Prediction 2419
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | São Paulo |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in SP
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 304.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 21.75 | 1769.25 | 4890.10 | 7709.30 | 10718.21 |
| 2023-10-15 | 392.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 28.75 | 1996.75 | 4977.10 | 7761.60 | 11131.85 |
| 2023-10-22 | 419.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 39.00 | 2016.75 | 5242.20 | 7753.20 | 11062.78 |
| 2023-10-29 | 450.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 36.75 | 2089.25 | 5715.40 | 8673.50 | 12431.36 |
| 2023-11-05 | 543.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 47.00 | 2313.50 | 5762.90 | 9589.25 | 12277.53 |
| 2023-11-12 | 634.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.0 | 76.75 | 2389.00 | 5939.40 | 9458.10 | 13765.63 |
| 2023-11-19 | 741.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 99.00 | 3074.75 | 6322.30 | 10353.20 | 12951.88 |
| 2023-11-26 | 978.5 | 0.00 | 3.00 | 17.9 | 183.75 | 3065.50 | 6593.00 | 9945.00 | 13264.83 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1048.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 22.0 | 191.75 | 3473.00 | 7853.50 | 11363.80 | 15635.45 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1360.0 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 55.0 | 315.50 | 3693.50 | 8070.30 | 12716.60 | 16152.18 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1512.0 | 5.98 | 22.00 | 74.9 | 382.75 | 4664.00 | 9599.00 | 13078.30 | 16065.70 |
| 2023-12-24 | 2027.0 | 8.98 | 37.90 | 115.9 | 542.75 | 5352.50 | 9551.50 | 13581.50 | 18722.26 |
| 2023-12-31 | 2374.5 | 18.98 | 46.90 | 174.9 | 708.50 | 5396.75 | 10379.10 | 13991.70 | 17653.20 |
| 2024-01-07 | 2871.5 | 49.97 | 139.95 | 287.4 | 1086.50 | 6480.75 | 11172.10 | 15154.25 | 19173.08 |
| 2024-01-14 | 3468.5 | 52.88 | 142.80 | 323.9 | 1187.00 | 7451.00 | 11972.60 | 16166.10 | 21621.20 |
| 2024-01-21 | 3368.0 | 96.95 | 189.00 | 430.8 | 1406.75 | 7404.75 | 13388.80 | 18112.15 | 23952.33 |
| 2024-01-28 | 4323.0 | 106.90 | 197.00 | 504.2 | 1759.50 | 8152.25 | 13666.70 | 17513.49 | 21472.38 |
| 2024-02-04 | 4543.5 | 177.90 | 318.70 | 647.9 | 1708.25 | 8935.50 | 13742.40 | 18283.95 | 22587.91 |
| 2024-02-11 | 5052.5 | 148.93 | 318.95 | 747.0 | 2233.75 | 9721.50 | 15604.00 | 19729.45 | 23246.22 |
| 2024-02-18 | 5878.5 | 291.23 | 548.15 | 1030.6 | 2654.00 | 10844.00 | 16748.10 | 22066.60 | 26812.53 |
| 2024-02-25 | 5971.0 | 346.73 | 707.80 | 1155.9 | 2755.75 | 10823.75 | 17097.10 | 23261.15 | 27802.47 |
| 2024-03-03 | 6168.5 | 430.85 | 830.30 | 1429.1 | 3074.50 | 11151.25 | 17403.10 | 23834.45 | 27772.55 |
| 2024-03-10 | 6522.5 | 447.70 | 812.65 | 1501.6 | 3156.00 | 11796.00 | 17909.20 | 22240.70 | 25904.44 |
| 2024-03-17 | 6191.0 | 617.80 | 866.55 | 1482.9 | 3216.50 | 11799.25 | 18282.30 | 23127.35 | 28400.68 |
| 2024-03-24 | 6523.0 | 642.90 | 963.40 | 1541.3 | 3191.00 | 11487.50 | 17753.80 | 23372.75 | 28821.71 |
| 2024-03-31 | 6416.0 | 392.98 | 784.60 | 1338.7 | 2994.75 | 11929.50 | 17898.30 | 22930.90 | 27157.36 |
