Prediction 2383
Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
---|---|
Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in AM
Show Table
date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-10-06 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 17.00 | 334.25 | 705.6 | 1135.70 | 1479.33 |
2024-10-13 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.75 | 312.00 | 694.4 | 986.25 | 1345.15 |
2024-10-20 | 97.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 21.00 | 295.00 | 632.6 | 984.55 | 1295.53 |
2024-10-27 | 107.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 25.00 | 323.25 | 671.4 | 988.40 | 1319.13 |
2024-11-03 | 104.5 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 349.00 | 780.2 | 1149.35 | 1574.28 |
2024-11-10 | 123.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.9 | 26.75 | 365.25 | 785.8 | 1231.40 | 1806.28 |
2024-11-17 | 118.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 26.75 | 358.50 | 751.9 | 1149.10 | 1440.63 |
2024-11-24 | 125.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 26.00 | 357.50 | 762.4 | 1100.20 | 1383.03 |
2024-12-01 | 147.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 30.00 | 392.00 | 801.0 | 1104.15 | 1585.13 |
2024-12-08 | 153.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 38.00 | 416.25 | 789.0 | 1121.20 | 1460.08 |
2024-12-15 | 146.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 36.75 | 429.00 | 800.2 | 1067.60 | 1609.48 |
2024-12-22 | 175.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 47.00 | 429.25 | 862.8 | 1229.55 | 1587.08 |
2024-12-29 | 192.5 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 9.9 | 48.75 | 480.00 | 916.5 | 1305.45 | 1635.05 |
2025-01-05 | 189.5 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 49.75 | 486.50 | 913.1 | 1266.10 | 1590.03 |
2025-01-12 | 191.5 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 52.00 | 481.00 | 938.0 | 1300.75 | 1756.15 |
2025-01-19 | 191.5 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 57.00 | 486.25 | 940.7 | 1271.20 | 1688.00 |
2025-01-26 | 185.5 | 2.0 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 47.00 | 483.00 | 937.3 | 1332.95 | 1851.40 |
2025-02-02 | 185.5 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 53.00 | 514.25 | 1018.4 | 1320.65 | 1762.13 |
2025-02-09 | 180.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 44.00 | 431.50 | 822.1 | 1270.75 | 1631.10 |
2025-02-16 | 227.0 | 1.0 | 3.95 | 12.0 | 59.00 | 529.25 | 962.6 | 1302.40 | 1602.88 |
2025-02-23 | 209.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 14.0 | 61.00 | 531.25 | 1003.7 | 1360.15 | 1733.33 |
2025-03-02 | 189.0 | 1.0 | 3.95 | 11.0 | 53.75 | 481.50 | 932.2 | 1341.40 | 1810.05 |
2025-03-09 | 215.5 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 15.0 | 62.75 | 524.25 | 980.1 | 1364.45 | 1759.18 |
2025-03-16 | 189.5 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 53.00 | 511.75 | 922.4 | 1369.30 | 1710.88 |
2025-03-23 | 195.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 53.00 | 561.75 | 1078.0 | 1462.20 | 1871.73 |
2025-03-30 | 193.5 | 1.0 | 3.95 | 11.0 | 51.50 | 509.25 | 956.3 | 1286.10 | 1594.35 |
2025-04-06 | 190.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 11.0 | 51.00 | 464.25 | 916.1 | 1363.15 | 1679.20 |
2025-04-13 | 184.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 47.00 | 485.50 | 894.3 | 1241.15 | 1655.03 |
2025-04-20 | 176.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 43.75 | 458.25 | 850.1 | 1145.65 | 1591.05 |
2025-04-27 | 153.5 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 38.75 | 395.25 | 836.2 | 1099.25 | 1545.13 |
2025-05-04 | 167.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 37.00 | 497.00 | 937.2 | 1311.50 | 1545.18 |
2025-05-11 | 141.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 34.00 | 402.00 | 838.1 | 1092.30 | 1610.45 |
2025-05-18 | 155.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 41.00 | 435.25 | 860.2 | 1161.15 | 1417.73 |
2025-05-25 | 112.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 4.9 | 24.75 | 388.25 | 760.2 | 1048.55 | 1461.20 |
2025-06-01 | 147.0 | 0.0 | 1.95 | 5.0 | 32.00 | 412.75 | 784.2 | 1195.95 | 1431.65 |
2025-06-08 | 133.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 30.75 | 401.25 | 800.4 | 1141.70 | 1629.08 |
2025-06-15 | 119.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 23.00 | 340.00 | 731.3 | 1053.15 | 1325.03 |
2025-06-22 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 21.75 | 318.50 | 746.2 | 1049.85 | 1465.53 |
2025-06-29 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 22.00 | 326.25 | 680.4 | 1028.00 | 1379.08 |
2025-07-06 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 19.00 | 346.25 | 740.1 | 1006.35 | 1423.33 |
2025-07-13 | 92.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 310.50 | 683.5 | 1097.80 | 1492.55 |
2025-07-20 | 98.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 331.00 | 761.6 | 1076.05 | 1401.05 |
2025-07-27 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 284.25 | 667.5 | 959.50 | 1150.08 |
2025-08-03 | 85.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 311.25 | 691.6 | 953.05 | 1252.20 |
2025-08-10 | 98.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.75 | 314.75 | 658.2 | 1008.55 | 1404.98 |
2025-08-17 | 67.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.75 | 260.50 | 708.1 | 942.70 | 1238.15 |
2025-08-24 | 93.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 314.25 | 752.5 | 1097.25 | 1384.70 |
2025-08-31 | 73.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 259.00 | 602.1 | 1025.15 | 1443.78 |
2025-09-07 | 97.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 301.25 | 669.0 | 1018.20 | 1456.08 |
2025-09-14 | 79.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 292.50 | 581.5 | 914.45 | 1218.13 |
2025-09-21 | 92.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 16.00 | 321.00 | 664.1 | 998.25 | 1305.08 |
2025-09-28 | 77.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 14.00 | 298.50 | 681.4 | 955.80 | 1315.08 |