Prediction 2438

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Modelo fourier-gravidade
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 ParĂ¡

Description:

Prediction Validation test 2 in PA


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 153.0 0.0 0.00 1.0 20.00 524.50 1176.6 1702.00 2093.02
2023-10-15 156.0 0.0 0.00 1.0 21.00 559.00 1202.8 1826.05 2679.58
2023-10-22 148.0 0.0 0.00 2.0 18.00 565.50 1274.3 1867.70 2690.80
2023-10-29 155.0 0.0 0.00 2.0 20.00 567.00 1272.6 1697.05 2440.33
2023-11-05 148.5 0.0 0.00 3.0 22.00 563.50 1286.2 1806.75 2288.70
2023-11-12 188.0 0.0 0.00 3.0 29.00 662.25 1285.5 1838.30 2465.75
2023-11-19 203.0 0.0 1.00 3.9 32.75 588.25 1340.1 1963.40 2618.80
2023-11-26 219.5 0.0 1.00 3.0 34.00 637.25 1439.4 1924.40 2461.02
2023-12-03 222.5 0.0 1.00 4.0 36.75 749.25 1486.3 2115.95 2922.05
2023-12-10 260.0 0.0 1.00 6.0 45.00 766.00 1571.2 2157.20 2916.10
2023-12-17 260.5 1.0 2.95 7.0 49.00 772.00 1551.8 2182.40 2934.05
2023-12-24 253.0 1.0 2.00 8.0 59.00 699.00 1299.7 2036.45 2550.08
2023-12-31 276.0 0.0 2.00 10.0 54.75 728.25 1616.8 2274.40 2785.08
2024-01-07 333.0 1.0 3.00 16.0 78.50 918.00 1699.5 2295.85 3086.25
2024-01-14 320.5 1.0 5.00 16.0 86.75 887.50 1809.0 2439.45 3214.75
2024-01-21 347.0 1.0 3.00 11.9 79.00 858.50 1799.2 2467.10 3096.08
2024-01-28 379.5 3.0 7.00 14.0 97.25 970.00 1700.8 2410.85 3030.15
2024-02-04 338.5 3.0 8.00 26.0 88.75 884.25 1693.5 2257.50 2991.40
2024-02-11 390.5 2.0 6.95 21.9 110.00 978.00 1758.1 2299.65 2787.70
2024-02-18 363.0 2.0 5.00 18.9 110.00 1014.75 1874.3 2599.70 3340.73
2024-02-25 370.5 2.0 6.00 20.0 99.25 861.00 1743.9 2360.80 2873.55
2024-03-03 400.5 4.0 11.00 29.9 130.00 1022.50 1956.1 2753.20 3481.00
2024-03-10 404.5 2.0 7.00 25.0 91.00 969.25 1879.1 2636.95 3377.18
2024-03-17 415.0 3.0 7.95 23.9 125.00 1008.25 1947.1 2907.00 3410.50
2024-03-24 381.5 2.0 7.00 23.9 105.50 1024.50 1836.4 2565.30 3075.23
2024-03-31 379.0 3.0 8.00 19.9 109.00 984.00 1833.4 2667.85 3366.83
2024-04-07 356.0 2.0 7.95 21.0 92.00 915.75 1734.4 2284.05 2907.18
2024-04-14 340.0 2.0 5.00 15.9 89.75 891.25 1647.7 2210.25 2965.12
2024-04-21 334.0 1.0 5.90 16.0 92.25 900.00 1618.5 2093.75 2770.00
2024-04-28 274.0 1.0 4.00 14.0 71.75 830.25 1630.8 2434.00 3123.90
2024-05-05 305.0 1.0 6.00 19.0 80.75 831.00 1839.5 2654.40 3565.08
2024-05-12 287.5 0.0 2.00 9.0 68.00 815.75 1671.1 2180.05 3071.03
2024-05-19 284.5 1.0 2.00 8.0 58.00 834.75 1744.3 2447.15 3105.45
2024-05-26 253.5 0.0 2.00 5.0 48.00 745.25 1683.1 2447.75 3020.70
2024-06-02 247.5 0.0 2.00 6.0 44.00 748.25 1526.6 2372.20 3059.28
2024-06-09 215.5 0.0 1.95 6.0 38.00 683.50 1413.1 2192.25 3007.02
2024-06-16 197.0 0.0 1.00 3.0 28.00 659.25 1429.5 2045.35 2746.65
2024-06-23 186.0 0.0 1.00 3.0 34.00 610.25 1375.0 1972.35 2568.23
2024-06-30 180.5 0.0 0.00 2.0 27.75 592.00 1320.3 1912.20 2554.58
2024-07-07 155.5 0.0 0.95 3.0 21.75 592.50 1250.4 1856.90 2403.05
2024-07-14 138.0 0.0 0.00 2.0 21.00 561.00 1249.1 1879.20 2265.05
2024-07-21 155.0 0.0 1.00 3.0 25.00 596.75 1345.7 1834.35 2482.65
2024-07-28 126.5 0.0 0.00 1.0 18.00 482.25 1235.6 1830.70 2474.23
2024-08-04 130.0 0.0 0.00 2.0 16.00 537.00 1284.4 1960.05 2612.28
2024-08-11 121.0 0.0 0.00 1.0 14.00 483.00 1099.2 1492.50 2206.95
2024-08-18 125.0 0.0 0.00 1.0 13.00 490.00 1201.9 1854.70 2438.20
2024-08-25 131.5 0.0 0.00 1.0 15.00 522.75 1140.5 1769.35 2305.85
2024-09-01 128.5 0.0 0.00 1.0 16.00 497.00 1140.1 1808.70 2527.48
2024-09-08 108.0 0.0 0.00 1.0 13.75 475.25 1130.3 1760.35 2070.73
2024-09-15 121.5 0.0 0.00 1.0 13.00 509.50 1284.0 1997.35 2445.20
2024-09-22 127.0 0.0 0.00 1.0 21.00 519.25 1252.3 1813.55 2322.05
2024-09-29 132.0 0.0 0.00 1.9 19.75 436.50 985.1 1605.40 2034.43
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