Prediction 2409
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Acre |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 1 in AC
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 73.0 | 3.00 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 31.00 | 153.25 | 258.1 | 341.05 | 430.10 |
| 2022-10-16 | 78.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 10.0 | 32.00 | 161.25 | 271.0 | 347.05 | 444.18 |
| 2022-10-23 | 92.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 16.0 | 40.00 | 177.00 | 290.1 | 393.05 | 462.40 |
| 2022-10-30 | 102.0 | 4.00 | 9.95 | 19.0 | 48.75 | 192.00 | 302.1 | 395.00 | 436.13 |
| 2022-11-06 | 113.0 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 22.0 | 53.00 | 211.25 | 329.2 | 430.05 | 508.15 |
| 2022-11-13 | 135.0 | 11.00 | 20.00 | 29.0 | 68.00 | 240.25 | 357.3 | 437.00 | 549.23 |
| 2022-11-20 | 141.5 | 10.98 | 17.00 | 32.0 | 69.75 | 256.00 | 383.2 | 478.10 | 563.20 |
| 2022-11-27 | 157.0 | 15.00 | 26.00 | 42.0 | 82.00 | 274.00 | 391.0 | 477.25 | 620.05 |
| 2022-12-04 | 158.0 | 19.00 | 29.00 | 47.0 | 87.75 | 267.00 | 413.2 | 522.35 | 629.03 |
| 2022-12-11 | 186.0 | 18.00 | 36.00 | 51.0 | 90.00 | 302.00 | 442.1 | 536.45 | 592.30 |
| 2022-12-18 | 204.0 | 25.98 | 41.95 | 61.0 | 115.00 | 312.50 | 434.0 | 545.20 | 648.10 |
| 2022-12-25 | 205.0 | 28.00 | 42.90 | 59.0 | 116.00 | 332.00 | 484.4 | 594.10 | 688.03 |
| 2023-01-01 | 205.0 | 32.97 | 46.00 | 68.9 | 127.00 | 314.00 | 453.1 | 564.45 | 702.13 |
| 2023-01-08 | 217.0 | 36.97 | 50.95 | 76.0 | 127.75 | 350.00 | 499.0 | 578.15 | 698.03 |
| 2023-01-15 | 230.5 | 33.97 | 52.00 | 80.9 | 140.00 | 359.25 | 497.0 | 575.10 | 651.03 |
| 2023-01-22 | 238.0 | 34.00 | 53.00 | 79.0 | 141.00 | 359.25 | 503.6 | 626.15 | 713.05 |
| 2023-01-29 | 232.0 | 34.00 | 49.95 | 74.0 | 132.00 | 364.50 | 529.1 | 652.85 | 747.35 |
| 2023-02-05 | 222.5 | 32.00 | 48.95 | 77.0 | 135.00 | 368.25 | 535.1 | 625.15 | 741.18 |
| 2023-02-12 | 227.5 | 41.97 | 59.95 | 81.0 | 136.75 | 353.25 | 491.2 | 597.05 | 681.65 |
| 2023-02-19 | 230.5 | 33.97 | 48.90 | 69.0 | 128.00 | 340.00 | 485.0 | 565.05 | 655.00 |
| 2023-02-26 | 206.0 | 33.00 | 44.95 | 67.0 | 121.00 | 324.25 | 462.1 | 555.05 | 640.05 |
| 2023-03-05 | 198.0 | 23.00 | 39.00 | 63.9 | 118.75 | 318.50 | 456.1 | 542.25 | 627.15 |
| 2023-03-12 | 186.0 | 25.98 | 37.00 | 58.0 | 104.00 | 309.00 | 448.1 | 540.05 | 623.05 |
| 2023-03-19 | 185.5 | 27.98 | 37.00 | 57.0 | 99.00 | 299.25 | 427.2 | 514.05 | 596.15 |
| 2023-03-26 | 163.5 | 19.98 | 28.00 | 42.0 | 86.00 | 261.00 | 388.1 | 507.05 | 591.03 |
| 2023-04-02 | 144.0 | 12.98 | 21.95 | 36.0 | 76.00 | 246.25 | 368.1 | 441.15 | 553.08 |
| 2023-04-09 | 136.0 | 11.00 | 18.00 | 31.0 | 64.00 | 244.00 | 383.0 | 500.05 | 575.03 |
| 2023-04-16 | 121.0 | 8.98 | 14.00 | 27.9 | 61.00 | 232.00 | 360.2 | 461.05 | 525.05 |
| 2023-04-23 | 108.5 | 6.98 | 11.95 | 20.9 | 49.75 | 203.00 | 315.1 | 385.00 | 476.03 |
| 2023-04-30 | 105.5 | 7.00 | 11.00 | 21.0 | 46.00 | 195.00 | 302.1 | 394.10 | 500.08 |
| 2023-05-07 | 88.0 | 4.00 | 7.00 | 15.9 | 38.75 | 164.25 | 257.0 | 362.15 | 426.03 |
| 2023-05-14 | 77.0 | 2.00 | 4.95 | 10.0 | 31.00 | 158.25 | 270.1 | 347.45 | 441.23 |
| 2023-05-21 | 75.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 28.00 | 147.00 | 261.0 | 329.05 | 384.00 |
| 2023-05-28 | 62.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 22.00 | 134.00 | 224.2 | 293.10 | 398.05 |
| 2023-06-04 | 53.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 16.75 | 126.00 | 215.0 | 279.00 | 325.13 |
| 2023-06-11 | 50.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 15.00 | 119.00 | 218.1 | 292.00 | 367.10 |
| 2023-06-18 | 50.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 15.75 | 111.00 | 184.1 | 260.00 | 351.05 |
| 2023-06-25 | 40.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 12.00 | 99.00 | 195.0 | 259.00 | 329.03 |
| 2023-07-02 | 45.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 11.00 | 105.25 | 204.1 | 290.25 | 384.00 |
| 2023-07-09 | 37.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 11.00 | 91.00 | 169.0 | 238.05 | 300.00 |
| 2023-07-16 | 38.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 100.00 | 181.0 | 257.05 | 316.08 |
| 2023-07-23 | 34.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 8.00 | 93.25 | 173.1 | 242.05 | 330.08 |
| 2023-07-30 | 35.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 10.00 | 96.00 | 193.1 | 272.05 | 331.03 |
| 2023-08-06 | 40.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 97.00 | 178.1 | 259.10 | 327.35 |
| 2023-08-13 | 35.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 10.00 | 90.25 | 173.2 | 251.05 | 311.25 |
| 2023-08-20 | 38.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 11.00 | 101.00 | 195.2 | 266.15 | 348.05 |
| 2023-08-27 | 38.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 10.00 | 108.00 | 192.1 | 246.10 | 298.05 |
| 2023-09-03 | 42.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 14.00 | 104.25 | 200.2 | 287.05 | 373.25 |
| 2023-09-10 | 48.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 4.0 | 16.00 | 108.00 | 212.1 | 304.10 | 383.15 |
| 2023-09-17 | 56.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 21.00 | 130.00 | 239.2 | 309.10 | 378.00 |
| 2023-09-24 | 57.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 19.00 | 125.00 | 233.2 | 298.20 | 357.33 |
| 2023-10-01 | 64.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 7.9 | 25.75 | 135.00 | 236.0 | 295.05 | 392.13 |
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