Prediction 24
| Modelo | Random Forest model with uncertainty computed with conformal prediction |
|---|---|
| Autor | Eduardo Correa Araujo |
Descrição:
Forecast de novos casos para o geocode 2408102 entre 2022-01-01 e 2023-01-01 usando apenas os dados de 2408102 como input
Mostrar Tabela
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-01-02 | 71.66 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 187.71 | - |
| 2022-01-09 | 50.23 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 164.29 | - |
| 2022-01-16 | 63.50 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 214.32 | - |
| 2022-01-23 | 106.79 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 316.14 | - |
| 2022-01-30 | 123.14 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 322.74 | - |
| 2022-02-06 | 109.61 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 297.35 | - |
| 2022-02-13 | 56.44 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 207.82 | - |
| 2022-02-20 | 51.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 267.05 | - |
| 2022-02-27 | 49.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 224.98 | - |
| 2022-03-06 | 57.39 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 285.20 | - |
| 2022-03-13 | 68.63 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 273.99 | - |
| 2022-03-20 | 99.04 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 260.00 | - |
| 2022-03-27 | 116.77 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 305.95 | - |
| 2022-04-03 | 265.43 | - | 176.59 | - | - | - | - | 354.27 | - |
| 2022-04-10 | 334.89 | - | 235.65 | - | - | - | - | 434.13 | - |
| 2022-04-17 | 331.92 | - | 222.58 | - | - | - | - | 441.26 | - |
| 2022-04-24 | 421.34 | - | 261.79 | - | - | - | - | 580.89 | - |
| 2022-05-01 | 698.04 | - | 490.24 | - | - | - | - | 905.84 | - |
| 2022-05-08 | 807.49 | - | 596.20 | - | - | - | - | 1018.78 | - |
| 2022-05-15 | 727.09 | - | 493.33 | - | - | - | - | 960.85 | - |
| 2022-05-22 | 674.05 | - | 311.50 | - | - | - | - | 1036.60 | - |
| 2022-05-29 | 653.30 | - | 200.37 | - | - | - | - | 1106.23 | - |
| 2022-06-05 | 611.67 | - | 50.74 | - | - | - | - | 1172.60 | - |
| 2022-06-12 | 566.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1245.28 | - |
| 2022-06-19 | 520.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1274.57 | - |
| 2022-06-26 | 542.07 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1321.51 | - |
| 2022-07-03 | 511.83 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1368.15 | - |
| 2022-07-10 | 491.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1425.25 | - |
| 2022-07-17 | 502.78 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1423.15 | - |
| 2022-07-24 | 443.03 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1343.44 | - |
| 2022-07-31 | 404.51 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 1136.96 | - |
| 2022-08-07 | 409.15 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 988.02 | - |
| 2022-08-14 | 408.88 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 929.07 | - |
| 2022-08-21 | 410.57 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 856.75 | - |
| 2022-08-28 | 314.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 724.17 | - |
| 2022-09-04 | 275.28 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 647.83 | - |
| 2022-09-11 | 266.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 584.40 | - |
| 2022-09-18 | 238.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 540.49 | - |
| 2022-09-25 | 223.45 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 553.63 | - |
| 2022-10-02 | 112.72 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 368.15 | - |
| 2022-10-09 | 95.24 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 272.94 | - |
| 2022-10-16 | 152.91 | - | 15.20 | - | - | - | - | 290.62 | - |
| 2022-10-23 | 67.88 | - | 5.70 | - | - | - | - | 130.06 | - |
| 2022-10-30 | 74.54 | - | 29.27 | - | - | - | - | 119.81 | - |
| 2022-11-06 | 84.14 | - | 42.83 | - | - | - | - | 125.45 | - |
| 2022-11-13 | 76.79 | - | 43.84 | - | - | - | - | 109.74 | - |
| 2022-11-20 | 77.87 | - | 16.02 | - | - | - | - | 139.72 | - |
| 2022-11-27 | 74.74 | - | 14.87 | - | - | - | - | 134.61 | - |
| 2022-12-04 | 80.53 | - | 6.68 | - | - | - | - | 154.38 | - |
| 2022-12-11 | 68.74 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 172.13 | - |
| 2022-12-18 | 92.93 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 194.20 | - |
| 2022-12-25 | 83.82 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 192.47 | - |
| 2023-01-01 | 170.42 | - | 100.07 | - | - | - | - | 240.77 | - |
| 2023-01-08 | 142.33 | - | 47.38 | - | - | - | - | 237.28 | - |
| 2023-01-15 | 50.17 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 164.20 | - |
| 2023-01-22 | 45.09 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 168.82 | - |
| 2023-01-29 | 40.49 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 166.30 | - |
| 2023-02-05 | 111.68 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 251.35 | - |
| 2023-02-12 | 185.52 | - | 41.90 | - | - | - | - | 329.14 | - |
| 2023-02-19 | 164.04 | - | 57.68 | - | - | - | - | 270.40 | - |
| 2023-02-26 | 167.69 | - | 59.46 | - | - | - | - | 275.92 | - |
| 2023-03-05 | 126.95 | - | 40.00 | - | - | - | - | 213.90 | - |
| 2023-03-12 | 89.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 181.50 | - |
| 2023-03-19 | 78.85 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 180.28 | - |
| 2023-03-26 | 85.45 | - | 25.52 | - | - | - | - | 145.38 | - |
| 2023-04-02 | 93.37 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 200.69 | - |
| 2023-04-09 | 118.38 | - | 13.55 | - | - | - | - | 223.21 | - |
| 2023-04-16 | 128.43 | - | 47.67 | - | - | - | - | 209.19 | - |
| 2023-04-23 | 219.54 | - | 52.07 | - | - | - | - | 387.01 | - |
| 2023-04-30 | 424.74 | - | 241.06 | - | - | - | - | 608.42 | - |
| 2023-05-07 | 567.01 | - | 363.66 | - | - | - | - | 770.36 | - |
| 2023-05-14 | 467.81 | - | 225.83 | - | - | - | - | 709.79 | - |
| 2023-05-21 | 497.33 | - | 336.96 | - | - | - | - | 657.70 | - |
| 2023-05-28 | 303.61 | - | 10.52 | - | - | - | - | 596.70 | - |
| 2023-06-04 | 286.91 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 624.38 | - |
| 2023-06-11 | 162.19 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 478.41 | - |
| 2023-06-18 | 133.25 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 332.42 | - |
| 2023-06-25 | 91.08 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 282.06 | - |
| 2023-07-02 | 90.98 | - | 0.00 | - | - | - | - | 259.81 | - |
Bem-vindo ao Painel de Previsões Mosqlimate
Intervalo de Confiança
Para alternar os limites do Intervalo de Confiança da Previsão no gráfico, clique na legenda da Previsão
ou linha
Limites do Intervalo
Quando o Intervalo de Confiança estiver ativo, a Previsão exibirá os limites de 50% e 90% (superior e inferior)
