Prediction 2430
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Pernambuco |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in PE
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 313.5 | 0.98 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 77.00 | 914.25 | 1864.2 | 2550.15 | 3402.00 |
| 2023-10-15 | 309.5 | 0.00 | 2.95 | 10.0 | 68.25 | 845.00 | 1785.1 | 2709.55 | 3465.00 |
| 2023-10-22 | 268.5 | 0.98 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 58.75 | 725.00 | 1361.3 | 2001.25 | 2603.00 |
| 2023-10-29 | 235.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 43.00 | 763.75 | 1621.5 | 2291.90 | 3069.63 |
| 2023-11-05 | 268.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 55.00 | 742.00 | 1471.6 | 2224.00 | 3217.02 |
| 2023-11-12 | 294.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.9 | 60.00 | 756.75 | 1668.1 | 2376.30 | 2733.70 |
| 2023-11-19 | 246.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 8.9 | 50.00 | 789.50 | 1666.0 | 2371.00 | 3218.35 |
| 2023-11-26 | 263.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 59.00 | 714.00 | 1719.0 | 2376.40 | 3254.43 |
| 2023-12-03 | 290.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 62.00 | 850.25 | 1819.2 | 2570.50 | 3490.50 |
| 2023-12-10 | 275.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 58.00 | 829.00 | 1877.5 | 2730.45 | 3433.15 |
| 2023-12-17 | 332.0 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 16.0 | 83.75 | 939.25 | 1894.9 | 2640.95 | 3564.18 |
| 2023-12-24 | 357.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 13.0 | 89.00 | 895.75 | 1905.7 | 2657.60 | 3355.65 |
| 2023-12-31 | 375.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 21.9 | 89.75 | 983.00 | 1841.6 | 2500.40 | 3127.40 |
| 2024-01-07 | 384.0 | 2.00 | 9.00 | 24.9 | 100.75 | 949.25 | 1901.0 | 2608.20 | 3547.25 |
| 2024-01-14 | 376.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 16.0 | 96.50 | 1013.00 | 2082.6 | 2716.10 | 3321.83 |
| 2024-01-21 | 425.0 | 2.00 | 10.95 | 26.0 | 126.00 | 1120.25 | 2064.7 | 3276.50 | 4215.10 |
| 2024-01-28 | 521.5 | 7.00 | 15.00 | 30.9 | 146.75 | 1246.50 | 2181.4 | 3129.25 | 3703.05 |
| 2024-02-04 | 477.0 | 4.00 | 15.00 | 35.0 | 136.50 | 1257.50 | 2318.1 | 2975.30 | 3832.38 |
| 2024-02-11 | 540.0 | 4.00 | 14.95 | 38.0 | 169.00 | 1307.75 | 2332.9 | 3181.10 | 3980.08 |
| 2024-02-18 | 566.0 | 7.00 | 16.00 | 48.0 | 198.00 | 1323.50 | 2218.7 | 2992.95 | 3867.28 |
| 2024-02-25 | 647.5 | 5.98 | 14.00 | 44.0 | 190.75 | 1434.00 | 2477.8 | 3192.25 | 4061.08 |
| 2024-03-03 | 672.0 | 11.93 | 30.00 | 70.0 | 235.00 | 1517.00 | 2539.0 | 3349.35 | 4360.43 |
| 2024-03-10 | 726.5 | 19.98 | 42.00 | 81.9 | 256.50 | 1435.25 | 2606.9 | 3399.60 | 4193.50 |
| 2024-03-17 | 733.0 | 20.00 | 37.95 | 88.9 | 282.25 | 1437.50 | 2592.4 | 3242.90 | 4272.15 |
