Prediction 2387
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Maranhão |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in MA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 15.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 100.25 | 264.2 | 450.20 | 589.15 |
| 2024-10-13 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 95.00 | 259.0 | 368.30 | 539.20 |
| 2024-10-20 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 90.00 | 254.1 | 427.20 | 590.40 |
| 2024-10-27 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 106.25 | 284.1 | 500.00 | 652.50 |
| 2024-11-03 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 108.00 | 272.0 | 414.15 | 546.13 |
| 2024-11-10 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 101.25 | 247.3 | 417.55 | 597.33 |
| 2024-11-17 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 109.25 | 273.1 | 441.00 | 647.05 |
| 2024-11-24 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 126.25 | 283.0 | 404.10 | 577.18 |
| 2024-12-01 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 112.25 | 304.0 | 459.35 | 666.30 |
| 2024-12-08 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 130.00 | 313.0 | 494.30 | 622.38 |
| 2024-12-15 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 142.00 | 331.2 | 507.30 | 658.10 |
| 2024-12-22 | 28.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 114.00 | 308.2 | 454.45 | 618.18 |
| 2024-12-29 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 138.25 | 320.4 | 465.05 | 667.28 |
| 2025-01-05 | 39.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 143.25 | 376.2 | 529.35 | 716.58 |
| 2025-01-12 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.75 | 126.25 | 317.2 | 461.20 | 723.13 |
| 2025-01-19 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 155.00 | 334.8 | 496.10 | 685.25 |
| 2025-01-26 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 168.25 | 399.4 | 566.35 | 756.35 |
| 2025-02-02 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 193.00 | 376.1 | 527.00 | 711.20 |
| 2025-02-09 | 59.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 175.50 | 371.1 | 551.15 | 827.03 |
| 2025-02-16 | 54.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 165.00 | 388.1 | 588.45 | 757.15 |
| 2025-02-23 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 15.00 | 192.75 | 403.1 | 513.30 | 705.25 |
| 2025-03-02 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 197.00 | 412.1 | 613.00 | 814.10 |
| 2025-03-09 | 77.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 13.75 | 206.00 | 409.1 | 595.35 | 766.00 |
| 2025-03-16 | 75.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 225.25 | 416.6 | 601.05 | 746.00 |
| 2025-03-23 | 70.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 17.00 | 214.50 | 438.2 | 598.10 | 828.15 |
| 2025-03-30 | 73.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 19.00 | 233.50 | 481.3 | 683.05 | 946.28 |
| 2025-04-06 | 68.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 229.00 | 446.2 | 647.00 | 832.20 |
| 2025-04-13 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 17.00 | 207.00 | 436.1 | 666.30 | 867.15 |
| 2025-04-20 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 12.00 | 209.25 | 432.3 | 635.20 | 822.18 |
| 2025-04-27 | 76.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 228.00 | 425.3 | 598.05 | 770.30 |
| 2025-05-04 | 70.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 217.00 | 447.4 | 614.45 | 760.23 |
| 2025-05-11 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 195.25 | 417.1 | 588.40 | 779.35 |
| 2025-05-18 | 63.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 215.25 | 411.1 | 569.10 | 707.15 |
| 2025-05-25 | 64.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 14.00 | 209.00 | 443.0 | 637.00 | 831.50 |
| 2025-06-01 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 183.50 | 406.5 | 591.75 | 776.13 |
| 2025-06-08 | 55.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 181.00 | 400.2 | 607.10 | 761.15 |
| 2025-06-15 | 54.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 182.25 | 409.0 | 564.30 | 687.05 |
| 2025-06-22 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.75 | 171.00 | 397.0 | 578.35 | 798.25 |
| 2025-06-29 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 150.00 | 359.2 | 524.25 | 727.25 |
| 2025-07-06 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 140.50 | 304.1 | 467.35 | 684.78 |
| 2025-07-13 | 34.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 132.00 | 355.3 | 529.05 | 707.13 |
| 2025-07-20 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 141.25 | 333.1 | 502.00 | 731.00 |
| 2025-07-27 | 30.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 126.25 | 312.2 | 445.10 | 601.10 |
| 2025-08-03 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 128.00 | 305.1 | 501.15 | 694.20 |
| 2025-08-10 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 118.00 | 290.1 | 434.05 | 580.03 |
| 2025-08-17 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 124.25 | 291.3 | 434.05 | 579.10 |
| 2025-08-24 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 112.25 | 304.7 | 481.90 | 673.00 |
| 2025-08-31 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 111.00 | 280.3 | 454.40 | 587.23 |
| 2025-09-07 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 123.25 | 285.1 | 461.10 | 551.30 |
| 2025-09-14 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 110.25 | 279.3 | 430.40 | 562.15 |
| 2025-09-21 | 19.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 97.00 | 248.1 | 367.20 | 467.25 |
| 2025-09-28 | 18.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 97.00 | 246.0 | 377.10 | 542.25 |
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Interval Bounds
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