Prediction 2385
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Piauí |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in PI
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 48.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 207.00 | 592.0 | 816.05 | 1062.23 |
| 2024-10-13 | 42.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 194.25 | 491.2 | 764.60 | 1042.10 |
| 2024-10-20 | 42.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 197.50 | 520.4 | 846.45 | 1208.95 |
| 2024-10-27 | 45.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.75 | 212.00 | 484.4 | 864.20 | 1222.55 |
| 2024-11-03 | 42.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 200.00 | 532.7 | 755.95 | 1076.00 |
| 2024-11-10 | 44.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 199.00 | 522.2 | 788.05 | 1132.53 |
| 2024-11-17 | 37.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 174.00 | 489.5 | 733.65 | 1127.75 |
| 2024-11-24 | 53.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 207.50 | 514.3 | 757.10 | 1048.23 |
| 2024-12-01 | 54.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 217.25 | 552.3 | 905.90 | 1139.58 |
| 2024-12-08 | 45.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 189.25 | 438.7 | 690.10 | 901.60 |
| 2024-12-15 | 57.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 221.25 | 553.5 | 813.10 | 1117.98 |
| 2024-12-22 | 76.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 257.25 | 560.7 | 881.00 | 1088.03 |
| 2024-12-29 | 81.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 277.75 | 646.1 | 892.15 | 1357.43 |
| 2025-01-05 | 96.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 309.25 | 671.1 | 987.80 | 1321.18 |
| 2025-01-12 | 124.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 24.00 | 352.25 | 711.9 | 971.60 | 1323.23 |
| 2025-01-19 | 118.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 25.00 | 342.25 | 739.4 | 1060.25 | 1318.93 |
| 2025-01-26 | 151.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 38.75 | 395.00 | 825.7 | 1165.45 | 1470.65 |
| 2025-02-02 | 160.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 41.75 | 475.25 | 892.0 | 1163.30 | 1549.18 |
| 2025-02-09 | 178.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 50.50 | 432.25 | 871.1 | 1173.45 | 1515.08 |
| 2025-02-16 | 217.0 | 1.98 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 60.00 | 499.50 | 900.4 | 1171.10 | 1442.75 |
| 2025-02-23 | 206.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 60.75 | 495.00 | 884.3 | 1291.25 | 1613.25 |
| 2025-03-02 | 245.0 | 4.00 | 10.95 | 27.0 | 85.75 | 555.75 | 1057.3 | 1437.05 | 1872.30 |
| 2025-03-09 | 263.5 | 3.00 | 10.95 | 28.0 | 87.00 | 602.25 | 1066.0 | 1460.10 | 1753.25 |
| 2025-03-16 | 288.0 | 4.00 | 9.95 | 22.0 | 98.75 | 624.50 | 1030.0 | 1350.95 | 1743.30 |
| 2025-03-23 | 313.0 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 35.0 | 115.50 | 643.50 | 1121.5 | 1541.10 | 1891.13 |
| 2025-03-30 | 318.5 | 11.00 | 19.00 | 42.0 | 126.00 | 656.50 | 1151.3 | 1445.25 | 1739.08 |
| 2025-04-06 | 325.0 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 37.0 | 123.75 | 693.50 | 1123.1 | 1455.90 | 1859.03 |
| 2025-04-13 | 326.5 | 10.98 | 23.00 | 43.9 | 132.75 | 716.75 | 1151.0 | 1665.50 | 2165.05 |
| 2025-04-20 | 326.5 | 11.00 | 20.95 | 45.9 | 134.00 | 700.75 | 1202.9 | 1688.25 | 2030.05 |
| 2025-04-27 | 314.0 | 15.00 | 26.95 | 59.9 | 135.00 | 626.50 | 1100.1 | 1464.45 | 1790.10 |
| 2025-05-04 | 349.0 | 12.00 | 24.95 | 46.0 | 139.75 | 705.50 | 1160.2 | 1554.20 | 2075.15 |
| 2025-05-11 | 309.0 | 10.00 | 18.00 | 40.0 | 113.75 | 639.25 | 1166.1 | 1532.45 | 1951.03 |
| 2025-05-18 | 324.0 | 10.00 | 23.00 | 46.0 | 133.75 | 685.50 | 1163.0 | 1550.00 | 2045.35 |
| 2025-05-25 | 274.5 | 4.98 | 12.00 | 30.0 | 108.00 | 654.75 | 1126.2 | 1479.45 | 1905.15 |
| 2025-06-01 | 288.0 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 31.0 | 98.75 | 651.25 | 1064.9 | 1409.85 | 1810.38 |
| 2025-06-08 | 265.0 | 5.00 | 12.00 | 28.0 | 99.75 | 595.00 | 1103.5 | 1431.10 | 1849.03 |
| 2025-06-15 | 260.0 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 29.0 | 91.75 | 592.25 | 986.5 | 1275.70 | 1600.38 |
| 2025-06-22 | 234.0 | 3.00 | 7.95 | 22.9 | 82.75 | 579.25 | 1091.3 | 1367.05 | 1687.30 |
| 2025-06-29 | 222.0 | 3.98 | 9.00 | 23.0 | 79.00 | 497.25 | 906.1 | 1210.55 | 1434.05 |
| 2025-07-06 | 197.5 | 1.98 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 48.00 | 492.75 | 881.1 | 1207.50 | 1440.05 |
| 2025-07-13 | 186.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.9 | 50.75 | 464.25 | 904.1 | 1229.05 | 1527.55 |
| 2025-07-20 | 150.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.9 | 44.00 | 452.00 | 830.3 | 1164.20 | 1580.85 |
| 2025-07-27 | 140.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 41.75 | 410.75 | 843.6 | 1111.55 | 1435.35 |
| 2025-08-03 | 114.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 23.00 | 346.00 | 685.4 | 1005.15 | 1337.08 |
| 2025-08-10 | 102.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 20.00 | 343.25 | 727.2 | 999.40 | 1308.88 |
| 2025-08-17 | 106.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 23.00 | 341.00 | 771.1 | 1134.10 | 1639.98 |
| 2025-08-24 | 87.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 295.50 | 665.2 | 999.20 | 1267.53 |
| 2025-08-31 | 73.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 274.00 | 570.6 | 862.45 | 1168.05 |
| 2025-09-07 | 67.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 268.00 | 654.2 | 984.75 | 1350.05 |
| 2025-09-14 | 67.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 239.25 | 562.2 | 863.25 | 1097.80 |
| 2025-09-21 | 61.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 242.50 | 535.8 | 832.20 | 1088.30 |
| 2025-09-28 | 48.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 194.25 | 458.2 | 719.10 | 1090.03 |
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Interval Bounds
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