Prediction 2437
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Amazonas |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in AM
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 102.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 17.00 | 339.50 | 746.5 | 1045.90 | 1425.28 |
| 2023-10-15 | 96.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 18.00 | 313.75 | 713.5 | 979.05 | 1361.43 |
| 2023-10-22 | 111.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 21.00 | 364.00 | 713.1 | 996.55 | 1259.33 |
| 2023-10-29 | 124.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 28.75 | 359.75 | 732.3 | 1152.10 | 1417.65 |
| 2023-11-05 | 133.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 27.75 | 382.00 | 761.3 | 1017.50 | 1255.03 |
| 2023-11-12 | 133.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 28.00 | 386.00 | 795.0 | 1118.15 | 1356.05 |
| 2023-11-19 | 128.0 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 4.9 | 28.00 | 386.75 | 774.1 | 1050.90 | 1348.13 |
| 2023-11-26 | 152.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 7.0 | 40.75 | 432.50 | 782.2 | 1174.50 | 1467.03 |
| 2023-12-03 | 167.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 9.0 | 41.00 | 446.25 | 885.8 | 1218.30 | 1484.25 |
| 2023-12-10 | 161.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 10.0 | 48.00 | 472.75 | 881.3 | 1220.00 | 1513.13 |
| 2023-12-17 | 164.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.9 | 49.75 | 482.25 | 885.6 | 1199.25 | 1497.05 |
| 2023-12-24 | 189.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 14.0 | 52.00 | 474.00 | 841.3 | 1238.60 | 1710.28 |
| 2023-12-31 | 190.5 | 1.00 | 4.95 | 13.9 | 57.75 | 498.75 | 918.4 | 1297.15 | 1651.05 |
| 2024-01-07 | 200.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 16.0 | 63.75 | 482.25 | 906.2 | 1325.40 | 1700.18 |
| 2024-01-14 | 224.5 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 15.0 | 66.00 | 524.50 | 940.0 | 1274.50 | 1769.15 |
| 2024-01-21 | 225.0 | 1.98 | 4.00 | 17.0 | 71.00 | 557.75 | 1061.6 | 1436.70 | 1719.45 |
| 2024-01-28 | 213.0 | 3.00 | 6.95 | 17.0 | 71.00 | 525.00 | 937.0 | 1203.40 | 1536.78 |
| 2024-02-04 | 240.5 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 17.0 | 73.75 | 562.25 | 1020.1 | 1450.40 | 1846.53 |
| 2024-02-11 | 235.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 15.0 | 77.00 | 518.75 | 962.2 | 1318.15 | 1629.38 |
| 2024-02-18 | 243.0 | 3.00 | 12.95 | 26.9 | 84.00 | 602.25 | 1033.1 | 1419.45 | 1767.38 |
| 2024-02-25 | 247.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 18.9 | 79.75 | 571.75 | 1051.2 | 1357.00 | 1693.18 |
| 2024-03-03 | 226.0 | 4.98 | 11.00 | 28.0 | 78.00 | 526.25 | 1049.0 | 1376.35 | 1771.78 |
| 2024-03-10 | 249.5 | 3.00 | 6.95 | 20.0 | 80.00 | 531.00 | 1007.3 | 1392.50 | 1865.05 |
| 2024-03-17 | 226.5 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 21.9 | 73.75 | 552.75 | 1025.7 | 1338.50 | 1840.45 |
| 2024-03-24 | 239.5 | 2.00 | 7.95 | 20.0 | 67.75 | 544.25 | 1019.5 | 1452.20 | 1647.35 |
| 2024-03-31 | 253.0 | 2.00 | 7.00 | 17.0 | 82.00 | 553.25 | 994.9 | 1350.45 | 1871.40 |
| 2024-04-07 | 238.5 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 21.0 | 68.00 | 602.50 | 1056.2 | 1348.10 | 1576.28 |
| 2024-04-14 | 232.0 | 3.00 | 7.00 | 18.0 | 75.00 | 526.50 | 940.9 | 1321.65 | 1628.03 |
| 2024-04-21 | 214.5 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 10.0 | 54.00 | 511.25 | 1057.1 | 1372.05 | 1597.23 |
| 2024-04-28 | 229.5 | 2.00 | 6.00 | 13.9 | 67.00 | 516.50 | 943.2 | 1390.00 | 1746.25 |
| 2024-05-05 | 201.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 12.0 | 57.00 | 479.75 | 912.1 | 1210.05 | 1587.18 |
| 2024-05-12 | 167.0 | 1.00 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 48.75 | 415.50 | 861.7 | 1167.20 | 1453.25 |
| 2024-05-19 | 172.0 | 1.00 | 3.95 | 11.0 | 49.00 | 429.50 | 893.0 | 1116.70 | 1451.20 |
| 2024-05-26 | 156.5 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 9.9 | 46.00 | 487.00 | 1002.1 | 1350.60 | 1748.03 |
| 2024-06-02 | 159.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 8.0 | 40.00 | 433.25 | 853.1 | 1074.15 | 1418.63 |
| 2024-06-09 | 149.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 7.0 | 37.00 | 410.00 | 837.0 | 1125.40 | 1417.03 |
| 2024-06-16 | 148.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 36.75 | 398.50 | 738.4 | 1049.00 | 1306.08 |
| 2024-06-23 | 139.5 | 0.00 | 1.95 | 4.9 | 30.00 | 410.25 | 780.1 | 1166.20 | 1479.18 |
| 2024-06-30 | 123.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 5.0 | 26.00 | 356.25 | 760.1 | 983.05 | 1301.68 |
| 2024-07-07 | 108.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 19.00 | 363.25 | 692.4 | 956.30 | 1255.70 |
| 2024-07-14 | 105.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 24.00 | 371.00 | 733.1 | 1116.20 | 1462.28 |
| 2024-07-21 | 102.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 18.00 | 324.50 | 717.0 | 1076.45 | 1463.10 |
| 2024-07-28 | 110.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 21.00 | 317.25 | 677.3 | 957.80 | 1430.55 |
| 2024-08-04 | 111.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 17.75 | 306.25 | 648.4 | 1018.70 | 1290.25 |
| 2024-08-11 | 100.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 20.00 | 345.25 | 790.5 | 1083.65 | 1417.60 |
| 2024-08-18 | 86.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 16.00 | 299.50 | 676.7 | 910.10 | 1249.10 |
| 2024-08-25 | 89.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 14.00 | 334.25 | 721.3 | 983.70 | 1417.55 |
| 2024-09-01 | 107.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 22.00 | 349.25 | 728.0 | 989.70 | 1289.35 |
| 2024-09-08 | 101.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.0 | 18.75 | 297.50 | 631.0 | 994.25 | 1339.03 |
| 2024-09-15 | 98.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 21.00 | 315.00 | 682.5 | 1044.60 | 1367.05 |
| 2024-09-22 | 90.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 19.00 | 323.00 | 697.0 | 947.50 | 1303.15 |
| 2024-09-29 | 108.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 22.00 | 321.25 | 748.2 | 944.90 | 1163.38 |
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