Prediction 2440
| Model | Modelo fourier-gravidade |
|---|---|
| Author | Marcio Maciel Bastos |
| ADM 1 | Tocantins |
Description:
Prediction Validation test 2 in TO
Show Table
| date | pred | lower_95 | lower_90 | lower_80 | lower_50 | upper_50 | upper_80 | upper_90 | upper_95 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-08 | 51.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 10.00 | 158.00 | 294.0 | 396.35 | 488.05 |
| 2023-10-15 | 48.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.0 | 11.00 | 143.00 | 290.0 | 398.20 | 543.10 |
| 2023-10-22 | 58.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 14.00 | 149.00 | 294.4 | 403.40 | 548.25 |
| 2023-10-29 | 61.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 14.00 | 170.25 | 345.1 | 477.15 | 596.15 |
| 2023-11-05 | 64.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 17.75 | 169.25 | 302.0 | 424.25 | 617.08 |
| 2023-11-12 | 82.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 23.00 | 195.25 | 327.2 | 464.30 | 633.20 |
| 2023-11-19 | 88.0 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 6.0 | 28.00 | 206.25 | 381.1 | 507.20 | 654.23 |
| 2023-11-26 | 93.0 | 1.00 | 3.00 | 7.0 | 29.00 | 221.00 | 402.8 | 527.05 | 687.10 |
| 2023-12-03 | 107.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 34.00 | 222.00 | 390.0 | 535.15 | 658.03 |
| 2023-12-10 | 112.0 | 2.00 | 5.00 | 11.0 | 39.75 | 234.00 | 447.4 | 598.05 | 720.23 |
| 2023-12-17 | 129.0 | 3.00 | 6.00 | 16.0 | 49.00 | 263.00 | 440.3 | 603.05 | 701.18 |
| 2023-12-24 | 151.5 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 22.0 | 60.75 | 301.00 | 482.6 | 625.40 | 784.50 |
| 2023-12-31 | 160.5 | 8.98 | 17.00 | 29.9 | 68.75 | 316.25 | 523.3 | 668.40 | 789.00 |
| 2024-01-07 | 184.5 | 9.00 | 15.00 | 28.0 | 82.75 | 337.00 | 523.0 | 658.35 | 791.03 |
| 2024-01-14 | 192.5 | 10.00 | 18.00 | 37.9 | 84.75 | 358.25 | 590.3 | 794.25 | 966.10 |
| 2024-01-21 | 205.0 | 16.00 | 26.00 | 39.0 | 90.00 | 381.00 | 589.4 | 731.05 | 865.00 |
| 2024-01-28 | 220.5 | 16.00 | 27.00 | 50.0 | 111.00 | 403.25 | 619.2 | 770.15 | 976.43 |
| 2024-02-04 | 235.5 | 20.00 | 35.00 | 56.9 | 108.00 | 423.00 | 626.0 | 793.00 | 967.45 |
| 2024-02-11 | 243.5 | 20.00 | 33.00 | 55.0 | 123.00 | 435.00 | 650.1 | 829.05 | 1001.15 |
| 2024-02-18 | 255.0 | 32.95 | 47.00 | 68.0 | 134.75 | 440.25 | 672.2 | 833.10 | 976.93 |
| 2024-02-25 | 278.5 | 28.98 | 40.85 | 67.9 | 137.75 | 472.50 | 701.1 | 877.30 | 1006.05 |
| 2024-03-03 | 258.0 | 17.98 | 33.95 | 58.9 | 132.00 | 441.25 | 672.1 | 880.10 | 1066.05 |
| 2024-03-10 | 285.5 | 26.93 | 44.90 | 72.0 | 144.75 | 466.00 | 694.1 | 894.05 | 1033.05 |
| 2024-03-17 | 278.0 | 28.00 | 47.00 | 82.9 | 155.75 | 459.25 | 704.2 | 935.05 | 1046.00 |
| 2024-03-24 | 269.0 | 25.00 | 44.00 | 72.9 | 144.00 | 463.75 | 712.1 | 894.40 | 1047.63 |
