Prediction 2420
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Minas Gerais |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in MG
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 198.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 962.00 | 2398.0 | 4079.25 | 5679.55 |
| 2023-10-15 | 277.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 33.00 | 1095.00 | 3087.8 | 4605.15 | 6173.33 |
| 2023-10-22 | 261.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 30.75 | 1136.00 | 2802.0 | 4387.50 | 6368.30 |
| 2023-10-29 | 350.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 45.00 | 1257.25 | 2791.0 | 4436.10 | 5485.81 |
| 2023-11-05 | 332.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 49.75 | 1314.00 | 3069.6 | 4490.15 | 5838.70 |
| 2023-11-12 | 417.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 64.75 | 1439.50 | 3303.3 | 5121.25 | 6422.78 |
| 2023-11-19 | 544.0 | 0.98 | 2.00 | 13.0 | 99.00 | 1692.75 | 3413.5 | 5188.30 | 6388.19 |
| 2023-11-26 | 679.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 24.9 | 162.25 | 2286.00 | 4302.2 | 6226.35 | 7712.12 |
| 2023-12-03 | 626.5 | 2.00 | 10.00 | 33.0 | 165.75 | 2005.75 | 4393.0 | 5742.80 | 7239.83 |
| 2023-12-10 | 914.0 | 4.00 | 13.95 | 36.9 | 242.00 | 2370.50 | 4338.5 | 6211.40 | 8052.15 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1079.5 | 8.98 | 26.85 | 65.0 | 309.75 | 2629.75 | 4730.2 | 6618.70 | 8390.60 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1374.0 | 15.98 | 31.95 | 109.8 | 474.00 | 2952.25 | 5575.9 | 7180.65 | 8888.35 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1437.0 | 25.93 | 62.80 | 156.7 | 553.00 | 3248.25 | 5500.1 | 7472.15 | 9630.96 |
| 2024-01-07 | 1752.0 | 60.95 | 121.90 | 247.8 | 755.75 | 3650.00 | 6273.3 | 8103.35 | 10262.80 |
| 2024-01-14 | 2010.0 | 88.00 | 152.00 | 312.8 | 930.50 | 4315.00 | 6950.1 | 8177.80 | 10291.50 |
| 2024-01-21 | 2393.5 | 115.88 | 204.85 | 454.9 | 1080.50 | 4260.75 | 6956.2 | 8888.05 | 11189.50 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2611.0 | 95.97 | 263.60 | 473.5 | 1221.75 | 5203.50 | 8514.3 | 10526.00 | 12860.05 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2995.0 | 212.80 | 337.95 | 598.6 | 1462.00 | 5370.50 | 8028.4 | 10017.95 | 13414.35 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3525.0 | 236.45 | 398.85 | 732.9 | 1750.75 | 5825.75 | 9002.3 | 12025.35 | 14388.70 |
| 2024-02-18 | 3890.5 | 439.70 | 701.60 | 1068.5 | 2061.25 | 6528.75 | 9831.2 | 12266.50 | 14794.53 |
| 2024-02-25 | 4047.5 | 423.63 | 725.15 | 1204.3 | 2235.00 | 6934.25 | 10038.8 | 11824.55 | 14397.88 |
| 2024-03-03 | 4446.0 | 451.77 | 796.85 | 1306.0 | 2329.50 | 7411.75 | 10887.3 | 13185.75 | 15605.88 |
| 2024-03-10 | 4554.5 | 681.83 | 929.80 | 1377.8 | 2420.50 | 7114.00 | 10718.1 | 13089.70 | 15026.91 |
| 2024-03-17 | 4634.0 | 635.33 | 991.00 | 1445.1 | 2665.25 | 7731.50 | 11582.0 | 13913.05 | 15919.08 |
| 2024-03-24 | 4557.5 | 516.62 | 795.85 | 1440.2 | 2601.75 | 7766.75 | 11659.4 | 14463.75 | 16569.75 |
