Prediction 2394

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Modelo fourier-gravidade
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 Goiás

Description:

Prediction Validation test 1 in GO


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2022-10-09 473.5 6.98 19.95 48.0 166.25 1079.00 1831.1 2460.25 2912.28
2022-10-16 456.5 8.98 22.00 50.0 175.00 973.00 1737.1 2230.60 2727.05
2022-10-23 550.5 10.00 23.95 61.8 197.00 1139.25 2057.9 2686.45 3539.30
2022-10-30 622.0 18.00 37.95 74.9 247.75 1277.50 2159.6 2830.55 3212.05
2022-11-06 685.5 18.98 47.95 99.9 259.25 1425.50 2395.8 3096.30 3958.95
2022-11-13 699.0 27.95 51.00 111.0 303.25 1362.75 2288.4 2761.10 3248.08
2022-11-20 869.5 57.83 101.00 148.8 354.75 1582.00 2429.7 3130.20 3857.83
2022-11-27 877.0 50.97 92.85 167.0 399.50 1742.25 2702.1 3439.15 3988.12
2022-12-04 1128.0 88.97 153.85 271.0 543.50 1915.25 2849.3 3668.45 4415.43
2022-12-11 1192.5 130.93 208.70 316.7 616.00 1986.50 3005.8 3830.05 4430.33
2022-12-18 1287.5 134.75 229.70 357.9 694.00 2258.25 3358.7 4388.90 5089.12
2022-12-25 1580.0 180.98 307.95 481.7 876.75 2530.00 3795.1 4429.45 5401.10
2023-01-01 1782.0 295.77 423.60 610.1 1077.75 2800.75 3998.7 4849.15 5905.08
2023-01-08 2083.5 380.35 488.85 730.6 1262.50 3266.25 4604.0 5474.90 6064.78
2023-01-15 2319.0 486.83 624.80 856.9 1482.00 3458.25 4693.3 5662.55 6703.08
2023-01-22 2591.5 649.78 868.00 1139.6 1707.25 3683.25 4949.8 5825.45 6935.55
2023-01-29 2797.5 682.70 817.90 1101.1 1874.75 4189.00 5512.2 6612.15 7782.00
2023-02-05 2942.5 858.67 1044.90 1334.6 1986.25 4260.25 5753.8 6634.60 7755.40
2023-02-12 3265.5 768.48 1027.65 1389.7 2222.50 4508.00 6050.5 6955.90 7898.15
2023-02-19 3309.5 1024.78 1211.65 1519.6 2177.75 4573.25 6159.6 7242.20 7919.58
2023-02-26 3640.0 1019.80 1327.10 1625.6 2477.25 5036.75 6774.2 7529.90 8560.20
2023-03-05 3828.0 1181.70 1439.70 1782.8 2534.50 5386.75 6798.2 8032.80 8959.55
2023-03-12 3740.0 1285.70 1505.90 1882.5 2563.50 5136.25 6951.5 7890.10 9442.35
2023-03-19 3816.0 1125.93 1451.80 1908.1 2740.00 5281.50 6731.7 7632.40 8889.13
2023-03-26 3658.0 1120.90 1410.00 1763.8 2584.50 5145.50 6587.1 7552.30 8448.38
2023-04-02 3854.5 1217.72 1443.35 1887.4 2660.25 5319.00 6703.1 8080.00 9199.48
2023-04-09 3738.0 1156.85 1409.75 1765.0 2640.75 5133.25 6508.3 7601.80 8458.13
2023-04-16 3515.0 1004.72 1292.00 1674.6 2367.75 4856.00 6063.4 7020.25 7926.05
2023-04-23 3330.5 846.83 1039.35 1467.9 2197.75 4663.50 6028.9 6923.20 8010.43
2023-04-30 3077.5 670.92 877.75 1291.0 2050.25 4353.75 5639.5 6311.20 7511.73
2023-05-07 2891.5 733.80 934.95 1264.9 1899.75 4113.50 5446.4 6285.85 7083.20
2023-05-14 2658.5 639.83 775.90 1092.8 1721.50 3941.50 5351.0 6398.30 7522.98
2023-05-21 2451.0 512.58 714.95 929.0 1516.75 3614.50 4963.5 5788.10 6827.95
2023-05-28 2158.5 415.00 568.90 803.9 1312.00 3356.00 4674.3 5554.50 6380.23
2023-06-04 1939.5 360.98 500.70 650.0 1144.25 2965.75 4168.7 5061.10 6049.58
2023-06-11 1634.5 235.75 340.00 500.7 912.75 2744.00 3934.0 4721.60 5686.98
2023-06-18 1443.5 189.93 290.90 438.5 798.50 2395.00 3548.5 4367.70 5135.28
2023-06-25 1286.5 133.90 237.95 389.0 706.25 2222.25 3493.7 4253.45 4920.30
2023-07-02 1131.0 96.00 164.80 277.9 562.50 2020.75 3087.6 3795.95 4487.33
2023-07-09 1017.5 74.95 135.85 209.8 471.75 1955.25 3206.8 3708.30 4435.55
2023-07-16 857.5 58.93 103.95 201.9 390.75 1593.50 2515.9 3296.60 4176.35
2023-07-23 795.5 37.97 76.95 119.9 345.25 1517.25 2382.1 2959.40 3472.53
2023-07-30 656.5 29.98 54.90 98.9 253.00 1262.75 2211.2 2941.60 3500.95
2023-08-06 581.0 13.98 39.85 77.0 236.75 1242.25 2164.7 2807.05 3415.20
2023-08-13 562.0 13.98 31.95 78.9 208.75 1178.75 1992.3 2786.60 3454.98
2023-08-20 524.5 12.00 26.90 57.0 182.75 1147.75 1995.2 2910.00 3493.80
2023-08-27 506.5 8.00 24.00 50.0 186.75 1141.00 1944.0 2666.00 3214.50
2023-09-03 473.5 6.00 15.00 40.0 168.50 1038.00 1786.0 2504.75 3103.33
2023-09-10 428.5 3.00 9.00 31.9 138.00 1026.75 1854.3 2355.10 2895.48
2023-09-17 449.0 4.98 14.00 38.0 138.00 1056.50 1955.2 2490.85 3186.58
2023-09-24 423.5 7.00 15.00 44.0 136.00 998.00 1818.3 2318.60 3199.18
2023-10-01 489.5 11.95 27.95 53.8 166.75 999.00 1727.9 2359.30 3020.93
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