Prediction 2384
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in PA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 205.25 | 566.4 | 861.10 | 1174.75 |
| 2024-10-13 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 193.25 | 466.4 | 741.10 | 976.20 |
| 2024-10-20 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 213.25 | 552.4 | 855.20 | 1165.05 |
| 2024-10-27 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.00 | 220.75 | 538.1 | 773.65 | 1088.25 |
| 2024-11-03 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 241.25 | 565.1 | 772.50 | 1098.38 |
| 2024-11-10 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 234.50 | 634.4 | 871.35 | 1141.58 |
| 2024-11-17 | 68.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 241.50 | 587.6 | 872.25 | 1209.30 |
| 2024-11-24 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 267.25 | 623.1 | 949.10 | 1244.20 |
| 2024-12-01 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 286.00 | 696.7 | 999.05 | 1164.55 |
| 2024-12-08 | 84.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.75 | 297.25 | 654.2 | 974.00 | 1319.90 |
| 2024-12-15 | 109.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 21.00 | 320.25 | 647.5 | 997.35 | 1284.53 |
| 2024-12-22 | 98.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.00 | 312.75 | 705.1 | 977.40 | 1238.40 |
| 2024-12-29 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 17.00 | 316.75 | 645.1 | 966.65 | 1320.05 |
| 2025-01-05 | 106.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 19.75 | 360.00 | 737.1 | 1030.35 | 1406.43 |
| 2025-01-12 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 21.00 | 354.50 | 698.4 | 976.15 | 1347.43 |
| 2025-01-19 | 154.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.0 | 33.00 | 383.00 | 761.0 | 1031.45 | 1213.78 |
| 2025-01-26 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 32.75 | 350.50 | 712.1 | 1029.20 | 1372.25 |
| 2025-02-02 | 153.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 32.75 | 412.25 | 801.1 | 1241.35 | 1626.35 |
| 2025-02-09 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 30.00 | 390.25 | 853.8 | 1157.10 | 1498.45 |
| 2025-02-16 | 142.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.9 | 32.00 | 374.25 | 798.3 | 1064.10 | 1377.75 |
| 2025-02-23 | 138.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 33.00 | 383.50 | 809.3 | 1182.60 | 1529.30 |
| 2025-03-02 | 152.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 35.75 | 379.00 | 749.0 | 1075.90 | 1372.68 |
| 2025-03-09 | 134.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 4.9 | 30.00 | 394.50 | 850.2 | 1172.05 | 1611.03 |
| 2025-03-16 | 153.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 8.0 | 36.00 | 387.00 | 826.0 | 1190.20 | 1576.20 |
| 2025-03-23 | 133.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 7.0 | 33.00 | 392.00 | 843.0 | 1089.40 | 1373.70 |
| 2025-03-30 | 172.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 39.00 | 451.25 | 774.3 | 1121.65 | 1438.38 |
| 2025-04-06 | 122.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 31.00 | 368.00 | 748.1 | 1022.50 | 1454.28 |
| 2025-04-13 | 150.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 37.75 | 426.00 | 857.3 | 1174.55 | 1580.98 |
| 2025-04-20 | 130.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 26.00 | 379.00 | 763.7 | 1065.15 | 1396.05 |
| 2025-04-27 | 131.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 25.00 | 363.25 | 720.4 | 1099.25 | 1356.80 |
| 2025-05-04 | 133.5 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 28.75 | 377.75 | 729.5 | 1021.20 | 1465.08 |
| 2025-05-11 | 119.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 23.00 | 350.25 | 693.7 | 1004.75 | 1245.80 |
| 2025-05-18 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 21.00 | 328.25 | 726.5 | 954.40 | 1377.38 |
| 2025-05-25 | 104.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 20.00 | 319.50 | 699.4 | 1003.70 | 1296.05 |
| 2025-06-01 | 87.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 271.25 | 635.5 | 885.70 | 1193.73 |
| 2025-06-08 | 99.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 19.00 | 332.25 | 658.1 | 1020.30 | 1386.90 |
| 2025-06-15 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 291.25 | 620.6 | 913.30 | 1079.10 |
| 2025-06-22 | 78.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 305.00 | 582.5 | 856.30 | 1113.08 |
| 2025-06-29 | 76.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.75 | 268.50 | 619.6 | 960.35 | 1249.60 |
| 2025-07-06 | 65.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.00 | 241.25 | 570.0 | 858.95 | 1160.05 |
| 2025-07-13 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 231.00 | 519.0 | 905.50 | 1167.65 |
| 2025-07-20 | 52.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 228.00 | 519.4 | 803.15 | 1099.40 |
| 2025-07-27 | 50.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 222.25 | 592.1 | 889.05 | 1220.10 |
| 2025-08-03 | 45.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 204.00 | 510.3 | 783.05 | 1004.20 |
| 2025-08-10 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 212.25 | 514.1 | 761.05 | 1159.48 |
| 2025-08-17 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 191.25 | 496.0 | 798.25 | 1030.15 |
| 2025-08-24 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 177.25 | 483.3 | 776.30 | 1139.05 |
| 2025-08-31 | 41.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 221.25 | 577.8 | 851.90 | 1194.00 |
| 2025-09-07 | 43.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 202.25 | 552.4 | 847.15 | 1136.63 |
| 2025-09-14 | 39.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 197.00 | 469.3 | 781.20 | 1076.13 |
| 2025-09-21 | 43.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 202.25 | 522.1 | 772.85 | 1101.20 |
| 2025-09-28 | 44.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 203.25 | 539.3 | 851.30 | 1139.58 |
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Interval Bounds
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