Prediction 2382
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in AC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 269.5 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 21.0 | 87.00 | 653.00 | 1117.2 | 1493.70 | 1921.33 |
| 2024-10-13 | 319.5 | 6.00 | 17.00 | 35.9 | 124.50 | 706.00 | 1184.1 | 1615.10 | 2204.23 |
| 2024-10-20 | 367.5 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 39.0 | 134.75 | 780.00 | 1375.2 | 1781.10 | 2429.33 |
| 2024-10-27 | 400.0 | 13.00 | 27.90 | 59.8 | 171.00 | 815.75 | 1315.0 | 1640.45 | 1908.65 |
| 2024-11-03 | 439.5 | 21.98 | 39.00 | 69.9 | 197.00 | 895.25 | 1427.7 | 1880.10 | 2246.18 |
| 2024-11-10 | 538.0 | 19.00 | 49.80 | 84.8 | 224.50 | 970.25 | 1569.0 | 1998.35 | 2488.88 |
| 2024-11-17 | 521.0 | 33.95 | 55.95 | 97.0 | 234.00 | 943.00 | 1547.0 | 1979.00 | 2409.68 |
| 2024-11-24 | 626.0 | 43.90 | 86.00 | 128.0 | 304.00 | 1175.00 | 1771.9 | 2190.35 | 2716.02 |
| 2024-12-01 | 676.5 | 51.95 | 89.85 | 164.2 | 368.75 | 1211.50 | 1876.5 | 2368.35 | 2892.15 |
| 2024-12-08 | 708.0 | 68.97 | 96.95 | 162.9 | 368.50 | 1275.25 | 1934.3 | 2438.10 | 2885.83 |
| 2024-12-15 | 799.0 | 65.00 | 114.90 | 209.7 | 432.00 | 1427.25 | 2095.4 | 2662.25 | 3143.12 |
| 2024-12-22 | 838.0 | 109.93 | 154.00 | 229.9 | 435.50 | 1451.00 | 2179.9 | 2702.50 | 3271.18 |
| 2024-12-29 | 897.0 | 98.97 | 169.00 | 264.8 | 490.00 | 1464.25 | 2233.1 | 2587.25 | 3062.70 |
| 2025-01-05 | 880.0 | 108.97 | 174.95 | 262.6 | 494.00 | 1497.00 | 2186.6 | 2644.15 | 3288.15 |
| 2025-01-12 | 942.0 | 123.95 | 178.90 | 293.8 | 526.75 | 1588.00 | 2323.5 | 2857.40 | 3392.20 |
| 2025-01-19 | 936.0 | 103.78 | 165.00 | 262.8 | 507.50 | 1595.75 | 2320.4 | 2757.25 | 3216.28 |
| 2025-01-26 | 991.5 | 144.98 | 187.90 | 307.3 | 557.75 | 1593.50 | 2275.6 | 2738.60 | 3463.08 |
| 2025-02-02 | 963.0 | 102.00 | 178.95 | 292.9 | 519.00 | 1573.00 | 2347.2 | 2751.05 | 3159.15 |
| 2025-02-09 | 971.5 | 118.95 | 196.95 | 296.9 | 534.00 | 1683.25 | 2461.1 | 3029.00 | 3460.45 |
| 2025-02-16 | 934.0 | 114.90 | 174.90 | 265.0 | 495.25 | 1606.50 | 2408.3 | 2861.15 | 3374.00 |
| 2025-02-23 | 889.0 | 123.85 | 152.00 | 253.2 | 497.75 | 1495.75 | 2260.1 | 2849.20 | 3242.48 |
| 2025-03-02 | 852.5 | 114.00 | 157.00 | 239.0 | 483.00 | 1446.25 | 2119.9 | 2777.70 | 3228.30 |
| 2025-03-09 | 811.0 | 65.95 | 121.85 | 191.9 | 420.00 | 1427.75 | 2171.8 | 2741.35 | 3185.83 |
| 2025-03-16 | 742.0 | 49.97 | 87.00 | 150.9 | 358.00 | 1306.50 | 2014.4 | 2587.90 | 2954.63 |
| 2025-03-23 | 663.0 | 51.93 | 81.00 | 138.0 | 341.50 | 1236.25 | 1821.3 | 2248.00 | 2865.38 |
| 2025-03-30 | 673.5 | 51.90 | 93.90 | 143.0 | 311.75 | 1235.00 | 1924.4 | 2414.60 | 2957.43 |
| 2025-04-06 | 604.0 | 37.88 | 63.95 | 118.9 | 288.75 | 1128.25 | 1805.0 | 2406.05 | 2704.18 |
| 2025-04-13 | 525.0 | 21.95 | 35.00 | 87.0 | 220.00 | 1017.75 | 1746.2 | 2214.40 | 2726.53 |
