Prediction 2421
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Goiás |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in GO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 473.5 | 6.98 | 19.95 | 48.0 | 166.25 | 1079.00 | 1831.1 | 2460.25 | 2912.28 |
| 2023-10-15 | 456.5 | 8.98 | 22.00 | 50.0 | 175.00 | 973.00 | 1737.1 | 2230.60 | 2727.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 550.5 | 10.00 | 23.95 | 61.8 | 197.00 | 1139.25 | 2057.9 | 2686.45 | 3539.30 |
| 2023-10-29 | 622.0 | 18.00 | 37.95 | 74.9 | 247.75 | 1277.50 | 2159.6 | 2830.55 | 3212.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 685.5 | 18.98 | 47.95 | 99.9 | 259.25 | 1425.50 | 2395.8 | 3096.30 | 3958.95 |
| 2023-11-12 | 699.0 | 27.95 | 51.00 | 111.0 | 303.25 | 1362.75 | 2288.4 | 2761.10 | 3248.08 |
| 2023-11-19 | 869.5 | 57.83 | 101.00 | 148.8 | 354.75 | 1582.00 | 2429.7 | 3130.20 | 3857.83 |
| 2023-11-26 | 877.0 | 50.97 | 92.85 | 167.0 | 399.50 | 1742.25 | 2702.1 | 3439.15 | 3988.12 |
| 2023-12-03 | 1128.0 | 88.97 | 153.85 | 271.0 | 543.50 | 1915.25 | 2849.3 | 3668.45 | 4415.43 |
| 2023-12-10 | 1192.5 | 130.93 | 208.70 | 316.7 | 616.00 | 1986.50 | 3005.8 | 3830.05 | 4430.33 |
| 2023-12-17 | 1287.5 | 134.75 | 229.70 | 357.9 | 694.00 | 2258.25 | 3358.7 | 4388.90 | 5089.12 |
| 2023-12-24 | 1580.0 | 180.98 | 307.95 | 481.7 | 876.75 | 2530.00 | 3795.1 | 4429.45 | 5401.10 |
| 2023-12-31 | 1782.0 | 295.77 | 423.60 | 610.1 | 1077.75 | 2800.75 | 3998.7 | 4849.15 | 5905.08 |
| 2024-01-07 | 2083.5 | 380.35 | 488.85 | 730.6 | 1262.50 | 3266.25 | 4604.0 | 5474.90 | 6064.78 |
| 2024-01-14 | 2319.0 | 486.83 | 624.80 | 856.9 | 1482.00 | 3458.25 | 4693.3 | 5662.55 | 6703.08 |
| 2024-01-21 | 2591.5 | 649.78 | 868.00 | 1139.6 | 1707.25 | 3683.25 | 4949.8 | 5825.45 | 6935.55 |
| 2024-01-28 | 2797.5 | 682.70 | 817.90 | 1101.1 | 1874.75 | 4189.00 | 5512.2 | 6612.15 | 7782.00 |
| 2024-02-04 | 2942.5 | 858.67 | 1044.90 | 1334.6 | 1986.25 | 4260.25 | 5753.8 | 6634.60 | 7755.40 |
| 2024-02-11 | 3265.5 | 768.48 | 1027.65 | 1389.7 | 2222.50 | 4508.00 | 6050.5 | 6955.90 | 7898.15 |
| 2024-02-18 | 3309.5 | 1024.78 | 1211.65 | 1519.6 | 2177.75 | 4573.25 | 6159.6 | 7242.20 | 7919.58 |
| 2024-02-25 | 3640.0 | 1019.80 | 1327.10 | 1625.6 | 2477.25 | 5036.75 | 6774.2 | 7529.90 | 8560.20 |
| 2024-03-03 | 3828.0 | 1181.70 | 1439.70 | 1782.8 | 2534.50 | 5386.75 | 6798.2 | 8032.80 | 8959.55 |
| 2024-03-10 | 3740.0 | 1285.70 | 1505.90 | 1882.5 | 2563.50 | 5136.25 | 6951.5 | 7890.10 | 9442.35 |
| 2024-03-17 | 3816.0 | 1125.93 | 1451.80 | 1908.1 | 2740.00 | 5281.50 | 6731.7 | 7632.40 | 8889.13 |
| 2024-03-24 | 3658.0 | 1120.90 | 1410.00 | 1763.8 | 2584.50 | 5145.50 | 6587.1 | 7552.30 | 8448.38 |
| 2024-03-31 | 3854.5 | 1217.72 | 1443.35 | 1887.4 | 2660.25 | 5319.00 | 6703.1 | 8080.00 | 9199.48 |