| 2024-03-24 | 691.0 | 12.98 | 30.95 | 85.0 | 257.75 | 1480.50 | 2655.8 | 3699.15 | 4485.58 |
| 2024-03-31 | 700.5 | 19.00 | 31.95 | 83.0 | 287.00 | 1473.00 | 2591.5 | 3443.40 | 4066.23 |
| 2024-04-07 | 773.0 | 23.00 | 49.00 | 98.0 | 294.00 | 1675.00 | 2757.0 | 3757.20 | 4560.95 |
| 2024-04-14 | 801.5 | 19.98 | 40.00 | 93.5 | 283.75 | 1589.75 | 2689.8 | 3310.45 | 4195.35 |
| 2024-04-21 | 805.0 | 27.98 | 52.95 | 103.0 | 316.50 | 1633.75 | 2613.0 | 3531.40 | 4553.18 |
| 2024-04-28 | 855.5 | 31.00 | 57.00 | 127.9 | 354.50 | 1701.00 | 2833.7 | 3770.30 | 4454.88 |
| 2024-05-05 | 840.5 | 30.00 | 49.00 | 94.9 | 316.00 | 1786.75 | 2840.1 | 3724.40 | 4603.58 |
| 2024-05-12 | 804.5 | 38.93 | 66.90 | 137.6 | 345.75 | 1690.25 | 2942.1 | 3717.50 | 4613.45 |
| 2024-05-19 | 804.5 | 19.00 | 55.00 | 124.9 | 328.75 | 1655.75 | 2695.3 | 3826.15 | 5045.50 |
| 2024-05-26 | 821.5 | 33.97 | 65.00 | 127.0 | 342.25 | 1678.25 | 2837.7 | 3677.05 | 4762.50 |
| 2024-06-02 | 830.0 | 21.98 | 39.00 | 107.0 | 342.50 | 1746.75 | 2921.3 | 3542.30 | 4779.80 |
| 2024-06-09 | 702.5 | 22.98 | 41.95 | 86.9 | 266.00 | 1508.75 | 2673.1 | 3673.30 | 4666.15 |
| 2024-06-16 | 808.0 | 29.98 | 50.85 | 96.9 | 294.00 | 1698.25 | 2870.9 | 3942.70 | 4570.90 |
| 2024-06-23 | 715.0 | 9.98 | 32.95 | 85.7 | 256.75 | 1567.00 | 2755.9 | 3606.65 | 4414.78 |
| 2024-06-30 | 658.0 | 14.98 | 36.00 | 70.0 | 243.75 | 1555.00 | 2778.5 | 3408.75 | 4438.70 |
| 2024-07-07 | 592.0 | 12.95 | 22.00 | 59.0 | 201.50 | 1370.75 | 2484.5 | 3223.50 | 3967.80 |
| 2024-07-14 | 628.0 | 10.98 | 23.95 | 65.0 | 221.75 | 1450.00 | 2287.2 | 2949.05 | 3623.68 |
| 2024-07-21 | 507.5 | 7.98 | 19.95 | 46.9 | 170.75 | 1335.75 | 2316.9 | 2881.85 | 3637.70 |
| 2024-07-28 | 572.5 | 2.98 | 10.95 | 45.0 | 184.75 | 1341.00 | 2420.9 | 3135.45 | 3828.23 |
| 2024-08-04 | 568.5 | 4.00 | 10.00 | 42.0 | 182.75 | 1240.25 | 2126.9 | 3018.65 | 3863.13 |
| 2024-08-11 | 448.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 22.0 | 129.00 | 1151.25 | 2316.1 | 3194.95 | 4206.68 |
| 2024-08-18 | 441.5 | 3.00 | 10.00 | 24.9 | 125.00 | 1155.00 | 2172.1 | 3082.60 | 3953.18 |
| 2024-08-25 | 386.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 19.0 | 94.50 | 1048.50 | 2047.9 | 2748.10 | 3630.35 |
| 2024-09-01 | 369.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 17.0 | 94.75 | 1026.50 | 1966.1 | 2927.50 | 3431.73 |
| 2024-09-08 | 328.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 13.0 | 86.00 | 955.50 | 1859.5 | 2516.90 | 3321.80 |
| 2024-09-15 | 373.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 82.75 | 993.25 | 1836.3 | 2638.25 | 3371.68 |
| 2024-09-22 | 292.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 10.0 | 66.75 | 828.75 | 1573.6 | 2315.85 | 2919.45 |
| 2024-09-29 | 297.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 63.00 | 847.25 | 1785.3 | 2541.85 | 3338.43 |
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