| 2025-04-20 | 463.0 | 26.95 | 43.90 | 74.0 | 204.75 | 961.00 | 1538.6 | 1859.50 | 2362.23 |
| 2025-04-27 | 411.5 | 11.98 | 26.95 | 59.9 | 161.75 | 845.00 | 1442.9 | 1799.30 | 2236.70 |
| 2025-05-04 | 382.5 | 12.98 | 21.00 | 47.9 | 150.75 | 785.75 | 1274.3 | 1627.15 | 2012.10 |
| 2025-05-11 | 367.5 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 46.9 | 141.00 | 782.00 | 1369.6 | 1874.40 | 2271.30 |
| 2025-05-18 | 314.0 | 7.00 | 13.00 | 34.9 | 117.75 | 657.25 | 1249.1 | 1668.80 | 1941.83 |
| 2025-05-25 | 246.0 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 23.0 | 83.00 | 564.75 | 1057.1 | 1402.10 | 1813.00 |
| 2025-06-01 | 249.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 16.9 | 69.00 | 587.50 | 1083.1 | 1379.40 | 1782.13 |
| 2025-06-08 | 209.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 16.0 | 63.00 | 533.00 | 1050.4 | 1561.80 | 2015.13 |
| 2025-06-15 | 196.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 14.0 | 61.00 | 537.25 | 966.0 | 1262.05 | 1696.40 |
| 2025-06-22 | 183.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 46.75 | 517.25 | 995.3 | 1411.40 | 1726.00 |
| 2025-06-29 | 154.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.9 | 44.00 | 465.75 | 902.4 | 1321.10 | 1697.40 |
| 2025-07-06 | 147.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 31.00 | 433.00 | 877.8 | 1257.05 | 1587.53 |
| 2025-07-13 | 167.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 39.00 | 451.75 | 890.5 | 1242.35 | 1636.55 |
| 2025-07-20 | 163.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 30.75 | 430.50 | 850.5 | 1194.10 | 1492.50 |
| 2025-07-27 | 167.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 39.00 | 450.50 | 823.3 | 1170.40 | 1642.10 |
| 2025-08-03 | 137.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 31.00 | 394.50 | 827.1 | 1089.50 | 1471.05 |
| 2025-08-10 | 143.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.9 | 29.75 | 404.25 | 903.6 | 1380.75 | 1785.15 |
| 2025-08-17 | 153.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 34.00 | 430.75 | 844.1 | 1187.60 | 1441.40 |
| 2025-08-24 | 156.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 38.00 | 440.50 | 903.5 | 1284.45 | 1668.50 |
| 2025-08-31 | 182.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 38.00 | 506.75 | 1015.7 | 1422.30 | 1879.53 |
| 2025-09-07 | 187.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 11.9 | 47.00 | 472.25 | 982.3 | 1300.70 | 1790.33 |
| 2025-09-14 | 197.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 13.0 | 57.00 | 490.00 | 888.3 | 1317.45 | 1692.03 |
| 2025-09-21 | 218.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 15.0 | 63.75 | 538.00 | 1037.1 | 1362.15 | 1868.78 |
| 2025-09-28 | 235.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 18.0 | 69.00 | 529.00 | 1079.2 | 1370.20 | 1808.08 |
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