Prediction 2433
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Rio Grande do Norte |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in RN
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 129.0 | 1.00 | 2.95 | 7.0 | 37.00 | 342.50 | 711.5 | 1014.60 | 1254.23 |
| 2023-10-15 | 154.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 36.00 | 391.00 | 807.0 | 1080.45 | 1364.05 |
| 2023-10-22 | 125.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 33.00 | 341.25 | 661.3 | 960.10 | 1338.30 |
| 2023-10-29 | 134.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 32.00 | 356.25 | 666.1 | 969.10 | 1191.15 |
| 2023-11-05 | 120.5 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 35.00 | 328.00 | 707.0 | 939.25 | 1130.38 |
| 2023-11-12 | 121.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 31.00 | 367.25 | 696.1 | 1030.80 | 1295.10 |
| 2023-11-19 | 120.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 32.00 | 344.25 | 702.0 | 950.45 | 1184.23 |
| 2023-11-26 | 132.0 | 0.98 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 37.75 | 345.75 | 690.1 | 942.00 | 1205.18 |
| 2023-12-03 | 143.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 33.00 | 365.00 | 686.1 | 1000.85 | 1183.58 |
| 2023-12-10 | 161.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 50.00 | 388.25 | 740.2 | 1057.50 | 1314.18 |
| 2023-12-17 | 180.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.9 | 46.75 | 442.00 | 807.1 | 1090.60 | 1459.68 |
| 2023-12-24 | 190.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 13.0 | 54.00 | 491.00 | 903.9 | 1134.50 | 1578.25 |
| 2023-12-31 | 210.0 | 3.00 | 8.00 | 20.0 | 74.00 | 466.25 | 877.5 | 1145.10 | 1472.15 |
| 2024-01-07 | 201.5 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 18.0 | 68.00 | 484.25 | 838.5 | 1142.05 | 1432.03 |
| 2024-01-14 | 200.0 | 3.00 | 9.00 | 21.0 | 65.75 | 497.25 | 854.4 | 1210.15 | 1504.25 |
| 2024-01-21 | 231.5 | 7.00 | 16.95 | 33.0 | 91.00 | 528.00 | 880.6 | 1196.55 | 1447.25 |
| 2024-01-28 | 268.0 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 33.9 | 98.00 | 592.75 | 1017.8 | 1234.25 | 1541.40 |
| 2024-02-04 | 312.0 | 12.00 | 19.00 | 40.0 | 122.25 | 635.50 | 1017.4 | 1251.00 | 1611.05 |
| 2024-02-11 | 298.0 | 9.00 | 17.00 | 39.8 | 122.00 | 607.25 | 1067.1 | 1355.20 | 1648.18 |
| 2024-02-18 | 360.0 | 13.98 | 28.00 | 61.0 | 166.75 | 662.50 | 1142.1 | 1470.05 | 1698.10 |
| 2024-02-25 | 374.5 | 15.98 | 36.95 | 72.0 | 161.75 | 740.25 | 1183.5 | 1546.80 | 1912.65 |
| 2024-03-03 | 404.0 | 23.98 | 40.00 | 76.0 | 181.00 | 756.75 | 1262.3 | 1642.05 | 1915.43 |
| 2024-03-10 | 467.0 | 27.98 | 52.95 | 84.0 | 215.75 | 789.00 | 1246.9 | 1659.30 | 1991.03 |
| 2024-03-17 | 488.0 | 30.00 | 47.95 | 92.9 | 241.75 | 859.50 | 1351.0 | 1668.30 | 1940.45 |