| 2024-04-07 | 6533.5 | 532.65 | 776.45 | 1380.9 | 2821.50 | 11605.75 | 18496.90 | 24103.60 | 27990.45 |
| 2024-04-14 | 6213.0 | 383.98 | 720.45 | 1302.6 | 2920.50 | 11248.50 | 17649.00 | 22275.60 | 25296.37 |
| 2024-04-21 | 5920.0 | 304.58 | 601.95 | 1230.4 | 2726.00 | 11066.25 | 17339.90 | 22583.95 | 27066.61 |
| 2024-04-28 | 5542.0 | 368.92 | 604.90 | 1133.5 | 2459.25 | 10089.75 | 15697.89 | 20466.35 | 23659.29 |
| 2024-05-05 | 5475.5 | 260.58 | 518.75 | 1037.7 | 2551.00 | 9977.00 | 15090.70 | 19056.60 | 24566.23 |
| 2024-05-12 | 4546.5 | 178.73 | 415.55 | 788.8 | 1853.00 | 8856.75 | 14049.90 | 18024.20 | 24421.05 |
| 2024-05-19 | 4183.5 | 179.98 | 281.90 | 587.9 | 1712.00 | 8557.25 | 14374.10 | 18435.85 | 22492.64 |
| 2024-05-26 | 3527.0 | 81.85 | 202.85 | 458.5 | 1355.25 | 7714.75 | 13192.20 | 17685.30 | 21142.20 |
| 2024-06-02 | 3332.0 | 83.93 | 174.70 | 405.3 | 1271.00 | 6934.25 | 12509.20 | 16739.25 | 20563.53 |
| 2024-06-09 | 2417.5 | 23.98 | 61.00 | 182.3 | 727.25 | 5965.00 | 10482.90 | 14134.50 | 18050.94 |
| 2024-06-16 | 2252.0 | 16.00 | 39.75 | 137.9 | 673.75 | 5767.00 | 10493.00 | 13699.00 | 17120.71 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1769.0 | 8.00 | 24.00 | 103.9 | 480.25 | 5055.75 | 10179.10 | 13812.80 | 18251.85 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1635.5 | 5.98 | 23.00 | 80.9 | 410.75 | 4778.75 | 8897.70 | 11941.75 | 16174.88 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1212.5 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 35.0 | 251.75 | 3844.75 | 8274.90 | 11357.65 | 15220.08 |
| 2024-07-14 | 1133.5 | 1.98 | 8.00 | 31.8 | 247.75 | 3512.25 | 7690.60 | 10345.55 | 13675.75 |
| 2024-07-21 | 908.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 13.0 | 153.75 | 2759.50 | 6087.40 | 9341.95 | 12824.69 |
| 2024-07-28 | 725.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.9 | 92.75 | 2930.00 | 6571.10 | 9405.15 | 12239.54 |
| 2024-08-04 | 532.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.0 | 53.75 | 2453.50 | 6104.40 | 9345.25 | 12794.25 |
| 2024-08-11 | 580.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 54.00 | 2345.50 | 5331.20 | 8061.90 | 11120.08 |
| 2024-08-18 | 474.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 40.75 | 2153.75 | 5833.70 | 9158.35 | 12048.15 |
| 2024-08-25 | 363.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 31.75 | 2025.50 | 5032.20 | 8118.30 | 13289.04 |
| 2024-09-01 | 345.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 28.75 | 1857.25 | 4918.10 | 7900.40 | 11612.53 |
| 2024-09-08 | 323.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.75 | 1869.00 | 5122.10 | 8477.10 | 11128.55 |
| 2024-09-15 | 289.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 17.00 | 1414.00 | 3910.60 | 6745.65 | 10031.45 |
| 2024-09-22 | 251.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 16.75 | 1574.75 | 4706.10 | 7315.50 | 9753.17 |
| 2024-09-29 | 268.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 26.00 | 1544.75 | 4778.80 | 8559.15 | 11891.08 |
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