Prediction 2390
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amapá |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 3 in AP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | 19.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 68.00 | 161.1 | 233.05 | 328.13 |
| 2024-10-13 | 19.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 74.25 | 168.1 | 238.05 | 316.00 |
| 2024-10-20 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 81.00 | 189.1 | 254.05 | 318.03 |
| 2024-10-27 | 17.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 60.25 | 160.4 | 242.35 | 310.45 |
| 2024-11-03 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 67.00 | 150.0 | 218.20 | 284.05 |
| 2024-11-10 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 73.00 | 168.2 | 254.50 | 347.15 |
| 2024-11-17 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 79.00 | 180.1 | 262.10 | 394.15 |
| 2024-11-24 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 75.25 | 164.1 | 250.15 | 309.25 |
| 2024-12-01 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 88.00 | 197.0 | 272.20 | 373.10 |
| 2024-12-08 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 69.25 | 167.0 | 248.05 | 320.15 |
| 2024-12-15 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 78.00 | 172.1 | 251.05 | 355.55 |
| 2024-12-22 | 25.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 91.00 | 191.4 | 269.15 | 342.23 |
| 2024-12-29 | 27.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 90.00 | 185.1 | 278.00 | 368.08 |
| 2025-01-05 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 96.25 | 175.4 | 240.35 | 327.15 |
| 2025-01-12 | 31.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 96.00 | 203.1 | 300.15 | 407.10 |
| 2025-01-19 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.0 | 97.25 | 193.1 | 292.20 | 375.13 |
| 2025-01-26 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 95.00 | 200.0 | 293.25 | 367.03 |
| 2025-02-02 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 114.00 | 209.1 | 287.05 | 374.08 |
| 2025-02-09 | 42.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 109.00 | 203.1 | 284.15 | 386.10 |
| 2025-02-16 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 102.50 | 210.0 | 274.15 | 371.05 |
| 2025-02-23 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 100.00 | 197.0 | 293.00 | 368.15 |
| 2025-03-02 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 104.00 | 196.2 | 286.10 | 374.53 |
| 2025-03-09 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 101.25 | 204.2 | 294.10 | 374.15 |
| 2025-03-16 | 47.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 12.0 | 125.25 | 218.0 | 298.10 | 379.03 |
| 2025-03-23 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 111.25 | 215.5 | 308.05 | 366.00 |
| 2025-03-30 | 39.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 10.0 | 107.00 | 218.1 | 305.15 | 412.03 |
| 2025-04-06 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 109.25 | 210.1 | 302.15 | 378.00 |
| 2025-04-13 | 39.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 109.25 | 213.1 | 322.10 | 400.03 |
| 2025-04-20 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 8.0 | 105.25 | 231.2 | 324.20 | 402.05 |
| 2025-04-27 | 37.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.9 | 8.0 | 110.00 | 218.1 | 310.05 | 394.03 |
| 2025-05-04 | 39.0 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 104.00 | 204.2 | 275.15 | 346.05 |
| 2025-05-11 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.0 | 106.00 | 206.1 | 276.00 | 357.20 |
| 2025-05-18 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.0 | 98.00 | 216.1 | 283.05 | 332.18 |
| 2025-05-25 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 95.00 | 189.1 | 277.00 | 360.13 |
| 2025-06-01 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 105.00 | 207.2 | 303.35 | 391.13 |
| 2025-06-08 | 32.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 99.25 | 195.0 | 278.10 | 378.13 |
| 2025-06-15 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 92.00 | 198.1 | 294.15 | 379.63 |
| 2025-06-22 | 26.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 86.00 | 201.0 | 262.20 | 338.03 |
| 2025-06-29 | 29.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 89.00 | 183.1 | 268.00 | 359.38 |
| 2025-07-06 | 26.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 85.00 | 188.0 | 284.10 | 361.13 |
| 2025-07-13 | 24.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 5.0 | 79.25 | 166.0 | 240.00 | 364.10 |
| 2025-07-20 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 5.0 | 83.25 | 202.2 | 293.15 | 376.03 |
| 2025-07-27 | 22.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 76.25 | 183.1 | 261.45 | 364.03 |
| 2025-08-03 | 23.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 77.00 | 158.2 | 247.05 | 336.45 |
| 2025-08-10 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 83.00 | 173.2 | 274.10 | 361.80 |
| 2025-08-17 | 21.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 71.25 | 174.1 | 247.15 | 325.35 |
| 2025-08-24 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 75.00 | 165.1 | 243.05 | 303.08 |
| 2025-08-31 | 18.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 70.00 | 165.1 | 255.10 | 370.05 |
| 2025-09-07 | 22.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 83.25 | 170.1 | 260.00 | 341.00 |
| 2025-09-14 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 73.25 | 170.1 | 260.00 | 375.28 |
| 2025-09-21 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.0 | 69.00 | 169.2 | 260.05 | 334.03 |
| 2025-09-28 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 70.00 | 161.0 | 232.05 | 312.03 |
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Confidence Interval
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Interval Bounds
When the Confidence Interval is active, the Prediction will display the 50% and 90% bounds (upper and lower)
