Prediction 2439

Dengue Sprint2425 Python Spatio-Temporal Quantitative Weekly ADM 1

Model Modelo fourier-gravidade
Author Marcio Maciel Bastos
ADM 1 PiauĂ­

Description:

Prediction Validation test 2 in PI


Show Table
date pred lower_95 lower_90 lower_80 lower_50 upper_50 upper_80 upper_90 upper_95
2023-10-08 48.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 6.00 196.00 428.1 602.40 826.10
2023-10-15 44.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 4.00 180.00 433.1 649.10 865.48
2023-10-22 41.5 0.00 0.00 0.0 6.00 188.00 489.0 778.05 933.18
2023-10-29 46.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 6.00 170.00 415.2 689.35 961.23
2023-11-05 55.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 8.00 206.50 488.2 721.15 1084.13
2023-11-12 45.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 6.00 188.25 509.2 722.70 1032.08
2023-11-19 50.0 0.00 0.00 0.0 5.00 207.50 478.2 702.30 982.55
2023-11-26 50.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 7.00 191.25 481.9 684.10 868.43
2023-12-03 62.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 10.00 214.00 504.6 731.55 989.40
2023-12-10 65.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 9.00 233.50 554.4 795.30 1063.25
2023-12-17 65.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 10.00 216.00 499.2 708.80 922.38
2023-12-24 70.5 0.00 0.00 2.0 13.00 257.00 548.1 794.20 991.08
2023-12-31 76.0 0.00 0.00 2.0 15.00 268.50 602.1 809.60 1014.25
2024-01-07 87.0 0.00 1.00 3.0 21.00 258.25 580.1 859.75 1100.18
2024-01-14 96.0 0.00 1.00 3.0 22.00 278.00 660.7 896.65 1220.30
2024-01-21 125.5 0.00 1.00 5.0 27.00 344.25 673.8 937.50 1187.18
2024-01-28 116.0 0.00 1.00 4.9 32.00 329.25 673.5 926.15 1102.28
2024-02-04 130.0 1.00 2.00 9.0 33.75 335.25 651.3 987.30 1254.00
2024-02-11 178.5 1.00 5.00 13.0 52.00 433.00 791.5 1055.45 1312.55
2024-02-18 188.5 2.00 5.00 13.0 61.50 434.75 826.2 1066.05 1339.10
2024-02-25 214.0 2.00 5.00 17.0 67.00 477.50 825.1 1165.00 1435.35
2024-03-03 195.5 3.00 7.95 18.0 63.00 474.25 786.2 1010.60 1422.50
2024-03-10 205.5 3.98 8.00 22.9 71.00 475.00 865.6 1173.10 1469.58
2024-03-17 258.5 6.98 13.00 28.0 100.00 549.00 967.0 1271.30 1534.00
2024-03-24 236.0 5.98 15.95 32.0 86.00 494.50 923.7 1231.10 1520.05
2024-03-31 263.5 4.00 13.00 29.0 94.00 590.00 1010.6 1326.00 1607.88
2024-04-07 307.0 6.00 12.00 32.0 107.00 602.75 1015.5 1329.50 1653.33
2024-04-14 282.0 7.00 16.00 40.0 114.00 605.50 1029.3 1380.40 1683.00
2024-04-21 276.5 8.98 14.00 40.9 115.00 576.50 977.3 1257.15 1615.08
2024-04-28 298.5 7.00 15.00 35.0 118.00 612.50 994.7 1305.20 1574.50
2024-05-05 295.5 8.00 18.95 38.9 113.75 600.00 949.3 1280.65 1616.28
2024-05-12 304.0 7.00 16.00 31.0 109.00 594.00 998.9 1256.15 1456.03
2024-05-19 286.5 12.00 21.95 42.9 113.00 591.25 1012.1 1308.50 1650.63
2024-05-26 268.5 8.00 16.00 33.0 102.00 611.00 998.8 1297.15 1514.25
2024-06-02 245.5 7.00 15.00 31.0 98.75 568.00 916.4 1191.80 1476.53
2024-06-09 236.0 5.00 12.00 32.9 91.75 510.25 933.2 1202.35 1554.05
2024-06-16 224.0 5.00 10.00 27.0 75.75 520.25 870.3 1112.10 1283.28
2024-06-23 215.0 5.00 8.00 18.9 78.50 474.50 829.6 1159.55 1404.03
2024-06-30 195.5 2.00 6.00 15.0 65.00 426.25 825.1 1072.85 1301.00
2024-07-07 192.0 2.00 5.95 14.0 63.00 427.25 803.4 1139.40 1499.95
2024-07-14 150.0 1.00 3.00 7.0 45.00 391.50 747.2 988.50 1249.50
2024-07-21 147.5 1.00 2.00 6.0 40.00 367.00 703.5 1016.95 1280.10
2024-07-28 118.0 0.00 1.00 5.0 28.75 345.00 663.8 915.10 1133.65
2024-08-04 132.0 0.00 2.00 5.0 36.75 361.75 692.3 985.15 1214.00
2024-08-11 110.0 0.00 1.00 4.0 24.00 321.00 663.3 925.10 1189.33
2024-08-18 99.0 0.00 1.00 3.0 19.00 286.25 552.2 786.30 1022.13
2024-08-25 83.5 0.00 0.00 2.0 15.00 278.00 593.2 812.05 1033.80
2024-09-01 76.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 13.00 279.25 546.0 883.00 1135.13
2024-09-08 69.5 0.00 0.00 1.0 11.00 239.25 513.1 748.15 1000.23
2024-09-15 58.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 10.00 200.00 476.4 715.80 1006.03
2024-09-22 57.5 0.00 0.00 1.0 10.00 191.25 507.0 692.35 951.60
2024-09-29 60.0 0.00 0.00 1.0 8.00 214.00 521.0 789.45 984.30
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