| 2024-03-31 | 4586.5 | 583.78 | 889.10 | 1350.1 | 2560.50 | 7378.75 | 11152.2 | 13457.45 | 16021.03 |
| 2024-04-07 | 4669.0 | 612.95 | 925.85 | 1332.8 | 2573.75 | 7433.50 | 10658.6 | 13062.10 | 15279.63 |
| 2024-04-14 | 4491.0 | 575.72 | 817.65 | 1324.7 | 2557.75 | 7457.50 | 11545.7 | 14070.50 | 16330.15 |
| 2024-04-21 | 4082.5 | 342.88 | 571.75 | 995.9 | 2191.00 | 6671.75 | 9811.7 | 11859.45 | 13969.10 |
| 2024-04-28 | 3655.5 | 371.80 | 580.80 | 988.0 | 1935.25 | 6230.25 | 9537.1 | 11968.80 | 14129.25 |
| 2024-05-05 | 3558.5 | 317.73 | 534.95 | 972.0 | 1992.00 | 5992.50 | 9228.7 | 11420.85 | 13053.85 |
| 2024-05-12 | 3211.0 | 288.95 | 425.90 | 756.8 | 1598.75 | 5450.50 | 8773.4 | 10536.50 | 12887.88 |
| 2024-05-19 | 3015.0 | 189.90 | 342.90 | 620.6 | 1540.00 | 5303.50 | 7856.4 | 9861.55 | 11792.49 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2498.5 | 154.73 | 254.00 | 516.7 | 1171.50 | 4549.50 | 7239.9 | 9669.55 | 11580.28 |
| 2024-06-02 | 2262.0 | 106.95 | 218.00 | 422.9 | 1041.50 | 4441.00 | 7483.1 | 9993.55 | 11770.40 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1915.5 | 61.95 | 100.95 | 244.8 | 808.50 | 3823.25 | 6660.9 | 8549.40 | 11428.68 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1671.0 | 31.93 | 70.95 | 167.9 | 608.25 | 3515.25 | 6522.2 | 8240.45 | 10439.35 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1590.0 | 19.00 | 49.90 | 127.7 | 509.25 | 3335.50 | 5582.2 | 7299.05 | 8985.45 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1215.0 | 16.00 | 41.00 | 98.8 | 381.75 | 2979.75 | 5221.1 | 6780.50 | 8658.73 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1001.0 | 6.00 | 20.00 | 66.0 | 316.75 | 2420.00 | 4458.3 | 6267.85 | 8348.63 |
| 2024-07-14 | 855.0 | 5.00 | 15.90 | 48.9 | 207.00 | 2298.50 | 4378.0 | 6255.45 | 7855.36 |
| 2024-07-21 | 664.0 | 2.00 | 8.95 | 23.0 | 147.50 | 1998.00 | 4141.5 | 5726.25 | 7378.98 |
| 2024-07-28 | 553.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 12.0 | 100.75 | 1706.75 | 3548.3 | 4660.30 | 6437.03 |
| 2024-08-04 | 424.0 | 0.98 | 1.95 | 7.9 | 78.75 | 1368.00 | 3106.9 | 4811.45 | 6616.68 |
| 2024-08-11 | 413.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 64.00 | 1502.50 | 3351.4 | 4853.05 | 6216.21 |
| 2024-08-18 | 307.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 41.00 | 1304.50 | 2838.1 | 4248.60 | 5729.10 |
| 2024-08-25 | 287.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 34.00 | 1211.00 | 2755.4 | 4245.25 | 6156.15 |
| 2024-09-01 | 268.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 31.00 | 1108.00 | 2556.5 | 4055.85 | 5177.63 |
| 2024-09-08 | 250.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 31.75 | 1134.75 | 2634.7 | 3836.30 | 5407.93 |
| 2024-09-15 | 240.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 23.00 | 1079.25 | 2744.7 | 4035.35 | 5416.05 |
| 2024-09-22 | 217.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 1003.50 | 2391.5 | 3762.60 | 5430.02 |
| 2024-09-29 | 218.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 21.00 | 928.00 | 2476.1 | 3944.70 | 5444.43 |
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