| 2024-04-07 | 3738.0 | 1156.85 | 1409.75 | 1765.0 | 2640.75 | 5133.25 | 6508.3 | 7601.80 | 8458.13 |
| 2024-04-14 | 3515.0 | 1004.72 | 1292.00 | 1674.6 | 2367.75 | 4856.00 | 6063.4 | 7020.25 | 7926.05 |
| 2024-04-21 | 3330.5 | 846.83 | 1039.35 | 1467.9 | 2197.75 | 4663.50 | 6028.9 | 6923.20 | 8010.43 |
| 2024-04-28 | 3077.5 | 670.92 | 877.75 | 1291.0 | 2050.25 | 4353.75 | 5639.5 | 6311.20 | 7511.73 |
| 2024-05-05 | 2891.5 | 733.80 | 934.95 | 1264.9 | 1899.75 | 4113.50 | 5446.4 | 6285.85 | 7083.20 |
| 2024-05-12 | 2658.5 | 639.83 | 775.90 | 1092.8 | 1721.50 | 3941.50 | 5351.0 | 6398.30 | 7522.98 |
| 2024-05-19 | 2451.0 | 512.58 | 714.95 | 929.0 | 1516.75 | 3614.50 | 4963.5 | 5788.10 | 6827.95 |
| 2024-05-26 | 2158.5 | 415.00 | 568.90 | 803.9 | 1312.00 | 3356.00 | 4674.3 | 5554.50 | 6380.23 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1939.5 | 360.98 | 500.70 | 650.0 | 1144.25 | 2965.75 | 4168.7 | 5061.10 | 6049.58 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1634.5 | 235.75 | 340.00 | 500.7 | 912.75 | 2744.00 | 3934.0 | 4721.60 | 5686.98 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1443.5 | 189.93 | 290.90 | 438.5 | 798.50 | 2395.00 | 3548.5 | 4367.70 | 5135.28 |
| 2024-06-23 | 1286.5 | 133.90 | 237.95 | 389.0 | 706.25 | 2222.25 | 3493.7 | 4253.45 | 4920.30 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1131.0 | 96.00 | 164.80 | 277.9 | 562.50 | 2020.75 | 3087.6 | 3795.95 | 4487.33 |
| 2024-07-07 | 1017.5 | 74.95 | 135.85 | 209.8 | 471.75 | 1955.25 | 3206.8 | 3708.30 | 4435.55 |
| 2024-07-14 | 857.5 | 58.93 | 103.95 | 201.9 | 390.75 | 1593.50 | 2515.9 | 3296.60 | 4176.35 |
| 2024-07-21 | 795.5 | 37.97 | 76.95 | 119.9 | 345.25 | 1517.25 | 2382.1 | 2959.40 | 3472.53 |
| 2024-07-28 | 656.5 | 29.98 | 54.90 | 98.9 | 253.00 | 1262.75 | 2211.2 | 2941.60 | 3500.95 |
| 2024-08-04 | 581.0 | 13.98 | 39.85 | 77.0 | 236.75 | 1242.25 | 2164.7 | 2807.05 | 3415.20 |
| 2024-08-11 | 562.0 | 13.98 | 31.95 | 78.9 | 208.75 | 1178.75 | 1992.3 | 2786.60 | 3454.98 |
| 2024-08-18 | 524.5 | 12.00 | 26.90 | 57.0 | 182.75 | 1147.75 | 1995.2 | 2910.00 | 3493.80 |
| 2024-08-25 | 506.5 | 8.00 | 24.00 | 50.0 | 186.75 | 1141.00 | 1944.0 | 2666.00 | 3214.50 |
| 2024-09-01 | 473.5 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 40.0 | 168.50 | 1038.00 | 1786.0 | 2504.75 | 3103.33 |
| 2024-09-08 | 428.5 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 31.9 | 138.00 | 1026.75 | 1854.3 | 2355.10 | 2895.48 |
| 2024-09-15 | 449.0 | 4.98 | 14.00 | 38.0 | 138.00 | 1056.50 | 1955.2 | 2490.85 | 3186.58 |
| 2024-09-22 | 423.5 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 44.0 | 136.00 | 998.00 | 1818.3 | 2318.60 | 3199.18 |
| 2024-09-29 | 489.5 | 11.95 | 27.95 | 53.8 | 166.75 | 999.00 | 1727.9 | 2359.30 | 3020.93 |
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