Prediction 2411
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pará |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 1 in PA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-09 | 153.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 20.00 | 524.50 | 1176.6 | 1702.00 | 2093.02 |
| 2022-10-16 | 156.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 559.00 | 1202.8 | 1826.05 | 2679.58 |
| 2022-10-23 | 148.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 565.50 | 1274.3 | 1867.70 | 2690.80 |
| 2022-10-30 | 155.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 20.00 | 567.00 | 1272.6 | 1697.05 | 2440.33 |
| 2022-11-06 | 148.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 22.00 | 563.50 | 1286.2 | 1806.75 | 2288.70 |
| 2022-11-13 | 188.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 29.00 | 662.25 | 1285.5 | 1838.30 | 2465.75 |
| 2022-11-20 | 203.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 32.75 | 588.25 | 1340.1 | 1963.40 | 2618.80 |
| 2022-11-27 | 219.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 34.00 | 637.25 | 1439.4 | 1924.40 | 2461.02 |
| 2022-12-04 | 222.5 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 36.75 | 749.25 | 1486.3 | 2115.95 | 2922.05 |
| 2022-12-11 | 260.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 45.00 | 766.00 | 1571.2 | 2157.20 | 2916.10 |
| 2022-12-18 | 260.5 | 1.0 | 2.95 | 7.0 | 49.00 | 772.00 | 1551.8 | 2182.40 | 2934.05 |
| 2022-12-25 | 253.0 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 59.00 | 699.00 | 1299.7 | 2036.45 | 2550.08 |
| 2023-01-01 | 276.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 54.75 | 728.25 | 1616.8 | 2274.40 | 2785.08 |
| 2023-01-08 | 333.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 16.0 | 78.50 | 918.00 | 1699.5 | 2295.85 | 3086.25 |
| 2023-01-15 | 320.5 | 1.0 | 5.00 | 16.0 | 86.75 | 887.50 | 1809.0 | 2439.45 | 3214.75 |
| 2023-01-22 | 347.0 | 1.0 | 3.00 | 11.9 | 79.00 | 858.50 | 1799.2 | 2467.10 | 3096.08 |
| 2023-01-29 | 379.5 | 3.0 | 7.00 | 14.0 | 97.25 | 970.00 | 1700.8 | 2410.85 | 3030.15 |
| 2023-02-05 | 338.5 | 3.0 | 8.00 | 26.0 | 88.75 | 884.25 | 1693.5 | 2257.50 | 2991.40 |
| 2023-02-12 | 390.5 | 2.0 | 6.95 | 21.9 | 110.00 | 978.00 | 1758.1 | 2299.65 | 2787.70 |
| 2023-02-19 | 363.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 18.9 | 110.00 | 1014.75 | 1874.3 | 2599.70 | 3340.73 |
| 2023-02-26 | 370.5 | 2.0 | 6.00 | 20.0 | 99.25 | 861.00 | 1743.9 | 2360.80 | 2873.55 |
| 2023-03-05 | 400.5 | 4.0 | 11.00 | 29.9 | 130.00 | 1022.50 | 1956.1 | 2753.20 | 3481.00 |
| 2023-03-12 | 404.5 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 25.0 | 91.00 | 969.25 | 1879.1 | 2636.95 | 3377.18 |
| 2023-03-19 | 415.0 | 3.0 | 7.95 | 23.9 | 125.00 | 1008.25 | 1947.1 | 2907.00 | 3410.50 |
| 2023-03-26 | 381.5 | 2.0 | 7.00 | 23.9 | 105.50 | 1024.50 | 1836.4 | 2565.30 | 3075.23 |
| 2023-04-02 | 379.0 | 3.0 | 8.00 | 19.9 | 109.00 | 984.00 | 1833.4 | 2667.85 | 3366.83 |
| 2023-04-09 | 356.0 | 2.0 | 7.95 | 21.0 | 92.00 | 915.75 | 1734.4 | 2284.05 | 2907.18 |
| 2023-04-16 | 340.0 | 2.0 | 5.00 | 15.9 | 89.75 | 891.25 | 1647.7 | 2210.25 | 2965.12 |
| 2023-04-23 | 334.0 | 1.0 | 5.90 | 16.0 | 92.25 | 900.00 | 1618.5 | 2093.75 | 2770.00 |
| 2023-04-30 | 274.0 | 1.0 | 4.00 | 14.0 | 71.75 | 830.25 | 1630.8 | 2434.00 | 3123.90 |
| 2023-05-07 | 305.0 | 1.0 | 6.00 | 19.0 | 80.75 | 831.00 | 1839.5 | 2654.40 | 3565.08 |
| 2023-05-14 | 287.5 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 68.00 | 815.75 | 1671.1 | 2180.05 | 3071.03 |
| 2023-05-21 | 284.5 | 1.0 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 58.00 | 834.75 | 1744.3 | 2447.15 | 3105.45 |
| 2023-05-28 | 253.5 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 48.00 | 745.25 | 1683.1 | 2447.75 | 3020.70 |
| 2023-06-04 | 247.5 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 44.00 | 748.25 | 1526.6 | 2372.20 | 3059.28 |
| 2023-06-11 | 215.5 | 0.0 | 1.95 | 6.0 | 38.00 | 683.50 | 1413.1 | 2192.25 | 3007.02 |
| 2023-06-18 | 197.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 28.00 | 659.25 | 1429.5 | 2045.35 | 2746.65 |
| 2023-06-25 | 186.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 34.00 | 610.25 | 1375.0 | 1972.35 | 2568.23 |
| 2023-07-02 | 180.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 27.75 | 592.00 | 1320.3 | 1912.20 | 2554.58 |
| 2023-07-09 | 155.5 | 0.0 | 0.95 | 3.0 | 21.75 | 592.50 | 1250.4 | 1856.90 | 2403.05 |
| 2023-07-16 | 138.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 21.00 | 561.00 | 1249.1 | 1879.20 | 2265.05 |
| 2023-07-23 | 155.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 25.00 | 596.75 | 1345.7 | 1834.35 | 2482.65 |
| 2023-07-30 | 126.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 482.25 | 1235.6 | 1830.70 | 2474.23 |
| 2023-08-06 | 130.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 537.00 | 1284.4 | 1960.05 | 2612.28 |
| 2023-08-13 | 121.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 483.00 | 1099.2 | 1492.50 | 2206.95 |
| 2023-08-20 | 125.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 490.00 | 1201.9 | 1854.70 | 2438.20 |
| 2023-08-27 | 131.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 522.75 | 1140.5 | 1769.35 | 2305.85 |
| 2023-09-03 | 128.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 16.00 | 497.00 | 1140.1 | 1808.70 | 2527.48 |
| 2023-09-10 | 108.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.75 | 475.25 | 1130.3 | 1760.35 | 2070.73 |
| 2023-09-17 | 121.5 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 509.50 | 1284.0 | 1997.35 | 2445.20 |
| 2023-09-24 | 127.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 519.25 | 1252.3 | 1813.55 | 2322.05 |
| 2023-10-01 | 132.0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 1.9 | 19.75 | 436.50 | 985.1 | 1605.40 | 2034.43 |
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