Prediction 2427
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Distrito Federal |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in DF
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 53.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 201.50 | 474.4 | 646.30 | 885.85 |
| 2023-10-15 | 57.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 199.25 | 456.8 | 670.25 | 898.28 |
| 2023-10-22 | 50.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 192.00 | 423.4 | 605.40 | 835.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 55.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 178.00 | 447.3 | 621.05 | 1025.70 |
| 2023-11-05 | 70.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 224.25 | 499.4 | 651.05 | 878.55 |
| 2023-11-12 | 66.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 226.25 | 482.8 | 672.55 | 850.28 |
| 2023-11-19 | 75.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 16.00 | 227.25 | 488.0 | 726.55 | 901.50 |
| 2023-11-26 | 103.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.9 | 25.00 | 315.00 | 629.0 | 868.25 | 1057.80 |
| 2023-12-03 | 95.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 25.75 | 262.25 | 546.1 | 746.25 | 940.00 |
| 2023-12-10 | 134.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 40.00 | 330.00 | 666.0 | 900.85 | 1201.25 |
| 2023-12-17 | 137.0 | 2.00 | 4.95 | 11.9 | 44.00 | 351.50 | 664.9 | 877.40 | 1084.23 |
| 2023-12-24 | 162.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 45.75 | 387.25 | 669.2 | 913.25 | 1131.93 |
| 2023-12-31 | 193.5 | 4.00 | 9.95 | 21.9 | 68.00 | 408.50 | 765.2 | 1027.50 | 1292.03 |
| 2024-01-07 | 209.5 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 28.0 | 76.00 | 465.00 | 881.4 | 1148.10 | 1392.10 |
| 2024-01-14 | 283.0 | 7.98 | 20.00 | 39.0 | 109.75 | 549.25 | 864.5 | 1189.40 | 1531.30 |
| 2024-01-21 | 312.0 | 11.00 | 26.00 | 46.9 | 136.75 | 585.00 | 1009.3 | 1326.00 | 1674.43 |
| 2024-01-28 | 383.0 | 17.98 | 37.00 | 72.9 | 176.00 | 662.25 | 1011.3 | 1347.05 | 1672.73 |
| 2024-02-04 | 360.5 | 19.98 | 38.00 | 71.0 | 178.75 | 675.25 | 1080.0 | 1395.10 | 1617.00 |
| 2024-02-11 | 404.5 | 23.98 | 40.00 | 77.0 | 186.75 | 726.25 | 1176.3 | 1430.95 | 1742.35 |
| 2024-02-18 | 500.0 | 40.95 | 69.00 | 117.8 | 248.75 | 812.25 | 1238.3 | 1498.20 | 1783.13 |
| 2024-02-25 | 534.0 | 53.00 | 95.90 | 141.8 | 276.50 | 902.25 | 1312.3 | 1700.75 | 2026.33 |
| 2024-03-03 | 539.5 | 54.95 | 96.90 | 147.0 | 278.75 | 905.75 | 1341.2 | 1745.15 | 2015.23 |
| 2024-03-10 | 561.0 | 79.90 | 128.75 | 170.8 | 313.75 | 933.25 | 1418.2 | 1750.15 | 1947.00 |
| 2024-03-17 | 628.0 | 64.95 | 121.95 | 196.0 | 340.00 | 984.25 | 1547.1 | 1876.55 | 2213.02 |
| 2024-03-24 | 619.5 | 87.95 | 111.95 | 195.7 | 356.75 | 1004.50 | 1487.7 | 1828.10 | 2121.00 |
| 2024-03-31 | 639.5 | 83.97 | 142.95 | 212.9 | 369.50 | 1042.50 | 1476.0 | 1876.10 | 2181.53 |
| 2024-04-07 | 643.0 | 88.97 | 121.75 | 187.9 | 340.00 | 1025.25 | 1478.2 | 1772.50 | 2120.00 |
| 2024-04-14 | 637.0 | 85.93 | 137.00 | 192.0 | 354.00 | 1055.25 | 1532.1 | 1887.70 | 2237.43 |
| 2024-04-21 | 641.5 | 89.00 | 132.90 | 187.0 | 352.75 | 1042.25 | 1482.4 | 1822.45 | 2085.43 |
| 2024-04-28 | 600.0 | 65.97 | 107.85 | 191.8 | 338.25 | 993.50 | 1466.4 | 1845.80 | 2223.40 |
| 2024-05-05 | 555.0 | 61.97 | 105.00 | 164.9 | 315.25 | 949.25 | 1361.3 | 1770.00 | 2050.58 |
| 2024-05-12 | 557.0 | 71.93 | 104.85 | 152.7 | 296.00 | 950.25 | 1462.3 | 1869.40 | 2182.18 |
| 2024-05-19 | 513.0 | 64.88 | 89.00 | 142.0 | 266.25 | 832.25 | 1299.7 | 1662.15 | 1972.20 |
| 2024-05-26 | 438.5 | 33.00 | 55.95 | 102.9 | 213.75 | 783.00 | 1219.0 | 1497.15 | 1744.08 |
| 2024-06-02 | 419.5 | 29.98 | 54.00 | 83.9 | 200.00 | 735.00 | 1126.5 | 1385.20 | 1654.00 |
| 2024-06-09 | 361.5 | 20.00 | 37.95 | 68.9 | 164.50 | 660.00 | 1119.3 | 1445.10 | 1737.10 |
| 2024-06-16 | 332.5 | 13.00 | 26.95 | 48.9 | 142.00 | 619.25 | 1000.2 | 1321.15 | 1660.53 |
| 2024-06-23 | 289.0 | 9.00 | 20.95 | 41.0 | 118.00 | 580.50 | 979.0 | 1282.25 | 1518.03 |
| 2024-06-30 | 260.5 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 33.9 | 103.00 | 521.75 | 835.1 | 1158.10 | 1433.53 |
| 2024-07-07 | 230.5 | 4.98 | 10.00 | 23.0 | 81.00 | 489.25 | 870.2 | 1114.00 | 1383.00 |
| 2024-07-14 | 175.0 | 4.00 | 8.00 | 17.0 | 63.00 | 378.50 | 693.2 | 900.75 | 1189.75 |
| 2024-07-21 | 172.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 12.0 | 55.00 | 381.25 | 684.3 | 961.60 | 1277.13 |
| 2024-07-28 | 136.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.9 | 46.00 | 334.00 | 663.4 | 914.50 | 1317.05 |
| 2024-08-04 | 127.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 36.00 | 334.25 | 649.1 | 876.10 | 1173.15 |
| 2024-08-11 | 100.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 21.75 | 274.00 | 607.0 | 843.10 | 1071.48 |
| 2024-08-18 | 91.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 20.00 | 260.25 | 566.2 | 821.35 | 1017.23 |
| 2024-08-25 | 72.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 226.25 | 495.4 | 730.40 | 1041.18 |
| 2024-09-01 | 66.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 223.75 | 437.0 | 669.35 | 900.28 |
| 2024-09-08 | 63.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 198.50 | 423.7 | 610.35 | 777.25 |
| 2024-09-15 | 65.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 194.25 | 480.0 | 668.20 | 902.35 |
| 2024-09-22 | 60.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 203.25 | 450.1 | 629.05 | 815.43 |
| 2024-09-29 | 55.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 186.25 | 453.1 | 651.05 | 861.30 |
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