Prediction 2428
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Ceará |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in CE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 187.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 33.00 | 646.25 | 1435.6 | 2173.00 | 2892.25 |
| 2023-10-15 | 227.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 38.00 | 722.00 | 1579.6 | 2259.75 | 3003.43 |
| 2023-10-22 | 205.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 30.00 | 630.25 | 1415.6 | 2132.75 | 2876.80 |
| 2023-10-29 | 195.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 30.00 | 660.25 | 1484.5 | 2193.65 | 2910.30 |
| 2023-11-05 | 197.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 33.00 | 662.00 | 1293.4 | 1857.50 | 2679.78 |
| 2023-11-12 | 209.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.0 | 33.00 | 706.50 | 1428.4 | 2142.80 | 2951.12 |
| 2023-11-19 | 209.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 38.75 | 719.75 | 1435.1 | 2045.45 | 2857.18 |
| 2023-11-26 | 216.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 38.00 | 737.00 | 1518.1 | 2329.35 | 3142.12 |
| 2023-12-03 | 235.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 49.00 | 760.25 | 1626.5 | 2507.85 | 3148.20 |
| 2023-12-10 | 258.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 48.75 | 746.25 | 1558.4 | 2272.55 | 2794.00 |
| 2023-12-17 | 312.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 11.0 | 79.75 | 992.75 | 1953.9 | 2971.45 | 3411.78 |
| 2023-12-24 | 350.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 14.0 | 86.75 | 972.50 | 1750.3 | 2390.30 | 2925.80 |
| 2023-12-31 | 351.5 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 17.0 | 79.00 | 914.75 | 1716.0 | 2432.40 | 3005.38 |
| 2024-01-07 | 394.0 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 20.9 | 111.00 | 1035.75 | 1813.2 | 2552.15 | 3326.15 |
| 2024-01-14 | 402.0 | 4.00 | 9.00 | 28.0 | 119.75 | 1005.00 | 1930.2 | 2648.15 | 3427.02 |
| 2024-01-21 | 457.5 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 38.0 | 133.50 | 1094.25 | 2069.4 | 2920.65 | 3946.45 |
| 2024-01-28 | 524.5 | 7.00 | 18.00 | 44.0 | 159.00 | 1191.50 | 2246.9 | 3064.35 | 3919.23 |
| 2024-02-04 | 536.5 | 6.00 | 17.95 | 54.0 | 195.00 | 1303.00 | 2388.8 | 3282.05 | 4309.88 |
| 2024-02-11 | 672.0 | 10.98 | 26.00 | 74.7 | 261.00 | 1532.00 | 2858.2 | 3642.20 | 4558.28 |
| 2024-02-18 | 730.0 | 22.98 | 47.95 | 113.9 | 287.00 | 1593.50 | 2785.1 | 3651.15 | 4520.08 |
| 2024-02-25 | 791.5 | 20.93 | 42.95 | 79.0 | 279.75 | 1676.25 | 2836.0 | 3573.20 | 4622.20 |
| 2024-03-03 | 851.0 | 39.85 | 72.90 | 142.0 | 349.75 | 1800.25 | 2969.3 | 3620.75 | 4377.40 |
| 2024-03-10 | 938.0 | 42.95 | 78.95 | 157.8 | 404.75 | 1855.25 | 2998.4 | 4140.50 | 5065.78 |
| 2024-03-17 | 1019.5 | 49.95 | 111.75 | 195.7 | 449.25 | 1908.50 | 3088.1 | 3941.25 | 4543.00 |
