Prediction 2425
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Espírito Santo |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in ES
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 187.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.9 | 46.75 | 457.00 | 885.2 | 1248.15 | 1609.25 |
| 2023-10-15 | 188.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 14.0 | 52.00 | 441.25 | 830.1 | 1167.25 | 1469.58 |
| 2023-10-22 | 188.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 49.00 | 458.25 | 916.4 | 1264.25 | 1515.20 |
| 2023-10-29 | 194.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 16.0 | 63.00 | 471.00 | 936.4 | 1273.05 | 1648.15 |
| 2023-11-05 | 184.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.0 | 52.75 | 459.25 | 897.0 | 1199.40 | 1512.03 |
| 2023-11-12 | 216.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 17.0 | 64.00 | 523.25 | 1016.4 | 1326.25 | 1759.20 |
| 2023-11-19 | 210.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 17.0 | 59.75 | 510.00 | 998.5 | 1310.35 | 1700.00 |
| 2023-11-26 | 233.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 16.0 | 71.00 | 544.50 | 1035.1 | 1488.05 | 1736.13 |
| 2023-12-03 | 212.0 | 4.00 | 13.00 | 23.9 | 80.00 | 491.25 | 955.3 | 1274.20 | 1674.05 |
| 2023-12-10 | 225.5 | 6.00 | 11.95 | 26.0 | 78.75 | 563.25 | 984.9 | 1332.30 | 1682.18 |
| 2023-12-17 | 269.0 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 27.9 | 93.00 | 605.75 | 1035.7 | 1354.55 | 1857.43 |
| 2023-12-24 | 269.0 | 7.00 | 17.00 | 32.9 | 109.50 | 597.75 | 1071.4 | 1468.00 | 1985.13 |
| 2023-12-31 | 317.0 | 6.00 | 15.95 | 35.0 | 128.75 | 692.25 | 1181.1 | 1478.50 | 1884.68 |
| 2024-01-07 | 324.5 | 7.00 | 18.00 | 40.0 | 121.00 | 657.50 | 1062.0 | 1371.05 | 1680.15 |
| 2024-01-14 | 333.0 | 11.95 | 22.90 | 47.0 | 129.00 | 756.25 | 1168.1 | 1559.25 | 1928.95 |
| 2024-01-21 | 368.0 | 10.98 | 20.95 | 50.0 | 144.75 | 741.25 | 1230.1 | 1672.00 | 1940.60 |
| 2024-01-28 | 379.5 | 8.00 | 20.00 | 55.0 | 142.00 | 780.75 | 1232.4 | 1577.55 | 1897.28 |
| 2024-02-04 | 357.0 | 13.98 | 27.95 | 53.9 | 143.00 | 742.25 | 1221.5 | 1582.65 | 1955.05 |
| 2024-02-11 | 387.0 | 22.00 | 35.95 | 63.0 | 166.00 | 819.25 | 1288.0 | 1661.10 | 1992.15 |
| 2024-02-18 | 399.0 | 17.98 | 30.00 | 60.0 | 180.25 | 788.00 | 1293.2 | 1758.10 | 2268.83 |
| 2024-02-25 | 431.5 | 22.98 | 34.00 | 67.9 | 188.00 | 830.50 | 1344.6 | 1805.25 | 2189.73 |
| 2024-03-03 | 451.5 | 23.98 | 38.95 | 71.9 | 200.75 | 897.00 | 1401.3 | 1742.05 | 1996.15 |
| 2024-03-10 | 443.0 | 21.98 | 39.00 | 81.8 | 201.00 | 881.50 | 1505.0 | 1964.55 | 2372.00 |
| 2024-03-17 | 418.5 | 28.00 | 41.90 | 78.0 | 183.00 | 848.00 | 1366.9 | 1775.65 | 2150.48 |
| 2024-03-24 | 456.0 | 28.95 | 43.00 | 74.0 | 195.00 | 863.50 | 1413.1 | 1803.45 | 2206.93 |