| 2024-03-24 | 469.0 | 29.00 | 58.00 | 92.0 | 230.75 | 822.00 | 1310.1 | 1722.30 | 2089.23 |
| 2024-03-31 | 538.5 | 48.00 | 74.95 | 124.9 | 259.75 | 913.00 | 1352.8 | 1666.10 | 2081.28 |
| 2024-04-07 | 516.5 | 44.90 | 78.00 | 123.0 | 263.00 | 938.25 | 1453.2 | 1913.45 | 2370.08 |
| 2024-04-14 | 563.0 | 40.95 | 76.00 | 133.0 | 280.75 | 939.00 | 1474.2 | 1892.40 | 2178.12 |
| 2024-04-21 | 530.5 | 45.00 | 75.00 | 132.7 | 275.00 | 949.50 | 1509.1 | 1955.00 | 2287.88 |
| 2024-04-28 | 553.0 | 62.97 | 84.00 | 139.9 | 287.00 | 981.25 | 1466.1 | 1828.60 | 2113.15 |
| 2024-05-05 | 604.0 | 45.97 | 77.95 | 128.9 | 287.00 | 1028.25 | 1526.8 | 1910.15 | 2248.23 |
| 2024-05-12 | 537.0 | 43.00 | 77.90 | 129.0 | 275.00 | 969.00 | 1421.0 | 1742.25 | 2061.23 |
| 2024-05-19 | 539.5 | 35.97 | 67.95 | 106.0 | 261.75 | 921.25 | 1407.8 | 1833.05 | 2162.40 |
| 2024-05-26 | 539.5 | 48.00 | 78.00 | 121.5 | 267.75 | 931.50 | 1428.4 | 1689.65 | 1993.83 |
| 2024-06-02 | 512.5 | 37.97 | 68.95 | 109.8 | 243.00 | 894.00 | 1424.6 | 1754.25 | 2203.23 |
| 2024-06-09 | 516.0 | 38.97 | 59.00 | 110.8 | 243.75 | 914.25 | 1308.7 | 1649.20 | 1994.15 |
| 2024-06-16 | 464.5 | 35.97 | 59.95 | 101.9 | 221.75 | 854.00 | 1296.2 | 1650.20 | 2042.73 |
| 2024-06-23 | 442.5 | 23.95 | 41.95 | 76.0 | 217.50 | 762.75 | 1241.1 | 1517.35 | 1851.08 |
| 2024-06-30 | 419.5 | 24.98 | 46.00 | 82.9 | 184.00 | 795.75 | 1252.4 | 1605.15 | 1975.38 |
| 2024-07-07 | 388.0 | 19.00 | 37.00 | 68.9 | 167.00 | 693.50 | 1139.0 | 1432.15 | 1670.58 |
| 2024-07-14 | 355.5 | 14.95 | 30.00 | 56.9 | 157.00 | 675.00 | 1098.2 | 1378.75 | 1726.60 |
| 2024-07-21 | 313.0 | 10.00 | 21.90 | 54.8 | 135.00 | 673.00 | 1095.1 | 1431.55 | 1798.30 |
| 2024-07-28 | 306.5 | 8.98 | 21.00 | 49.9 | 133.75 | 606.00 | 937.4 | 1227.90 | 1654.33 |
| 2024-08-04 | 281.0 | 6.00 | 15.00 | 33.0 | 106.00 | 638.75 | 1073.1 | 1340.20 | 1576.83 |
| 2024-08-11 | 239.0 | 6.00 | 11.95 | 28.9 | 90.00 | 520.50 | 932.1 | 1223.90 | 1546.25 |
| 2024-08-18 | 251.0 | 4.00 | 11.00 | 27.0 | 83.00 | 562.00 | 927.4 | 1191.85 | 1408.68 |
| 2024-08-25 | 222.5 | 2.00 | 5.95 | 19.9 | 72.00 | 486.50 | 856.0 | 1230.60 | 1577.93 |
| 2024-09-01 | 203.0 | 1.00 | 5.00 | 17.0 | 64.75 | 491.25 | 915.2 | 1217.30 | 1524.00 |
| 2024-09-08 | 189.0 | 1.00 | 5.95 | 16.0 | 58.00 | 452.00 | 799.4 | 1065.25 | 1566.23 |
| 2024-09-15 | 178.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 10.0 | 50.00 | 415.50 | 811.1 | 1080.15 | 1412.43 |
| 2024-09-22 | 156.0 | 1.00 | 3.95 | 11.0 | 49.00 | 404.50 | 713.1 | 981.20 | 1347.08 |
| 2024-09-29 | 151.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 42.75 | 392.25 | 719.6 | 985.15 | 1241.05 |
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