Prediction 2429
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Mato Grosso do Sul |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in MS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 68.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 203.75 | 476.0 | 693.45 | 917.50 |
| 2023-10-15 | 71.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 13.00 | 213.25 | 453.1 | 637.45 | 902.00 |
| 2023-10-22 | 84.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 19.75 | 249.50 | 525.9 | 711.25 | 935.28 |
| 2023-10-29 | 110.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 26.00 | 276.25 | 544.7 | 748.20 | 943.55 |
| 2023-11-05 | 118.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 36.00 | 314.00 | 597.0 | 794.15 | 1159.10 |
| 2023-11-12 | 142.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 13.0 | 49.00 | 376.00 | 664.5 | 949.05 | 1211.23 |
| 2023-11-19 | 154.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 13.0 | 51.00 | 381.50 | 677.1 | 927.50 | 1188.15 |
| 2023-11-26 | 190.5 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 20.0 | 66.00 | 435.50 | 763.2 | 1008.10 | 1203.28 |
| 2023-12-03 | 228.5 | 5.00 | 13.00 | 27.9 | 88.00 | 493.75 | 892.2 | 1100.40 | 1357.68 |
| 2023-12-10 | 255.5 | 8.98 | 19.00 | 35.8 | 100.75 | 518.25 | 833.8 | 1090.05 | 1355.35 |
| 2023-12-17 | 305.0 | 11.00 | 19.95 | 44.9 | 124.25 | 582.25 | 918.7 | 1226.05 | 1501.70 |
| 2023-12-24 | 346.5 | 21.00 | 35.00 | 66.0 | 158.75 | 651.75 | 993.4 | 1295.15 | 1479.45 |
| 2023-12-31 | 385.5 | 37.95 | 57.95 | 90.0 | 188.75 | 692.50 | 1029.4 | 1330.05 | 1629.43 |
| 2024-01-07 | 458.5 | 43.95 | 77.85 | 120.9 | 234.00 | 785.25 | 1168.3 | 1436.60 | 1660.35 |
| 2024-01-14 | 522.0 | 65.85 | 99.95 | 141.9 | 274.00 | 887.00 | 1311.4 | 1606.35 | 1847.33 |
| 2024-01-21 | 541.5 | 57.97 | 82.00 | 139.9 | 272.00 | 912.50 | 1319.4 | 1668.30 | 2001.35 |
| 2024-01-28 | 623.0 | 82.97 | 115.85 | 181.9 | 340.00 | 985.00 | 1450.0 | 1702.30 | 1949.33 |
| 2024-02-04 | 644.0 | 91.97 | 134.90 | 198.9 | 368.00 | 1031.25 | 1522.1 | 1790.05 | 2068.70 |
| 2024-02-11 | 644.5 | 103.00 | 144.75 | 227.9 | 365.50 | 1027.50 | 1417.1 | 1691.40 | 1982.08 |
| 2024-02-18 | 706.0 | 101.95 | 141.00 | 214.8 | 408.25 | 1037.25 | 1553.3 | 1859.25 | 2182.08 |
| 2024-02-25 | 739.0 | 118.00 | 162.00 | 238.9 | 440.00 | 1144.25 | 1667.2 | 2027.20 | 2322.08 |
| 2024-03-03 | 724.0 | 108.93 | 166.00 | 250.0 | 429.75 | 1134.00 | 1601.5 | 1950.15 | 2214.95 |
| 2024-03-10 | 725.0 | 141.95 | 192.75 | 265.0 | 444.50 | 1134.25 | 1639.3 | 1968.15 | 2246.23 |
| 2024-03-17 | 726.0 | 102.97 | 153.85 | 223.9 | 416.25 | 1088.00 | 1564.1 | 1830.05 | 2054.45 |
| 2024-03-24 | 697.0 | 102.97 | 142.95 | 214.8 | 396.00 | 1085.50 | 1568.4 | 1912.15 | 2219.00 |
| 2024-03-31 | 682.5 | 122.97 | 159.95 | 217.0 | 401.75 | 1122.25 | 1581.0 | 1873.50 | 2091.43 |
| 2024-04-07 | 621.0 | 86.93 | 115.95 | 184.0 | 350.50 | 987.00 | 1443.9 | 1740.00 | 2049.53 |
| 2024-04-14 | 597.0 | 62.97 | 95.85 | 136.9 | 314.00 | 967.50 | 1458.3 | 1819.15 | 2136.55 |
| 2024-04-21 | 502.0 | 64.00 | 95.85 | 146.9 | 288.50 | 862.25 | 1238.5 | 1596.35 | 1866.45 |
| 2024-04-28 | 494.5 | 47.00 | 71.90 | 126.8 | 249.00 | 817.25 | 1242.9 | 1521.50 | 1797.70 |
| 2024-05-05 | 430.5 | 35.93 | 57.00 | 94.0 | 215.25 | 765.00 | 1186.1 | 1463.60 | 1927.13 |
| 2024-05-12 | 364.5 | 29.00 | 47.95 | 92.0 | 185.00 | 692.75 | 1084.1 | 1313.40 | 1623.13 |
| 2024-05-19 | 343.0 | 16.00 | 32.00 | 61.0 | 155.75 | 642.50 | 1027.2 | 1311.70 | 1590.83 |
| 2024-05-26 | 300.5 | 12.00 | 18.95 | 38.0 | 134.00 | 562.50 | 940.2 | 1159.20 | 1475.05 |
| 2024-06-02 | 251.0 | 5.98 | 15.00 | 34.0 | 99.75 | 530.00 | 877.8 | 1201.15 | 1485.30 |
| 2024-06-09 | 221.0 | 3.98 | 8.00 | 21.9 | 82.75 | 444.25 | 840.1 | 1164.10 | 1347.10 |
| 2024-06-16 | 178.0 | 5.00 | 8.95 | 19.0 | 65.75 | 416.50 | 754.2 | 949.10 | 1188.03 |
| 2024-06-23 | 147.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 11.9 | 48.00 | 363.75 | 657.2 | 853.05 | 1066.00 |
| 2024-06-30 | 126.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.9 | 35.75 | 316.00 | 648.2 | 851.25 | 1120.20 |
| 2024-07-07 | 116.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 30.75 | 299.75 | 588.3 | 825.00 | 1025.55 |
| 2024-07-14 | 107.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 27.00 | 282.25 | 553.1 | 684.05 | 883.00 |
| 2024-07-21 | 91.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 19.00 | 287.25 | 593.1 | 828.30 | 1114.53 |
| 2024-07-28 | 75.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 236.50 | 478.3 | 748.00 | 973.40 |
| 2024-08-04 | 68.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 206.50 | 477.3 | 702.00 | 886.85 |
| 2024-08-11 | 55.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.75 | 196.00 | 448.3 | 681.00 | 926.13 |
| 2024-08-18 | 56.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 192.75 | 408.8 | 584.60 | 826.10 |
| 2024-08-25 | 56.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 7.00 | 186.50 | 460.1 | 711.30 | 924.38 |
| 2024-09-01 | 51.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 191.50 | 412.2 | 669.10 | 880.05 |
| 2024-09-08 | 55.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 189.75 | 450.3 | 695.05 | 996.15 |
| 2024-09-15 | 52.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 203.25 | 450.1 | 643.30 | 800.73 |
| 2024-09-22 | 55.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 8.00 | 197.00 | 451.4 | 647.45 | 852.30 |
| 2024-09-29 | 64.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 11.00 | 211.75 | 457.1 | 638.15 | 903.38 |
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