Prediction 2431
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Sul |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in RS
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 32.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 292.25 | 892.9 | 1594.15 | 2505.20 |
| 2023-10-15 | 27.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 281.00 | 908.0 | 1470.25 | 2181.28 |
| 2023-10-22 | 44.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 298.25 | 971.5 | 1631.10 | 2395.95 |
| 2023-10-29 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 329.00 | 952.8 | 1452.45 | 2145.63 |
| 2023-11-05 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 341.75 | 1096.7 | 1719.15 | 2483.35 |
| 2023-11-12 | 49.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 348.25 | 1140.8 | 1731.50 | 2353.12 |
| 2023-11-19 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 312.50 | 1066.4 | 1673.70 | 2419.05 |
| 2023-11-26 | 48.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 325.25 | 1059.9 | 1723.30 | 2577.12 |
| 2023-12-03 | 47.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 391.50 | 1076.2 | 1770.05 | 2420.28 |
| 2023-12-10 | 46.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 339.50 | 1147.6 | 1978.10 | 2710.43 |
| 2023-12-17 | 59.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 394.25 | 1113.5 | 1940.85 | 2619.33 |
| 2023-12-24 | 69.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 458.75 | 1218.6 | 1816.85 | 2591.02 |
| 2023-12-31 | 92.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 460.25 | 1335.9 | 2016.25 | 2721.65 |
| 2024-01-07 | 86.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 488.50 | 1391.1 | 1987.95 | 2783.33 |
| 2024-01-14 | 94.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 486.00 | 1295.0 | 2071.20 | 2932.88 |
| 2024-01-21 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 488.75 | 1411.8 | 2176.75 | 3100.63 |
| 2024-01-28 | 91.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8.00 | 486.25 | 1355.3 | 1986.75 | 2926.00 |
| 2024-02-04 | 105.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 465.00 | 1344.1 | 2156.05 | 2837.05 |
| 2024-02-11 | 112.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.00 | 540.25 | 1468.3 | 2173.50 | 3391.31 |
| 2024-02-18 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 525.25 | 1346.5 | 2001.10 | 2714.78 |
| 2024-02-25 | 153.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 10.00 | 590.00 | 1547.1 | 2200.90 | 3124.20 |
| 2024-03-03 | 115.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.00 | 585.00 | 1510.7 | 2345.15 | 3099.63 |
| 2024-03-10 | 127.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 583.25 | 1455.1 | 2135.90 | 2598.03 |
| 2024-03-17 | 116.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.75 | 530.00 | 1332.1 | 2035.75 | 2658.45 |
| 2024-03-24 | 162.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.00 | 577.25 | 1365.8 | 2311.90 | 3490.00 |
| 2024-03-31 | 144.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 16.00 | 588.00 | 1351.0 | 2227.05 | 2900.28 |
| 2024-04-07 | 128.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 17.00 | 608.00 | 1423.3 | 2276.25 | 3036.83 |
| 2024-04-14 | 139.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 14.75 | 621.00 | 1324.4 | 2052.75 | 2798.05 |
| 2024-04-21 | 142.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 12.75 | 588.25 | 1465.2 | 2463.20 | 3433.45 |
| 2024-04-28 | 119.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 13.00 | 599.25 | 1401.6 | 2403.70 | 3111.33 |
| 2024-05-05 | 120.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.00 | 594.75 | 1314.2 | 2120.60 | 2961.25 |
| 2024-05-12 | 118.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 15.00 | 517.75 | 1377.0 | 1994.00 | 2759.65 |
| 2024-05-19 | 89.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.75 | 494.75 | 1426.8 | 2101.60 | 2943.83 |
| 2024-05-26 | 106.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 13.00 | 514.75 | 1320.4 | 1879.05 | 3116.60 |
| 2024-06-02 | 101.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 11.00 | 534.25 | 1176.1 | 2072.00 | 3108.55 |
| 2024-06-09 | 95.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 9.00 | 470.25 | 1309.9 | 2066.65 | 2768.90 |
| 2024-06-16 | 81.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 433.25 | 1239.6 | 1993.95 | 2604.88 |
| 2024-06-23 | 66.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.00 | 424.50 | 1262.4 | 2025.65 | 2827.83 |
| 2024-06-30 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 5.00 | 429.50 | 1084.8 | 1981.00 | 3012.95 |
| 2024-07-07 | 71.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 6.00 | 491.75 | 1234.0 | 1822.40 | 2649.18 |
| 2024-07-14 | 50.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 324.50 | 944.2 | 1853.50 | 2509.98 |
| 2024-07-21 | 58.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 414.50 | 1146.6 | 1999.85 | 2732.85 |
| 2024-07-28 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 4.00 | 473.00 | 1203.5 | 1913.70 | 2668.80 |
| 2024-08-04 | 51.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.00 | 389.50 | 998.9 | 1644.00 | 2355.73 |
| 2024-08-11 | 40.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 298.00 | 964.2 | 1715.15 | 2729.02 |
| 2024-08-18 | 48.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 313.00 | 1078.9 | 1838.70 | 2505.78 |
| 2024-08-25 | 49.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 359.25 | 1127.5 | 1815.35 | 2784.30 |
| 2024-09-01 | 38.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.00 | 294.00 | 974.3 | 1693.15 | 2412.18 |
| 2024-09-08 | 31.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 310.50 | 1011.7 | 1810.35 | 2513.20 |
| 2024-09-15 | 37.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 305.25 | 966.2 | 1656.85 | 2199.20 |
| 2024-09-22 | 29.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 241.00 | 901.1 | 1445.45 | 1975.03 |
| 2024-09-29 | 33.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.00 | 256.25 | 1077.3 | 1781.15 | 2440.40 |
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