Prediction 2424
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Bahia |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in BA
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 263.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 41.00 | 957.25 | 2273.6 | 3345.00 | 4598.15 |
| 2023-10-15 | 277.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 44.75 | 952.75 | 2190.9 | 3555.60 | 4317.38 |
| 2023-10-22 | 294.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 50.00 | 1049.50 | 2430.4 | 3412.80 | 4724.30 |
| 2023-10-29 | 298.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 49.75 | 966.00 | 2052.3 | 3132.70 | 4554.08 |
| 2023-11-05 | 294.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 5.0 | 54.00 | 1121.50 | 2340.1 | 3809.30 | 4907.90 |
| 2023-11-12 | 364.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 65.00 | 1122.50 | 2494.3 | 3897.50 | 4925.75 |
| 2023-11-19 | 402.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 10.9 | 86.00 | 1113.50 | 2523.8 | 3505.65 | 4688.13 |
| 2023-11-26 | 383.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 11.9 | 81.00 | 1117.25 | 2556.9 | 3460.45 | 4518.65 |
| 2023-12-03 | 501.0 | 1.00 | 5.95 | 18.9 | 116.75 | 1431.75 | 2830.7 | 3822.60 | 4999.70 |
| 2023-12-10 | 529.0 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 25.0 | 140.75 | 1525.25 | 3098.0 | 4065.45 | 5144.95 |
| 2023-12-17 | 565.0 | 1.00 | 6.00 | 26.9 | 142.00 | 1385.50 | 2934.0 | 3932.75 | 5233.10 |
| 2023-12-24 | 614.5 | 5.00 | 14.00 | 38.8 | 176.75 | 1559.25 | 3098.3 | 4405.70 | 5759.40 |
| 2023-12-31 | 828.0 | 6.00 | 15.95 | 44.0 | 187.00 | 1794.25 | 3514.8 | 4914.00 | 5800.08 |
| 2024-01-07 | 828.5 | 7.98 | 22.00 | 66.9 | 244.75 | 1901.00 | 3533.2 | 4824.80 | 6052.83 |
| 2024-01-14 | 937.0 | 15.98 | 44.00 | 80.8 | 306.25 | 2085.25 | 3772.2 | 5249.50 | 6998.05 |
| 2024-01-21 | 1016.5 | 17.98 | 56.95 | 129.0 | 353.75 | 2247.50 | 3671.6 | 4515.15 | 5828.58 |
| 2024-01-28 | 1078.0 | 29.98 | 57.95 | 138.0 | 400.75 | 2413.50 | 4284.7 | 5512.35 | 6869.93 |
| 2024-02-04 | 1198.0 | 28.00 | 62.95 | 134.8 | 447.00 | 2515.25 | 4373.5 | 5933.75 | 7039.63 |
| 2024-02-11 | 1158.5 | 28.00 | 72.75 | 144.0 | 444.00 | 2521.75 | 4388.3 | 5536.90 | 6875.98 |
| 2024-02-18 | 1379.0 | 57.83 | 111.00 | 232.6 | 547.50 | 2825.50 | 4763.5 | 5889.20 | 7748.85 |
| 2024-02-25 | 1497.5 | 64.88 | 123.75 | 228.6 | 611.75 | 2930.50 | 4891.2 | 6388.55 | 7766.12 |
| 2024-03-03 | 1522.5 | 63.97 | 122.00 | 256.0 | 646.25 | 2806.50 | 4888.1 | 6234.00 | 7597.50 |
| 2024-03-10 | 1731.0 | 65.90 | 147.70 | 281.7 | 750.00 | 3474.00 | 5529.7 | 6724.40 | 8229.50 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1593.0 | 77.80 | 150.90 | 287.7 | 748.50 | 3154.50 | 5176.7 | 6671.10 | 8122.05 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1700.0 | 63.95 | 113.85 | 253.8 | 727.75 | 3118.00 | 4950.0 | 6042.25 | 7672.53 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1809.0 | 104.95 | 180.00 | 358.1 | 828.50 | 3445.00 | 5328.5 | 6945.35 | 8119.33 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1915.0 | 75.85 | 187.90 | 348.6 | 854.75 | 3416.25 | 5299.8 | 6498.10 | 8032.20 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1732.0 | 95.93 | 158.80 | 279.8 | 733.50 | 3211.50 | 5214.1 | 6930.25 | 8295.53 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1519.5 | 80.95 | 123.00 | 271.7 | 664.00 | 3094.00 | 4989.6 | 6575.60 | 7568.53 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1605.5 | 61.93 | 143.00 | 283.7 | 721.25 | 3058.00 | 4754.5 | 6110.05 | 7432.68 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1640.0 | 74.95 | 129.90 | 315.9 | 712.50 | 3220.00 | 5091.8 | 6427.00 | 8192.65 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1509.0 | 63.00 | 137.85 | 228.9 | 604.00 | 2954.00 | 4690.5 | 6146.75 | 7726.98 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1384.5 | 52.00 | 89.95 | 202.6 | 584.25 | 2860.75 | 4775.7 | 6063.20 | 7221.75 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1375.0 | 44.00 | 94.95 | 198.8 | 571.50 | 2757.25 | 4753.4 | 6171.75 | 7699.35 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1225.5 | 34.88 | 88.95 | 182.9 | 485.75 | 2558.25 | 4360.3 | 5511.40 | 6737.80 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1126.0 | 19.00 | 49.95 | 115.9 | 416.00 | 2332.50 | 4101.2 | 5254.05 | 6153.05 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1060.5 | 17.98 | 41.95 | 103.8 | 360.75 | 2416.50 | 3992.2 | 5350.10 | 7187.08 |
| 2024-06-23 | 907.0 | 13.00 | 29.95 | 75.8 | 322.00 | 1972.00 | 3753.7 | 4938.05 | 6377.13 |
| 2024-06-30 | 863.0 | 10.98 | 22.00 | 61.8 | 275.00 | 2190.00 | 4026.2 | 5286.10 | 6759.08 |
| 2024-07-07 | 755.0 | 5.00 | 15.00 | 54.0 | 203.50 | 1845.75 | 3390.1 | 4702.50 | 5707.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 680.0 | 7.98 | 21.95 | 49.7 | 190.75 | 1797.50 | 3279.7 | 4214.15 | 5185.25 |
| 2024-07-21 | 676.5 | 5.00 | 12.95 | 43.0 | 184.75 | 1806.25 | 3305.8 | 4593.25 | 5666.13 |
| 2024-07-28 | 537.0 | 2.00 | 6.95 | 25.9 | 124.00 | 1421.00 | 2789.6 | 4395.45 | 5635.25 |
| 2024-08-04 | 515.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 21.0 | 108.75 | 1535.00 | 2813.9 | 4168.50 | 5443.43 |
| 2024-08-11 | 535.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 19.9 | 117.00 | 1388.25 | 2661.4 | 3969.15 | 5020.98 |
| 2024-08-18 | 389.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 85.00 | 1209.75 | 2561.5 | 3842.25 | 4977.10 |
| 2024-08-25 | 382.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 10.9 | 84.75 | 1199.75 | 2594.0 | 3795.40 | 5029.35 |
| 2024-09-01 | 386.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 68.00 | 1175.25 | 2583.9 | 3863.30 | 5535.28 |
| 2024-09-08 | 306.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 46.00 | 1028.00 | 2394.9 | 3595.05 | 4747.15 |
| 2024-09-15 | 312.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 55.00 | 1080.50 | 2413.0 | 3392.50 | 4492.18 |
| 2024-09-22 | 304.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 50.75 | 1045.50 | 2443.9 | 3618.25 | 4514.68 |
| 2024-09-29 | 291.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 46.00 | 1028.50 | 2204.3 | 3456.25 | 4430.30 |
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