Prediction 2388
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rondônia |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in RO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 43.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 145.25 | 314.4 | 427.75 | 633.30 |
| 2024-10-13 | 48.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 152.00 | 332.1 | 502.05 | 699.18 |
| 2024-10-20 | 52.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 170.25 | 354.2 | 496.15 | 670.10 |
| 2024-10-27 | 50.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 154.25 | 323.1 | 467.05 | 667.48 |
| 2024-11-03 | 56.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 14.00 | 182.00 | 404.3 | 558.10 | 772.00 |
| 2024-11-10 | 63.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 15.00 | 188.25 | 373.2 | 501.75 | 714.05 |
| 2024-11-17 | 71.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 13.00 | 218.00 | 428.3 | 598.10 | 744.08 |
| 2024-11-24 | 68.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 15.00 | 199.00 | 389.0 | 576.35 | 713.05 |
| 2024-12-01 | 84.5 | 0.98 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 24.75 | 214.00 | 422.1 | 561.20 | 725.13 |
| 2024-12-08 | 106.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 6.0 | 31.00 | 262.25 | 494.0 | 659.00 | 877.33 |
| 2024-12-15 | 121.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 38.00 | 289.00 | 516.0 | 752.20 | 901.05 |
| 2024-12-22 | 107.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 34.00 | 269.75 | 491.5 | 662.30 | 850.03 |
| 2024-12-29 | 124.5 | 1.98 | 4.00 | 10.0 | 38.75 | 283.50 | 503.5 | 657.20 | 829.03 |
| 2025-01-05 | 121.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.9 | 41.75 | 294.25 | 559.3 | 715.05 | 869.60 |
| 2025-01-12 | 136.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 12.0 | 42.00 | 321.25 | 541.4 | 728.70 | 919.33 |
| 2025-01-19 | 141.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 15.0 | 49.75 | 324.50 | 578.1 | 776.20 | 951.03 |
| 2025-01-26 | 129.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 13.0 | 49.75 | 303.00 | 560.8 | 719.00 | 918.38 |
| 2025-02-02 | 158.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 17.9 | 59.00 | 332.00 | 619.5 | 797.00 | 1005.30 |
| 2025-02-09 | 139.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 14.0 | 48.00 | 329.00 | 585.0 | 772.10 | 957.28 |
| 2025-02-16 | 160.0 | 3.98 | 7.00 | 17.9 | 60.00 | 330.00 | 574.3 | 759.20 | 972.13 |
| 2025-02-23 | 150.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 19.0 | 57.00 | 348.25 | 605.1 | 757.10 | 954.03 |
| 2025-03-02 | 165.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 15.0 | 59.00 | 334.50 | 597.2 | 772.45 | 940.13 |
| 2025-03-09 | 151.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 18.9 | 55.00 | 331.50 | 583.1 | 777.00 | 1016.03 |
| 2025-03-16 | 156.5 | 3.98 | 8.00 | 19.9 | 57.00 | 311.50 | 589.6 | 764.05 | 901.20 |
| 2025-03-23 | 142.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.0 | 50.00 | 332.25 | 613.1 | 807.05 | 1011.08 |
| 2025-03-30 | 131.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 41.75 | 304.50 | 499.4 | 709.10 | 928.88 |
| 2025-04-06 | 128.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.9 | 44.75 | 290.25 | 541.0 | 684.25 | 904.15 |
| 2025-04-13 | 119.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 38.00 | 291.00 | 507.0 | 674.20 | 855.05 |
| 2025-04-20 | 112.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 39.00 | 269.25 | 524.5 | 722.10 | 927.05 |
| 2025-04-27 | 107.0 | 1.00 | 2.95 | 7.0 | 29.00 | 276.25 | 531.1 | 694.75 | 954.93 |
| 2025-05-04 | 96.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 27.00 | 253.25 | 511.1 | 689.25 | 913.33 |
| 2025-05-11 | 90.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 24.00 | 220.25 | 448.4 | 620.20 | 809.65 |
| 2025-05-18 | 79.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 21.75 | 217.75 | 442.5 | 629.10 | 717.43 |
| 2025-05-25 | 66.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 16.00 | 192.25 | 397.1 | 557.00 | 712.25 |
| 2025-06-01 | 56.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 12.00 | 195.25 | 413.7 | 627.15 | 770.05 |
| 2025-06-08 | 59.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 164.25 | 336.2 | 552.20 | 800.40 |
| 2025-06-15 | 53.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 169.00 | 378.1 | 515.25 | 666.05 |
| 2025-06-22 | 47.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 149.25 | 357.4 | 496.10 | 696.73 |
| 2025-06-29 | 42.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 144.25 | 302.1 | 461.20 | 667.08 |
| 2025-07-06 | 40.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 150.25 | 325.2 | 490.25 | 688.05 |
| 2025-07-13 | 37.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 148.75 | 353.1 | 489.75 | 668.05 |
| 2025-07-20 | 35.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 139.25 | 318.4 | 446.05 | 586.15 |
| 2025-07-27 | 28.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 126.00 | 340.0 | 477.10 | 676.15 |
| 2025-08-03 | 36.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.75 | 123.25 | 290.0 | 487.00 | 680.13 |
| 2025-08-10 | 29.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.75 | 118.00 | 278.0 | 385.25 | 564.03 |
| 2025-08-17 | 27.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.75 | 105.00 | 249.0 | 393.40 | 551.03 |
| 2025-08-24 | 31.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 129.25 | 294.1 | 428.20 | 615.33 |
| 2025-08-31 | 37.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 136.00 | 303.2 | 439.10 | 600.15 |
| 2025-09-07 | 38.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 138.00 | 324.0 | 478.10 | 636.38 |
| 2025-09-14 | 36.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 132.00 | 326.4 | 485.45 | 658.68 |
| 2025-09-21 | 33.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 127.25 | 307.2 | 486.35 | 624.20 |
| 2025-09-28 | 39.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 156.00 | 325.5 | 499.15 | 641.23 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