| 2024-03-31 | 470.5 | 29.00 | 45.00 | 81.8 | 210.75 | 901.25 | 1406.5 | 1823.05 | 2288.48 |
| 2024-04-07 | 441.0 | 18.98 | 40.90 | 80.0 | 195.75 | 862.50 | 1326.3 | 1774.65 | 2136.25 |
| 2024-04-14 | 433.0 | 28.98 | 46.95 | 83.0 | 196.00 | 845.25 | 1372.9 | 1736.60 | 2147.05 |
| 2024-04-21 | 457.5 | 17.00 | 34.00 | 73.8 | 198.00 | 859.00 | 1367.0 | 1822.20 | 2090.45 |
| 2024-04-28 | 427.0 | 21.98 | 40.95 | 77.7 | 186.75 | 827.25 | 1347.8 | 1812.10 | 2204.68 |
| 2024-05-05 | 410.0 | 16.00 | 37.00 | 67.0 | 173.50 | 814.25 | 1336.3 | 1705.70 | 2047.38 |
| 2024-05-12 | 453.5 | 14.98 | 30.95 | 68.0 | 182.00 | 832.25 | 1360.3 | 1733.00 | 2038.10 |
| 2024-05-19 | 359.5 | 14.98 | 30.00 | 62.9 | 155.75 | 776.75 | 1317.3 | 1722.35 | 2130.85 |
| 2024-05-26 | 397.5 | 16.98 | 33.95 | 59.0 | 166.75 | 787.50 | 1281.1 | 1687.15 | 2089.45 |
| 2024-06-02 | 360.0 | 14.00 | 23.00 | 56.9 | 140.00 | 689.25 | 1164.0 | 1553.25 | 1877.63 |
| 2024-06-09 | 385.0 | 9.00 | 20.00 | 43.9 | 148.75 | 733.25 | 1178.0 | 1558.35 | 1865.00 |
| 2024-06-16 | 318.0 | 11.00 | 20.95 | 38.0 | 129.00 | 712.25 | 1182.3 | 1530.95 | 1809.35 |
| 2024-06-23 | 303.0 | 7.98 | 17.00 | 40.9 | 114.75 | 670.00 | 1141.6 | 1492.05 | 1826.75 |
| 2024-06-30 | 298.5 | 6.00 | 15.95 | 36.9 | 106.75 | 647.25 | 1143.5 | 1436.60 | 1764.23 |
| 2024-07-07 | 275.0 | 4.98 | 16.00 | 32.0 | 99.75 | 569.25 | 994.2 | 1396.20 | 1744.33 |
| 2024-07-14 | 258.0 | 5.00 | 11.00 | 29.0 | 95.00 | 621.50 | 1096.2 | 1441.05 | 1661.18 |
| 2024-07-21 | 257.5 | 5.98 | 15.00 | 27.9 | 79.00 | 554.00 | 1062.2 | 1404.20 | 1699.73 |
| 2024-07-28 | 225.0 | 2.00 | 4.95 | 15.0 | 73.75 | 515.00 | 925.5 | 1289.15 | 1569.08 |
| 2024-08-04 | 225.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 20.0 | 71.75 | 559.50 | 1002.5 | 1389.65 | 1795.95 |
| 2024-08-11 | 221.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 17.9 | 63.75 | 531.00 | 992.8 | 1345.80 | 1637.73 |
| 2024-08-18 | 189.0 | 2.98 | 5.00 | 15.0 | 59.75 | 480.25 | 902.1 | 1251.95 | 1557.05 |
| 2024-08-25 | 192.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 55.00 | 487.25 | 857.2 | 1220.50 | 1509.98 |
| 2024-09-01 | 183.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 59.75 | 482.50 | 865.1 | 1249.10 | 1568.25 |
| 2024-09-08 | 183.5 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 15.0 | 58.75 | 481.50 | 884.5 | 1204.35 | 1587.10 |
| 2024-09-15 | 193.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.9 | 50.50 | 502.25 | 987.4 | 1275.75 | 1566.23 |
| 2024-09-22 | 178.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.0 | 45.00 | 447.25 | 892.0 | 1233.45 | 1678.28 |
| 2024-09-29 | 171.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 10.0 | 44.00 | 489.50 | 985.2 | 1268.70 | 1589.30 |
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