Prediction 2435
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Paraíba |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in PB
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 116.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.9 | 25.00 | 352.25 | 786.2 | 1010.05 | 1272.05 |
| 2023-10-15 | 111.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 23.75 | 318.75 | 780.3 | 1136.55 | 1483.15 |
| 2023-10-22 | 105.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 21.00 | 326.25 | 714.1 | 1010.90 | 1657.10 |
| 2023-10-29 | 111.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 19.75 | 336.25 | 669.4 | 974.05 | 1181.18 |
| 2023-11-05 | 105.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 24.00 | 303.00 | 650.2 | 992.10 | 1282.38 |
| 2023-11-12 | 100.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 25.00 | 290.50 | 690.7 | 977.10 | 1344.20 |
| 2023-11-19 | 104.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 342.50 | 734.4 | 1047.30 | 1324.33 |
| 2023-11-26 | 98.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 18.00 | 308.50 | 646.3 | 926.45 | 1220.05 |
| 2023-12-03 | 118.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 27.00 | 342.00 | 692.1 | 1109.55 | 1431.28 |
| 2023-12-10 | 107.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 22.00 | 328.00 | 693.1 | 1071.40 | 1453.45 |
| 2023-12-17 | 111.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 22.00 | 340.00 | 716.0 | 1017.65 | 1346.23 |
| 2023-12-24 | 120.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 25.00 | 376.00 | 714.1 | 958.40 | 1303.73 |
| 2023-12-31 | 138.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 28.00 | 392.25 | 822.3 | 1186.05 | 1609.33 |
| 2024-01-07 | 151.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 43.00 | 426.00 | 846.3 | 1218.00 | 1629.80 |
| 2024-01-14 | 152.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 41.75 | 378.75 | 772.3 | 1088.05 | 1441.25 |
| 2024-01-21 | 163.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 13.0 | 48.75 | 440.25 | 860.8 | 1206.40 | 1604.10 |
| 2024-01-28 | 175.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 56.75 | 443.00 | 876.6 | 1232.45 | 1541.10 |
| 2024-02-04 | 176.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 12.0 | 51.75 | 496.25 | 1034.3 | 1438.10 | 1900.45 |
| 2024-02-11 | 239.0 | 3.98 | 8.00 | 21.0 | 75.00 | 547.00 | 999.4 | 1330.60 | 1609.15 |
| 2024-02-18 | 266.0 | 3.98 | 9.00 | 20.0 | 88.00 | 584.25 | 1105.3 | 1524.10 | 1826.75 |
| 2024-02-25 | 296.5 | 5.98 | 12.90 | 30.9 | 114.00 | 613.00 | 1145.3 | 1446.15 | 1777.25 |
| 2024-03-03 | 320.0 | 4.98 | 13.95 | 32.0 | 108.50 | 651.25 | 1206.2 | 1575.50 | 2003.15 |
| 2024-03-10 | 309.5 | 8.00 | 18.95 | 40.9 | 126.00 | 645.75 | 1208.1 | 1530.30 | 1878.03 |
| 2024-03-17 | 357.0 | 7.00 | 21.00 | 48.9 | 133.75 | 742.00 | 1245.5 | 1612.65 | 1947.50 |
| 2024-03-24 | 389.5 | 9.00 | 23.00 | 53.9 | 152.75 | 791.25 | 1242.3 | 1612.20 | 1985.28 |
| 2024-03-31 | 401.0 | 21.98 | 34.90 | 69.0 | 165.50 | 771.50 | 1293.5 | 1638.05 | 2062.02 |
| 2024-04-07 | 411.0 | 16.00 | 30.00 | 58.9 | 168.00 | 810.25 | 1316.7 | 1673.50 | 2000.35 |
| 2024-04-14 | 424.5 | 16.98 | 31.00 | 67.9 | 172.00 | 795.25 | 1355.0 | 1804.45 | 2304.12 |
| 2024-04-21 | 453.5 | 19.00 | 41.00 | 74.9 | 193.00 | 866.25 | 1436.3 | 1808.65 | 2231.00 |
| 2024-04-28 | 425.5 | 13.00 | 36.95 | 75.0 | 184.00 | 843.25 | 1335.7 | 1727.05 | 2097.53 |
| 2024-05-05 | 446.5 | 15.00 | 37.95 | 76.9 | 186.00 | 839.75 | 1401.0 | 1801.90 | 2241.15 |
| 2024-05-12 | 435.0 | 22.98 | 40.00 | 72.0 | 201.75 | 880.00 | 1451.4 | 1869.15 | 2375.02 |
| 2024-05-19 | 468.5 | 20.98 | 41.95 | 83.0 | 204.00 | 889.25 | 1498.0 | 1891.30 | 2152.12 |
| 2024-05-26 | 447.0 | 16.98 | 43.95 | 83.0 | 203.00 | 892.75 | 1418.5 | 1803.70 | 2152.12 |
| 2024-06-02 | 407.0 | 14.98 | 29.00 | 57.9 | 165.75 | 792.25 | 1321.4 | 1767.05 | 2157.25 |
| 2024-06-09 | 433.5 | 17.00 | 33.95 | 62.9 | 184.75 | 871.25 | 1407.4 | 1822.10 | 2100.20 |
| 2024-06-16 | 381.0 | 15.00 | 28.95 | 61.9 | 156.75 | 744.00 | 1275.3 | 1653.45 | 2127.05 |
| 2024-06-23 | 415.0 | 13.98 | 33.00 | 56.8 | 183.00 | 802.75 | 1305.0 | 1643.60 | 1954.28 |
| 2024-06-30 | 373.5 | 8.98 | 21.95 | 52.9 | 154.00 | 711.25 | 1168.2 | 1601.35 | 2026.68 |
| 2024-07-07 | 326.0 | 10.00 | 19.00 | 48.9 | 136.00 | 718.50 | 1227.1 | 1494.20 | 1987.28 |
| 2024-07-14 | 336.0 | 8.00 | 16.00 | 35.9 | 120.75 | 681.25 | 1213.7 | 1532.50 | 1927.10 |
| 2024-07-21 | 287.5 | 5.00 | 8.95 | 28.0 | 101.50 | 604.50 | 1034.6 | 1378.20 | 1720.15 |
| 2024-07-28 | 256.5 | 4.00 | 12.00 | 29.9 | 101.75 | 579.25 | 1124.4 | 1490.15 | 1836.10 |
| 2024-08-04 | 242.0 | 3.00 | 7.95 | 20.0 | 73.75 | 571.25 | 1009.1 | 1265.35 | 1517.10 |
| 2024-08-11 | 217.0 | 3.00 | 7.95 | 18.0 | 75.75 | 502.00 | 979.1 | 1291.20 | 1650.75 |
| 2024-08-18 | 219.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 13.0 | 57.00 | 579.25 | 978.4 | 1277.30 | 1585.35 |
| 2024-08-25 | 187.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 13.0 | 52.00 | 474.25 | 931.7 | 1233.40 | 1668.60 |
| 2024-09-01 | 177.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 10.0 | 52.00 | 448.00 | 886.2 | 1188.20 | 1637.90 |
| 2024-09-08 | 163.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 8.0 | 38.00 | 466.50 | 885.2 | 1313.40 | 1563.25 |
| 2024-09-15 | 147.5 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 33.75 | 403.25 | 784.1 | 1035.35 | 1218.18 |
| 2024-09-22 | 136.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 28.75 | 377.50 | 752.1 | 1105.95 | 1378.23 |
| 2024-09-29 | 125.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 26.75 | 370.00 | 801.2 | 1072.90 | 1355.65 |
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