Prediction 2422
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraná |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in PR
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 70.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 377.25 | 1156.4 | 1915.65 | 2791.13 |
| 2023-10-15 | 92.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 483.25 | 1417.3 | 2191.85 | 3135.02 |
| 2023-10-22 | 97.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 8.00 | 535.50 | 1387.8 | 2126.05 | 2717.68 |
| 2023-10-29 | 93.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 9.75 | 510.50 | 1410.5 | 2233.25 | 3286.15 |
| 2023-11-05 | 132.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 565.25 | 1489.3 | 2232.20 | 3324.28 |
| 2023-11-12 | 143.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 15.75 | 617.50 | 1652.5 | 2427.90 | 3115.30 |
| 2023-11-19 | 163.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 23.75 | 713.25 | 1616.1 | 2497.15 | 3498.88 |
| 2023-11-26 | 228.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 38.75 | 821.25 | 1831.3 | 2553.45 | 3098.33 |
| 2023-12-03 | 270.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 47.00 | 800.50 | 1928.2 | 2723.55 | 3438.10 |
| 2023-12-10 | 294.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 60.00 | 886.25 | 1961.1 | 2663.00 | 3444.43 |
| 2023-12-17 | 425.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 14.0 | 100.75 | 1113.25 | 2331.0 | 3141.85 | 4204.55 |
| 2023-12-24 | 482.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 22.0 | 114.75 | 1203.25 | 2360.2 | 3424.25 | 4678.35 |
| 2023-12-31 | 519.0 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 40.0 | 152.00 | 1333.50 | 2546.5 | 3462.55 | 4415.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 628.0 | 7.98 | 21.00 | 46.9 | 188.25 | 1413.50 | 2759.4 | 3468.75 | 4303.68 |
| 2024-01-14 | 741.0 | 9.00 | 16.95 | 50.8 | 243.75 | 1611.50 | 2940.0 | 3798.05 | 4826.10 |
| 2024-01-21 | 737.0 | 12.00 | 31.00 | 78.0 | 249.00 | 1705.25 | 2858.0 | 3939.10 | 5123.45 |
| 2024-01-28 | 836.0 | 22.98 | 51.85 | 99.8 | 339.00 | 1763.25 | 3121.7 | 4140.20 | 5603.13 |
| 2024-02-04 | 881.5 | 22.00 | 50.00 | 133.7 | 387.75 | 1898.75 | 3107.5 | 4184.55 | 5721.13 |
| 2024-02-11 | 995.0 | 43.97 | 74.00 | 134.8 | 380.25 | 2074.00 | 3484.5 | 4444.35 | 5764.18 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1033.5 | 44.97 | 87.00 | 162.9 | 434.75 | 2058.00 | 3562.2 | 4821.45 | 5964.40 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1171.0 | 38.00 | 94.85 | 181.0 | 484.50 | 2224.25 | 3865.1 | 5162.45 | 6050.20 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1195.5 | 69.88 | 97.00 | 205.7 | 514.75 | 2370.00 | 3780.9 | 4827.65 | 5874.70 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1210.0 | 60.97 | 91.95 | 201.0 | 469.00 | 2352.25 | 3775.0 | 4798.40 | 6194.33 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1200.0 | 58.97 | 104.70 | 228.9 | 529.75 | 2427.00 | 4092.4 | 5319.85 | 6453.98 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1209.0 | 57.97 | 115.60 | 210.9 | 504.25 | 2342.75 | 3757.6 | 5240.70 | 6256.75 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1197.0 | 45.93 | 80.85 | 178.0 | 492.00 | 2255.00 | 3803.3 | 5129.70 | 6540.60 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1158.0 | 46.00 | 106.95 | 182.0 | 492.75 | 2346.25 | 3747.7 | 4705.05 | 5934.55 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1055.5 | 47.97 | 90.90 | 161.9 | 448.75 | 2389.25 | 4006.1 | 5031.65 | 6192.60 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1088.5 | 32.97 | 64.00 | 154.9 | 415.25 | 2239.75 | 3550.7 | 4664.20 | 6177.58 |
| 2024-04-28 | 914.0 | 26.00 | 50.85 | 132.0 | 350.75 | 1894.00 | 3287.1 | 4390.20 | 5544.58 |
| 2024-05-05 | 897.0 | 17.00 | 52.80 | 107.9 | 351.00 | 1869.50 | 3312.9 | 4685.95 | 5908.48 |
| 2024-05-12 | 866.0 | 18.98 | 46.95 | 101.9 | 310.75 | 1832.25 | 3180.7 | 4404.60 | 5501.35 |
| 2024-05-19 | 718.0 | 15.00 | 24.95 | 70.9 | 249.75 | 1629.00 | 2968.2 | 4035.30 | 4709.88 |
| 2024-05-26 | 661.0 | 8.00 | 19.00 | 57.0 | 207.75 | 1513.75 | 2691.1 | 3538.00 | 4266.03 |
| 2024-06-02 | 621.5 | 4.00 | 14.00 | 39.8 | 178.00 | 1507.75 | 2800.1 | 3573.15 | 4534.70 |
| 2024-06-09 | 447.5 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 21.0 | 116.50 | 1281.75 | 2440.1 | 3531.00 | 5200.05 |
| 2024-06-16 | 393.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 20.9 | 93.25 | 1115.75 | 2292.5 | 2943.20 | 4229.38 |
| 2024-06-23 | 349.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 12.0 | 72.75 | 1031.50 | 2048.7 | 2960.50 | 3773.20 |
| 2024-06-30 | 300.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 49.00 | 1033.00 | 2159.4 | 3106.15 | 4233.20 |
| 2024-07-07 | 240.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 36.00 | 868.75 | 1855.2 | 2660.30 | 3616.45 |
| 2024-07-14 | 202.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 26.00 | 790.00 | 1788.1 | 2511.30 | 3328.75 |
| 2024-07-21 | 161.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 18.00 | 719.25 | 1674.1 | 2462.55 | 3109.15 |
| 2024-07-28 | 124.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.75 | 578.50 | 1479.4 | 2303.85 | 3114.53 |
| 2024-08-04 | 135.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 512.00 | 1324.0 | 1962.80 | 2674.23 |
| 2024-08-11 | 103.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 500.75 | 1255.6 | 2003.05 | 3118.43 |
| 2024-08-18 | 101.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 9.00 | 468.50 | 1274.5 | 2089.40 | 2809.78 |
| 2024-08-25 | 82.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.75 | 400.50 | 1155.1 | 1899.45 | 2501.76 |
| 2024-09-01 | 83.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 491.50 | 1252.7 | 2039.45 | 3092.00 |
| 2024-09-08 | 62.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 425.25 | 1252.5 | 2038.45 | 2718.03 |
| 2024-09-15 | 62.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 431.75 | 999.1 | 1606.45 | 2440.80 |
| 2024-09-22 | 66.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 427.75 | 1112.3 | 1989.80 | 2552.05 |
| 2024-09-29 | 70.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 470.25 | 1153.7 | 1858.20 | 2886.10 |
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