Prediction 2407
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Alagoas |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 1 in AL
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 155.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 44.00 | 399.50 | 731.1 | 983.35 | 1279.60 |
| 2022-10-16 | 156.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 44.00 | 357.00 | 704.1 | 957.15 | 1264.15 |
| 2022-10-23 | 135.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 37.00 | 373.50 | 651.5 | 873.05 | 1108.35 |
| 2022-10-30 | 133.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 34.00 | 336.00 | 616.0 | 851.45 | 1047.65 |
| 2022-11-06 | 112.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 26.00 | 300.50 | 592.1 | 882.65 | 1156.08 |
| 2022-11-13 | 133.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 31.00 | 359.25 | 681.2 | 871.00 | 1082.20 |
| 2022-11-20 | 123.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 26.00 | 329.25 | 658.3 | 931.85 | 1243.23 |
| 2022-11-27 | 133.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 33.75 | 342.75 | 658.2 | 901.45 | 1314.65 |
| 2022-12-04 | 124.5 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 5.0 | 30.75 | 349.50 | 612.0 | 875.35 | 1154.03 |
| 2022-12-11 | 110.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 27.00 | 297.25 | 557.4 | 810.35 | 1074.00 |
| 2022-12-18 | 113.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 29.00 | 324.00 | 642.0 | 885.70 | 1211.30 |
| 2022-12-25 | 122.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 28.00 | 326.00 | 669.1 | 1012.05 | 1305.80 |
| 2023-01-01 | 112.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 31.00 | 313.00 | 660.1 | 948.25 | 1196.58 |
| 2023-01-08 | 129.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 34.75 | 338.50 | 671.1 | 936.20 | 1186.40 |
| 2023-01-15 | 145.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 43.75 | 351.25 | 699.2 | 962.60 | 1205.30 |
| 2023-01-22 | 148.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 42.75 | 404.25 | 738.5 | 950.35 | 1221.05 |
| 2023-01-29 | 168.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 49.00 | 386.25 | 761.7 | 1000.45 | 1348.03 |
| 2023-02-05 | 183.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 60.00 | 429.75 | 807.7 | 1124.10 | 1369.53 |
| 2023-02-12 | 193.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 17.0 | 56.00 | 436.50 | 770.4 | 1056.35 | 1303.03 |
| 2023-02-19 | 190.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 18.0 | 63.75 | 431.00 | 787.4 | 1066.25 | 1265.63 |
| 2023-02-26 | 215.0 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 22.0 | 79.00 | 479.25 | 870.2 | 1220.05 | 1468.58 |
| 2023-03-05 | 213.0 | 5.98 | 10.95 | 25.0 | 77.00 | 480.00 | 862.3 | 1131.40 | 1498.88 |
| 2023-03-12 | 257.0 | 7.98 | 15.95 | 35.9 | 101.50 | 543.50 | 910.1 | 1178.70 | 1582.53 |
| 2023-03-19 | 247.0 | 6.00 | 14.95 | 30.9 | 88.50 | 527.75 | 913.2 | 1235.10 | 1524.88 |
| 2023-03-26 | 284.0 | 7.98 | 19.95 | 41.0 | 115.75 | 560.25 | 978.8 | 1204.10 | 1520.90 |
| 2023-04-02 | 314.0 | 10.00 | 21.95 | 49.9 | 135.75 | 628.00 | 1014.2 | 1298.90 | 1624.13 |
| 2023-04-09 | 298.0 | 12.00 | 22.00 | 42.9 | 121.75 | 629.00 | 1005.4 | 1248.25 | 1572.23 |
| 2023-04-16 | 310.5 | 13.98 | 28.00 | 56.9 | 139.75 | 615.25 | 1073.3 | 1426.10 | 1674.38 |
| 2023-04-23 | 379.0 | 17.00 | 36.00 | 67.9 | 164.00 | 674.50 | 1029.2 | 1345.85 | 1660.83 |
| 2023-04-30 | 388.5 | 21.95 | 40.95 | 67.0 | 171.75 | 756.25 | 1210.5 | 1529.10 | 1836.78 |
| 2023-05-07 | 388.5 | 18.98 | 33.00 | 62.0 | 169.00 | 720.25 | 1207.3 | 1562.20 | 1840.08 |
| 2023-05-14 | 382.0 | 28.00 | 50.90 | 79.0 | 187.00 | 701.00 | 1054.2 | 1412.20 | 1786.13 |
| 2023-05-21 | 381.0 | 19.00 | 35.00 | 84.0 | 183.75 | 685.75 | 1141.0 | 1408.65 | 1677.08 |
| 2023-05-28 | 395.5 | 20.00 | 41.00 | 71.0 | 183.75 | 764.50 | 1267.5 | 1569.50 | 1836.65 |
| 2023-06-04 | 416.0 | 28.00 | 49.00 | 91.9 | 201.00 | 722.25 | 1087.8 | 1408.20 | 1713.55 |
| 2023-06-11 | 384.0 | 32.97 | 50.00 | 82.0 | 184.00 | 755.25 | 1170.1 | 1512.15 | 1992.25 |
| 2023-06-18 | 381.0 | 20.00 | 38.95 | 75.9 | 176.00 | 708.25 | 1132.0 | 1435.35 | 1776.00 |
| 2023-06-25 | 368.0 | 24.93 | 43.00 | 80.9 | 173.00 | 697.75 | 1089.2 | 1342.25 | 1523.13 |
| 2023-07-02 | 371.5 | 16.00 | 29.95 | 63.0 | 151.75 | 675.75 | 1045.1 | 1362.20 | 1601.25 |
| 2023-07-09 | 372.0 | 14.93 | 34.00 | 56.8 | 159.00 | 701.50 | 1089.1 | 1354.50 | 1692.90 |
| 2023-07-16 | 317.5 | 12.00 | 23.00 | 46.0 | 136.00 | 628.75 | 1024.2 | 1436.20 | 1826.25 |
| 2023-07-23 | 319.5 | 8.00 | 21.95 | 50.0 | 142.00 | 645.75 | 1075.4 | 1372.15 | 1651.23 |
| 2023-07-30 | 272.0 | 8.00 | 17.95 | 35.9 | 107.75 | 565.75 | 952.5 | 1314.30 | 1607.90 |
| 2023-08-06 | 269.5 | 7.98 | 19.00 | 34.9 | 100.75 | 550.75 | 970.3 | 1285.30 | 1553.15 |
| 2023-08-13 | 262.0 | 8.98 | 16.00 | 36.0 | 101.00 | 533.50 | 932.4 | 1193.35 | 1485.05 |
| 2023-08-20 | 248.5 | 4.00 | 10.95 | 27.0 | 87.00 | 515.00 | 903.8 | 1163.50 | 1341.93 |
| 2023-08-27 | 220.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 21.0 | 79.00 | 493.25 | 880.0 | 1218.00 | 1516.10 |
| 2023-09-03 | 213.5 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 21.0 | 77.75 | 489.75 | 853.5 | 1106.85 | 1359.05 |
| 2023-09-10 | 204.0 | 2.00 | 6.95 | 19.0 | 67.00 | 445.00 | 891.4 | 1163.35 | 1448.10 |
| 2023-09-17 | 182.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 60.75 | 460.75 | 846.0 | 1179.05 | 1484.43 |
| 2023-09-24 | 178.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 15.0 | 53.00 | 414.00 | 759.1 | 1080.20 | 1321.10 |
| 2023-10-01 | 159.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 39.75 | 374.25 | 726.3 | 1034.05 | 1334.75 |
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