Prediction 2405
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 1 in MT
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 139.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 39.75 | 381.25 | 755.0 | 1032.20 | 1324.20 |
| 2022-10-16 | 149.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.9 | 36.00 | 401.75 | 762.1 | 1016.15 | 1225.35 |
| 2022-10-23 | 161.0 | 1.00 | 3.95 | 9.0 | 45.00 | 413.25 | 781.5 | 1185.25 | 1441.23 |
| 2022-10-30 | 180.5 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 14.0 | 52.00 | 462.75 | 825.5 | 1108.15 | 1372.08 |
| 2022-11-06 | 212.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 16.9 | 74.00 | 470.00 | 872.0 | 1175.00 | 1381.20 |
| 2022-11-13 | 230.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 14.9 | 77.50 | 501.25 | 906.6 | 1247.30 | 1448.40 |
| 2022-11-20 | 270.0 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 28.0 | 104.00 | 602.75 | 1009.1 | 1327.40 | 1706.20 |
| 2022-11-27 | 275.0 | 8.98 | 17.95 | 36.9 | 100.75 | 619.25 | 1004.1 | 1372.50 | 1616.50 |
| 2022-12-04 | 342.5 | 10.98 | 25.95 | 50.9 | 132.00 | 707.25 | 1159.4 | 1480.30 | 1973.30 |
| 2022-12-11 | 349.0 | 14.98 | 31.95 | 62.0 | 152.00 | 651.25 | 1118.4 | 1467.85 | 1819.13 |
| 2022-12-18 | 403.5 | 18.98 | 35.95 | 71.9 | 185.50 | 726.75 | 1110.5 | 1474.25 | 1783.48 |
| 2022-12-25 | 433.0 | 30.98 | 48.85 | 96.0 | 209.75 | 780.00 | 1293.8 | 1585.10 | 1987.03 |
| 2023-01-01 | 487.5 | 30.00 | 58.95 | 95.9 | 229.75 | 916.25 | 1407.0 | 1822.50 | 2251.98 |
| 2023-01-08 | 523.0 | 43.00 | 64.95 | 99.9 | 250.75 | 921.25 | 1459.2 | 1841.20 | 2208.55 |
| 2023-01-15 | 522.0 | 34.97 | 53.95 | 118.8 | 255.50 | 965.00 | 1528.5 | 1850.20 | 2218.08 |
| 2023-01-22 | 595.5 | 46.93 | 80.95 | 146.7 | 307.00 | 1060.25 | 1597.1 | 2018.05 | 2335.10 |
| 2023-01-29 | 620.0 | 62.95 | 104.95 | 161.9 | 325.25 | 1046.25 | 1595.1 | 1952.15 | 2339.12 |
| 2023-02-05 | 626.0 | 68.95 | 102.95 | 156.9 | 339.75 | 1069.00 | 1639.0 | 2054.15 | 2456.45 |
| 2023-02-12 | 681.0 | 73.95 | 113.00 | 203.0 | 384.25 | 1144.00 | 1703.1 | 2165.90 | 2547.08 |
| 2023-02-19 | 725.5 | 75.97 | 105.80 | 180.9 | 380.50 | 1226.00 | 1821.3 | 2177.00 | 2775.23 |
| 2023-02-26 | 690.0 | 93.97 | 129.95 | 194.8 | 368.75 | 1199.50 | 1797.0 | 2167.70 | 2586.55 |
| 2023-03-05 | 699.5 | 91.00 | 152.00 | 218.0 | 376.75 | 1161.00 | 1700.1 | 2208.55 | 2532.13 |
| 2023-03-12 | 727.0 | 75.00 | 122.95 | 192.0 | 376.25 | 1203.00 | 1775.4 | 2130.05 | 2509.73 |
| 2023-03-19 | 702.5 | 77.83 | 118.90 | 181.9 | 371.75 | 1149.75 | 1756.1 | 2271.15 | 2648.28 |
| 2023-03-26 | 693.5 | 57.00 | 104.85 | 174.9 | 367.50 | 1172.00 | 1768.4 | 2177.95 | 2542.35 |
| 2023-04-02 | 696.5 | 63.97 | 118.60 | 183.0 | 384.00 | 1215.25 | 1672.4 | 2086.30 | 2362.35 |
