153.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 36.00 | 459.75 | 923.1 | 1292.25 | 1684.93 |
| 2025-01-19 | 148.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 32.00 | 441.25 | 923.2 | 1236.85 | 1674.20 |
| 2025-01-26 | 179.0 | 0.98 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 55.00 | 477.00 | 935.1 | 1291.65 | 1771.05 |
| 2025-02-02 | 190.0 | 0.00 | 2.95 | 11.0 | 51.00 | 523.75 | 1013.0 | 1458.30 | 1838.13 |
| 2025-02-09 | 203.5 | 1.98 | 3.95 | 11.0 | 55.00 | 543.50 | 983.2 | 1316.00 | 1693.50 |
| 2025-02-16 | 231.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 15.0 | 64.00 | 573.00 | 1032.2 | 1537.35 | 1894.00 |
| 2025-02-23 | 253.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 22.0 | 81.00 | 626.75 | 1094.4 | 1554.05 | 1978.88 |
| 2025-03-02 | 269.5 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 23.0 | 93.75 | 633.75 | 1139.6 | 1716.30 | 2094.12 |
| 2025-03-09 | 321.5 | 6.00 | 13.95 | 29.0 | 105.75 | 684.25 | 1162.0 | 1616.00 | 2096.58 |
| 2025-03-16 | 315.5 | 3.98 | 8.95 | 21.9 | 94.00 | 733.25 | 1278.2 | 1662.35 | 2036.00 |
| 2025-03-23 | 307.5 | 5.98 | 16.95 | 36.0 | 115.00 | 719.25 | 1175.3 | 1638.05 | 2042.08 |
| 2025-03-30 | 369.5 | 6.00 | 17.95 | 42.9 | 142.75 | 732.25 | 1311.1 | 1717.75 | 2121.85 |
| 2025-04-06 | 346.0 | 11.00 | 22.95 | 46.0 | 136.75 | 715.50 | 1385.8 | 1797.65 | 2163.28 |
| 2025-04-13 | 385.5 | 10.98 | 19.00 | 44.9 | 153.00 | 808.00 | 1406.1 | 1754.40 | 2144.75 |
| 2025-04-20 | 407.0 | 7.98 | 19.00 | 50.9 | 146.00 | 830.50 | 1408.5 | 1829.40 | 2126.33 |
| 2025-04-27 | 369.0 | 12.00 | 26.00 | 55.0 | 150.50 | 774.00 | 1327.3 | 1746.55 | 2164.60 |
| 2025-05-04 | 402.0 | 9.95 | 18.00 | 45.0 | 153.75 | 853.75 | 1393.1 | 1812.15 | 2167.12 |
| 2025-05-11 | 394.5 | 12.98 | 26.95 | 52.9 | 148.75 | 815.00 | 1461.9 | 1885.50 | 2253.15 |
| 2025-05-18 | 401.0 | 11.00 | 22.00 | 52.9 | 149.00 | 825.75 | 1463.1 | 1902.65 | 2342.20 |
| 2025-05-25 | 418.5 | 8.00 | 21.00 | 49.9 | 159.75 | 899.75 | 1494.3 | 1965.40 | 2295.38 |
| 2025-06-01 | 414.5 | 12.98 | 30.95 | 61.9 | 164.50 | 794.75 | 1299.2 | 1769.20 | 2155.85 |
| 2025-06-08 | 429.5 | 13.00 | 26.00 | 55.9 | 171.50 | 857.75 | 1433.3 | 1916.20 | 2417.58 |
| 2025-06-15 | 345.5 | 10.00 | 16.95 | 43.0 | 118.75 | 776.25 | 1320.3 | 1862.35 | 2295.23 |
| 2025-06-22 | 340.0 | 6.00 | 14.95 | 34.0 | 122.75 | 741.50 | 1281.5 | 1765.05 | 2271.98 |
| 2025-06-29 | 320.0 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 30.9 | 112.50 | 763.25 | 1305.4 | 1764.55 | 2260.80 |
| 2025-07-06 | 319.0 | 5.00 | 14.95 | 36.9 | 113.00 | 729.00 | 1243.6 | 1716.10 | 2092.12 |
| 2025-07-13 | 273.0 | 6.00 | 12.95 | 31.0 | 99.75 | 670.25 | 1139.5 | 1587.20 | 2130.70 |
| 2025-07-20 | 275.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 16.0 | 87.00 | 630.00 | 1100.7 | 1552.90 | 1880.45 |
| 2025-07-27 | 263.0 | 3.00 | 6.95 | 21.0 | 80.75 | 599.00 | 1150.8 | 1540.65 | 1772.10 |
| 2025-08-03 | 237.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 18.0 | 67.00 | 567.25 | 1063.3 | 1445.20 | 1791.08 |
| 2025-08-10 | 222.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 66.00 | 532.75 | 983.7 | 1321.75 | 1790.13 |
| 2025-08-17 | 208.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 56.00 | 583.50 | 1120.3 | 1503.05 | 1875.13 |
| 2025-08-24 | 140.5 | 0.98 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 35.00 | 379.25 | 870.9 | 1370.20 | 1793.30 |
| 2025-08-31 | 195.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 50.00 | 492.25 | 880.3 | 1287.35 | 1799.13 |
| 2025-09-07 | 148.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.9 | 33.00 | 433.00 | 850.3 | 1177.20 | 1561.53 |
| 2025-09-14 | 147.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 28.00 | 400.00 | 853.6 | 1212.05 | 1597.33 |
| 2025-09-21 | 133.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 24.00 | 375.50 | 811.3 | 1154.85 | 1555.35 |
| 2025-09-28 | 122.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 22.75 | 411.00 | 870.4 | 1300.35 | 1753.15 |
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