Prediction 2423
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio de Janeiro |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in RJ
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 229.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 30.00 | 973.50 | 2246.9 | 3559.80 | 4756.18 |
| 2023-10-15 | 283.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 36.00 | 1110.50 | 2344.9 | 3491.90 | 4338.15 |
| 2023-10-22 | 211.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 23.75 | 922.50 | 2391.1 | 3652.40 | 4803.40 |
| 2023-10-29 | 259.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 37.00 | 1068.50 | 2435.6 | 3528.10 | 4308.05 |
| 2023-11-05 | 271.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 27.00 | 1017.00 | 2371.8 | 3866.90 | 4779.08 |
| 2023-11-12 | 252.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 43.00 | 941.00 | 2321.5 | 3407.45 | 4846.58 |
| 2023-11-19 | 309.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.0 | 42.00 | 1134.50 | 2596.9 | 3986.60 | 5482.05 |
| 2023-11-26 | 324.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 9.0 | 65.00 | 1128.00 | 2518.8 | 3604.10 | 4958.95 |
| 2023-12-03 | 326.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 55.75 | 1179.75 | 2564.9 | 3575.15 | 5355.95 |
| 2023-12-10 | 392.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 12.0 | 78.75 | 1237.50 | 2765.3 | 3932.05 | 5374.95 |
| 2023-12-17 | 532.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 14.0 | 103.25 | 1544.00 | 3170.5 | 4550.00 | 5937.55 |
| 2023-12-24 | 513.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 16.0 | 101.00 | 1496.25 | 3012.3 | 4329.45 | 5966.40 |
| 2023-12-31 | 542.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 21.9 | 136.00 | 1569.50 | 3137.5 | 5028.80 | 6005.08 |
| 2024-01-07 | 675.0 | 4.00 | 18.00 | 43.9 | 168.75 | 1847.75 | 3866.8 | 5274.55 | 6208.15 |
| 2024-01-14 | 681.5 | 1.00 | 9.00 | 27.9 | 164.00 | 1862.25 | 3383.0 | 4890.00 | 6532.23 |
| 2024-01-21 | 820.0 | 5.98 | 12.95 | 40.8 | 207.75 | 2077.25 | 3812.3 | 5214.10 | 6521.86 |
| 2024-01-28 | 758.0 | 7.00 | 19.00 | 51.0 | 240.25 | 2044.25 | 3857.8 | 5293.15 | 6614.36 |
| 2024-02-04 | 970.5 | 8.98 | 21.00 | 67.0 | 302.75 | 2445.25 | 4246.9 | 5451.15 | 6509.25 |
| 2024-02-11 | 955.5 | 10.98 | 21.95 | 69.0 | 280.25 | 2219.75 | 4029.0 | 5261.65 | 6974.45 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1010.0 | 8.00 | 29.95 | 71.6 | 325.50 | 2399.25 | 4249.5 | 5864.50 | 7412.10 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1095.0 | 9.98 | 32.95 | 103.8 | 373.00 | 2431.75 | 4285.8 | 6033.10 | 7833.55 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1128.5 | 18.00 | 60.75 | 132.0 | 446.75 | 2503.00 | 4568.2 | 6306.95 | 7415.28 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1133.0 | 26.00 | 52.95 | 131.9 | 388.75 | 2565.75 | 4350.5 | 5793.95 | 7279.16 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1157.5 | 21.00 | 53.95 | 136.9 | 429.75 | 2520.25 | 4518.5 | 6246.30 | 7979.53 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1183.0 | 29.00 | 65.85 | 145.9 | 462.50 | 2688.00 | 4650.8 | 6285.00 | 8315.80 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1126.0 | 26.00 | 59.00 | 164.5 | 452.00 | 2566.50 | 4525.3 | 5911.00 | 7984.15 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1218.5 | 29.00 | 59.00 | 138.0 | 439.00 | 2716.50 | 4829.3 | 6576.55 | 8573.98 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1276.0 | 23.98 | 65.95 | 155.6 | 498.50 | 2686.00 | 4474.9 | 6002.35 | 7628.35 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1230.0 | 32.00 | 63.95 | 151.0 | 468.25 | 2696.75 | 4994.1 | 6852.50 | 8483.55 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1274.0 | 34.00 | 56.95 | 119.7 | 430.00 | 2609.50 | 4615.9 | 6182.65 | 7685.93 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1140.5 | 21.00 | 49.00 | 111.9 | 402.75 | 2571.25 | 4501.2 | 6090.60 | 7650.43 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1076.5 | 17.00 | 33.00 | 90.9 | 357.75 | 2424.25 | 4522.5 | 5967.10 | 7720.83 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1074.5 | 12.00 | 28.00 | 96.8 | 386.50 | 2340.00 | 3840.0 | 5151.15 | 7352.81 |
| 2024-05-26 | 900.5 | 4.00 | 17.00 | 57.6 | 297.50 | 2166.25 | 4096.9 | 5528.45 | 7060.58 |
| 2024-06-02 | 804.0 | 7.00 | 17.95 | 48.8 | 247.75 | 2031.25 | 4080.8 | 5812.15 | 8077.20 |
| 2024-06-09 | 780.0 | 6.00 | 13.95 | 40.0 | 216.75 | 1972.25 | 4070.4 | 5391.85 | 7210.53 |
| 2024-06-16 | 719.5 | 3.00 | 10.95 | 34.9 | 179.75 | 1828.00 | 3475.7 | 5152.45 | 6236.20 |
| 2024-06-23 | 653.5 | 1.98 | 6.95 | 20.0 | 146.25 | 1741.75 | 3230.2 | 4475.25 | 5625.30 |
| 2024-06-30 | 537.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 16.0 | 95.50 | 1597.75 | 3130.2 | 4671.80 | 6223.85 |
| 2024-07-07 | 502.0 | 2.00 | 8.95 | 23.0 | 116.00 | 1464.50 | 3072.5 | 4308.40 | 6035.65 |
| 2024-07-14 | 464.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 101.75 | 1434.00 | 3100.0 | 4403.60 | 5805.28 |
| 2024-07-21 | 405.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 85.00 | 1223.25 | 2779.7 | 3821.15 | 5157.13 |
| 2024-07-28 | 378.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 8.0 | 61.75 | 1185.00 | 2720.7 | 4023.35 | 5272.43 |
| 2024-08-04 | 313.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 54.00 | 1075.75 | 2569.9 | 3861.35 | 5988.63 |
| 2024-08-11 | 329.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 59.00 | 1102.50 | 2327.7 | 3546.60 | 4663.40 |
| 2024-08-18 | 266.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 31.00 | 988.25 | 2220.7 | 3542.05 | 4886.45 |
| 2024-08-25 | 283.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 42.75 | 1032.50 | 2471.9 | 3774.35 | 4833.61 |
| 2024-09-01 | 232.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 25.00 | 956.00 | 2352.2 | 3104.55 | 4262.88 |
| 2024-09-08 | 246.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 29.75 | 953.50 | 2106.1 | 3260.10 | 4439.23 |
| 2024-09-15 | 243.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 23.00 | 941.00 | 2223.9 | 3501.05 | 4933.23 |
| 2024-09-22 | 251.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 30.75 | 1054.75 | 2459.9 | 3806.90 | 4947.00 |
| 2024-09-29 | 234.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 23.75 | 992.25 | 2431.8 | 3833.00 | 5098.85 |
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