| 2024-03-31 | 277.0 | 30.00 | 42.00 | 76.0 | 138.00 | 478.25 | 700.1 | 901.10 | 1086.00 |
| 2024-04-07 | 255.0 | 28.00 | 46.00 | 74.9 | 141.75 | 453.75 | 661.2 | 842.65 | 975.50 |
| 2024-04-14 | 238.5 | 24.98 | 35.00 | 61.8 | 121.00 | 425.25 | 680.1 | 795.05 | 913.38 |
| 2024-04-21 | 230.0 | 16.98 | 27.95 | 50.0 | 111.00 | 408.25 | 624.3 | 776.20 | 959.18 |
| 2024-04-28 | 238.0 | 17.98 | 34.95 | 55.0 | 115.00 | 417.50 | 610.2 | 775.25 | 888.48 |
| 2024-05-05 | 200.0 | 12.98 | 24.00 | 47.9 | 103.00 | 363.25 | 571.1 | 737.00 | 926.08 |
| 2024-05-12 | 190.0 | 12.00 | 20.00 | 38.0 | 87.00 | 352.50 | 545.2 | 681.20 | 842.35 |
| 2024-05-19 | 170.0 | 6.00 | 14.00 | 28.0 | 73.00 | 324.00 | 562.1 | 722.05 | 836.03 |
| 2024-05-26 | 149.5 | 6.00 | 12.00 | 22.9 | 60.00 | 289.25 | 484.1 | 655.00 | 780.25 |
| 2024-06-02 | 157.5 | 6.00 | 13.00 | 25.0 | 68.00 | 286.25 | 485.2 | 635.10 | 774.23 |
| 2024-06-09 | 127.5 | 5.00 | 8.95 | 18.0 | 47.00 | 258.25 | 478.0 | 653.35 | 770.00 |
| 2024-06-16 | 118.5 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 11.0 | 45.00 | 236.25 | 412.1 | 539.15 | 648.13 |
| 2024-06-23 | 107.0 | 2.00 | 4.00 | 9.0 | 29.00 | 242.00 | 415.0 | 577.20 | 672.00 |
| 2024-06-30 | 89.0 | 1.00 | 2.95 | 7.0 | 26.75 | 214.00 | 386.1 | 527.05 | 643.03 |
| 2024-07-07 | 75.0 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 5.0 | 22.75 | 189.00 | 333.4 | 473.45 | 575.05 |
| 2024-07-14 | 64.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 19.00 | 204.25 | 376.1 | 486.10 | 606.15 |
| 2024-07-21 | 69.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 4.0 | 17.00 | 166.00 | 308.0 | 416.10 | 543.20 |
| 2024-07-28 | 61.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 16.00 | 154.25 | 315.3 | 429.35 | 548.55 |
| 2024-08-04 | 57.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 14.00 | 158.00 | 318.4 | 474.40 | 572.13 |
| 2024-08-11 | 53.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.9 | 12.00 | 162.00 | 314.5 | 439.80 | 583.03 |
| 2024-08-18 | 57.5 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 3.0 | 12.75 | 147.00 | 309.2 | 406.30 | 535.33 |
| 2024-08-25 | 55.0 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 11.00 | 138.50 | 277.1 | 407.15 | 496.08 |
| 2024-09-01 | 46.5 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 126.25 | 265.2 | 389.30 | 521.23 |
| 2024-09-08 | 41.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.00 | 131.00 | 293.1 | 426.00 | 517.13 |
| 2024-09-15 | 45.0 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 2.0 | 9.00 | 137.25 | 275.3 | 420.20 | 531.28 |
| 2024-09-22 | 45.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.75 | 130.25 | 291.3 | 419.15 | 519.03 |
| 2024-09-29 | 43.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.0 | 9.75 | 136.50 | 282.3 | 417.10 | 511.03 |
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