| 2024-03-24 | 1084.5 | 35.97 | 91.90 | 199.0 | 486.50 | 2153.00 | 3239.8 | 4284.10 | 5164.30 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1103.5 | 66.00 | 131.90 | 219.9 | 526.75 | 2040.50 | 3201.2 | 4065.20 | 4808.13 |
| 2024-04-07 | 1259.5 | 70.97 | 129.95 | 257.9 | 592.00 | 2252.75 | 3288.8 | 4356.95 | 5244.78 |
| 2024-04-14 | 1228.5 | 87.00 | 148.00 | 281.7 | 571.25 | 2197.00 | 3241.5 | 4336.00 | 5057.80 |
| 2024-04-21 | 1272.0 | 89.90 | 165.85 | 296.5 | 612.00 | 2195.75 | 3553.3 | 4573.35 | 5380.12 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1216.0 | 89.97 | 151.90 | 292.5 | 584.50 | 2275.00 | 3608.2 | 4737.10 | 5842.95 |
| 2024-05-05 | 1370.0 | 76.90 | 164.00 | 306.9 | 677.50 | 2286.00 | 3566.1 | 4597.95 | 5458.38 |
| 2024-05-12 | 1327.0 | 101.90 | 166.85 | 320.0 | 661.50 | 2432.25 | 3573.2 | 4458.05 | 5285.33 |
| 2024-05-19 | 1192.0 | 99.97 | 151.85 | 259.8 | 581.75 | 2143.25 | 3598.0 | 4480.80 | 5427.12 |
| 2024-05-26 | 1133.0 | 91.95 | 155.90 | 243.9 | 551.00 | 2191.75 | 3533.0 | 4284.95 | 5395.88 |
| 2024-06-02 | 1132.0 | 74.97 | 131.95 | 247.6 | 517.75 | 2234.75 | 3559.2 | 4588.70 | 5492.28 |
| 2024-06-09 | 1041.5 | 57.93 | 103.85 | 208.9 | 484.25 | 1958.25 | 3316.5 | 4366.75 | 5074.45 |
| 2024-06-16 | 1065.5 | 49.97 | 97.80 | 208.0 | 468.25 | 2057.25 | 3352.8 | 4344.30 | 5420.05 |
| 2024-06-23 | 953.0 | 36.97 | 76.85 | 163.0 | 420.00 | 1987.50 | 3132.5 | 4071.05 | 4961.30 |
| 2024-06-30 | 918.0 | 29.93 | 67.95 | 126.0 | 368.75 | 1712.00 | 3013.7 | 3920.70 | 4842.15 |
| 2024-07-07 | 807.5 | 25.95 | 53.00 | 117.9 | 358.25 | 1706.25 | 2806.8 | 3406.05 | 4144.85 |
| 2024-07-14 | 796.0 | 14.00 | 42.00 | 100.9 | 298.75 | 1555.50 | 2646.0 | 3692.70 | 4457.75 |
| 2024-07-21 | 686.5 | 13.98 | 34.00 | 67.0 | 230.00 | 1462.00 | 2550.7 | 3489.50 | 4553.88 |
| 2024-07-28 | 617.5 | 8.98 | 21.00 | 48.9 | 193.75 | 1304.50 | 2455.7 | 3463.35 | 4226.43 |
| 2024-08-04 | 599.0 | 5.00 | 15.00 | 44.9 | 206.75 | 1364.75 | 2681.4 | 3619.55 | 4402.28 |
| 2024-08-11 | 457.5 | 5.98 | 16.00 | 40.9 | 167.75 | 1075.75 | 2001.7 | 2862.40 | 3655.90 |
| 2024-08-18 | 445.5 | 4.98 | 11.00 | 28.0 | 118.50 | 1056.75 | 2050.6 | 3267.15 | 3965.60 |
| 2024-08-25 | 441.5 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 24.0 | 121.00 | 1070.00 | 1924.2 | 2637.30 | 3894.50 |
| 2024-09-01 | 351.0 | 1.98 | 4.95 | 17.0 | 84.75 | 914.75 | 1839.6 | 2658.35 | 3563.33 |
| 2024-09-08 | 312.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 9.9 | 75.00 | 923.75 | 1734.1 | 2361.10 | 3052.65 |
| 2024-09-15 | 265.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 57.75 | 740.50 | 1627.2 | 2185.15 | 2787.43 |
| 2024-09-22 | 275.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 50.50 | 864.00 | 1736.0 | 2379.25 | 3185.25 |
| 2024-09-29 | 262.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 54.00 | 738.75 | 1596.6 | 2366.00 | 2877.50 |
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