| 2023-04-09 | 638.5 | 74.00 | 108.00 | 175.7 | 339.00 | 1158.00 | 1759.5 | 2120.00 | 2474.05 |
| 2023-04-16 | 607.5 | 45.00 | 75.90 | 142.0 | 311.75 | 1033.75 | 1605.8 | 2026.25 | 2279.38 |
| 2023-04-23 | 554.5 | 42.97 | 72.95 | 126.7 | 282.75 | 967.50 | 1544.1 | 1887.90 | 2158.58 |
| 2023-04-30 | 473.5 | 41.93 | 60.00 | 101.9 | 236.75 | 903.75 | 1442.1 | 1819.25 | 2188.63 |
| 2023-05-07 | 466.0 | 30.98 | 59.90 | 104.9 | 220.50 | 862.25 | 1392.1 | 1717.30 | 2203.20 |
| 2023-05-14 | 459.0 | 31.00 | 45.95 | 92.0 | 214.75 | 838.00 | 1310.2 | 1662.80 | 2041.18 |
| 2023-05-21 | 411.5 | 19.95 | 38.90 | 76.9 | 187.00 | 795.25 | 1240.3 | 1594.15 | 1960.40 |
| 2023-05-28 | 378.5 | 13.00 | 30.95 | 62.0 | 169.75 | 734.75 | 1193.1 | 1550.40 | 1866.03 |
| 2023-06-04 | 345.0 | 12.00 | 28.00 | 51.0 | 125.00 | 680.00 | 1165.0 | 1495.05 | 1863.03 |
| 2023-06-11 | 253.0 | 7.00 | 12.00 | 27.9 | 94.75 | 612.25 | 1088.1 | 1364.70 | 1667.18 |
| 2023-06-18 | 267.0 | 4.00 | 13.00 | 30.0 | 103.25 | 578.50 | 981.1 | 1273.30 | 1571.03 |
| 2023-06-25 | 226.5 | 2.00 | 7.95 | 22.9 | 83.00 | 542.75 | 934.0 | 1271.00 | 1610.68 |
| 2023-07-02 | 230.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 19.0 | 75.00 | 543.50 | 941.2 | 1273.45 | 1563.50 |
| 2023-07-09 | 216.5 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 19.0 | 59.00 | 475.25 | 883.0 | 1203.10 | 1688.80 |
| 2023-07-16 | 192.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 55.75 | 449.75 | 862.1 | 1190.50 | 1597.25 |
| 2023-07-23 | 159.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.9 | 41.00 | 416.50 | 791.2 | 1005.45 | 1310.30 |
| 2023-07-30 | 146.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 38.75 | 381.25 | 735.2 | 1024.60 | 1294.13 |
| 2023-08-06 | 132.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 35.00 | 349.00 | 709.2 | 1060.35 | 1336.40 |
| 2023-08-13 | 134.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 30.75 | 373.75 | 725.1 | 987.25 | 1228.20 |
| 2023-08-20 | 124.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 33.00 | 335.00 | 653.3 | 910.05 | 1265.20 |
| 2023-08-27 | 124.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 29.75 | 371.50 | 740.5 | 1030.15 | 1194.18 |
| 2023-09-03 | 130.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 30.00 | 368.50 | 668.3 | 915.05 | 1240.10 |
| 2023-09-10 | 128.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 30.00 | 349.25 | 733.2 | 993.30 | 1467.68 |
| 2023-09-17 | 137.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 32.00 | 367.25 | 713.3 | 965.10 | 1238.18 |
| 2023-09-24 | 138.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 32.00 | 363.25 | 707.0 | 982.30 | 1305.70 |
| 2023-10-01 | 145.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 33.00 | 385.25 | 699.1 | 1042.05 | 1438.43 |
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