Prediction 2386
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in TO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 91.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 265.25 | 546.3 | 788.00 | 1050.28 |
| 2024-10-13 | 87.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 19.00 | 265.00 | 552.4 | 815.50 | 1068.63 |
| 2024-10-20 | 102.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 23.75 | 287.00 | 612.1 | 879.05 | 1101.38 |
| 2024-10-27 | 95.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 22.75 | 261.00 | 547.1 | 749.05 | 1025.05 |
| 2024-11-03 | 114.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 26.75 | 295.25 | 561.4 | 802.80 | 1100.18 |
| 2024-11-10 | 144.0 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 6.0 | 38.00 | 391.00 | 699.3 | 917.15 | 1146.28 |
| 2024-11-17 | 135.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 35.75 | 352.25 | 712.0 | 1045.30 | 1342.53 |
| 2024-11-24 | 144.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 45.00 | 335.00 | 693.6 | 895.05 | 1115.18 |
| 2024-12-01 | 177.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 47.75 | 407.25 | 729.0 | 991.55 | 1273.10 |
| 2024-12-08 | 188.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 13.0 | 54.00 | 407.00 | 704.1 | 964.25 | 1281.20 |
| 2024-12-15 | 222.5 | 2.00 | 8.95 | 21.0 | 78.00 | 484.25 | 876.1 | 1087.05 | 1340.15 |
| 2024-12-22 | 253.5 | 6.00 | 11.95 | 29.0 | 87.00 | 549.00 | 874.2 | 1122.15 | 1479.15 |
| 2024-12-29 | 235.0 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 28.0 | 90.75 | 512.75 | 823.5 | 1080.05 | 1328.28 |
| 2025-01-05 | 285.5 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 40.0 | 118.00 | 567.00 | 904.2 | 1257.65 | 1529.23 |
| 2025-01-12 | 319.5 | 12.98 | 23.00 | 48.0 | 132.00 | 634.25 | 1020.6 | 1396.10 | 1620.05 |
| 2025-01-19 | 325.0 | 15.98 | 29.00 | 58.0 | 145.75 | 617.25 | 1021.7 | 1340.00 | 1617.05 |
| 2025-01-26 | 376.0 | 18.98 | 38.85 | 68.9 | 165.00 | 739.75 | 1139.0 | 1535.25 | 1879.25 |
| 2025-02-02 | 394.0 | 24.00 | 43.90 | 82.0 | 187.75 | 727.25 | 1180.6 | 1429.95 | 1770.03 |
| 2025-02-09 | 407.0 | 17.95 | 36.95 | 77.0 | 192.00 | 753.25 | 1167.4 | 1464.00 | 1849.40 |
| 2025-02-16 | 404.5 | 21.00 | 44.90 | 76.9 | 191.75 | 745.50 | 1170.0 | 1493.80 | 1804.10 |
| 2025-02-23 | 438.0 | 31.90 | 53.00 | 95.9 | 218.50 | 792.50 | 1261.9 | 1565.25 | 1795.08 |
| 2025-03-02 | 449.0 | 30.98 | 61.95 | 111.7 | 230.75 | 784.25 | 1253.2 | 1506.10 | 1733.15 |
| 2025-03-09 | 431.5 | 35.00 | 56.95 | 102.0 | 208.50 | 788.25 | 1197.0 | 1488.75 | 1802.73 |
| 2025-03-16 | 454.5 | 43.97 | 66.90 | 114.0 | 222.00 | 840.50 | 1234.3 | 1553.70 | 1800.00 |
| 2025-03-23 | 456.5 | 30.00 | 47.00 | 100.0 | 224.75 | 815.25 | 1307.3 | 1565.90 | 2017.78 |
| 2025-03-30 | 459.0 | 33.00 | 71.90 | 112.0 | 230.00 | 819.00 | 1271.1 | 1642.10 | 1927.58 |
| 2025-04-06 | 422.5 | 33.97 | 54.95 | 89.0 | 215.75 | 780.25 | 1236.5 | 1577.20 | 1784.50 |
| 2025-04-13 | 442.5 | 28.00 | 50.95 | 100.0 | 213.75 | 796.25 | 1269.3 | 1589.90 | 1946.10 |
| 2025-04-20 | 399.0 | 26.00 | 46.95 | 86.0 | 177.00 | 743.25 | 1141.1 | 1446.35 | 1704.10 |
| 2025-04-27 | 366.5 | 22.98 | 37.00 | 62.0 | 157.75 | 715.25 | 1112.5 | 1402.45 | 1696.13 |
| 2025-05-04 | 352.5 | 17.00 | 28.95 | 52.9 | 152.50 | 652.25 | 1114.0 | 1456.15 | 1808.60 |
| 2025-05-11 | 341.0 | 13.98 | 26.00 | 59.0 | 150.00 | 634.25 | 1021.1 | 1387.00 | 1680.08 |
| 2025-05-18 | 307.0 | 13.98 | 23.95 | 49.9 | 134.00 | 609.00 | 968.2 | 1303.55 | 1726.68 |
| 2025-05-25 | 272.0 | 8.00 | 16.95 | 37.0 | 109.00 | 564.00 | 947.6 | 1219.05 | 1494.28 |
| 2025-06-01 | 246.5 | 9.00 | 15.00 | 29.0 | 95.75 | 536.00 | 913.4 | 1250.30 | 1454.20 |
| 2025-06-08 | 240.5 | 4.98 | 14.00 | 29.0 | 88.75 | 500.00 | 868.6 | 1210.05 | 1519.15 |
| 2025-06-15 | 217.0 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 22.0 | 73.75 | 473.75 | 841.1 | 1139.30 | 1422.30 |
| 2025-06-22 | 192.0 | 2.98 | 5.95 | 15.0 | 65.00 | 417.25 | 792.2 | 1031.25 | 1239.20 |
| 2025-06-29 | 168.5 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 12.9 | 50.75 | 383.25 | 711.8 | 979.30 | 1237.58 |
| 2025-07-06 | 141.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.9 | 45.00 | 371.25 | 691.0 | 937.15 | 1167.10 |
| 2025-07-13 | 127.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 33.00 | 334.25 | 623.4 | 912.50 | 1144.33 |
| 2025-07-20 | 107.0 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 29.00 | 311.00 | 586.0 | 870.70 | 1123.13 |
| 2025-07-27 | 95.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 23.75 | 265.25 | 605.4 | 825.55 | 1071.23 |
| 2025-08-03 | 105.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 23.75 | 313.00 | 631.8 | 857.15 | 1142.18 |
| 2025-08-10 | 93.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 21.00 | 261.25 | 555.1 | 758.30 | 996.35 |
| 2025-08-17 | 90.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 19.00 | 256.25 | 545.2 | 809.80 | 1030.00 |
| 2025-08-24 | 79.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 17.00 | 252.50 | 508.3 | 707.40 | 968.18 |
| 2025-08-31 | 72.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.75 | 230.75 | 493.2 | 702.15 | 980.10 |
| 2025-09-07 | 75.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 245.25 | 542.0 | 818.30 | 1128.08 |
| 2025-09-14 | 72.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.75 | 247.25 | 505.2 | 729.05 | 917.00 |
| 2025-09-21 | 80.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.9 | 17.00 | 245.00 | 508.2 | 735.30 | 987.03 |
| 2025-09-28 | 71.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 253.00 | 543.1 | 762.10 | 954.08 |
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